Saturday, July 14, 2012

Anarchy and Markets

An anarchist has a fine colloquy with his liberal friend, in part:

Free markets involve volitional exchanges between people expressing what they believe and want to do. Of course the market includes more than physical products; it includes education, advice, religious services, art, charity, entertainment, yoga and ideas. Physical interference with this process prevents some people from doing what they want to do, while forcing others to do what they don’t want to do. Such interference denies the ethics underlying the free expression of beliefs and the freedom to accept or reject the beliefs of others.

I emailed the author on this and offered: Free markets are markets.  The economy may include more than physical products but charity, religion, violence, etc are mot market events.  Building a house and selling it is a market event and an economic event.  The house burning down is a economic event, but not a market event.  I think our foes back us into a corner when we ascribe too much, or all, to markets, of even free markets.  Religious experience, getting angry or falling in love is neither market not economic.  it seems to me that most of life is neither market nor economic.  I think this distinction disarms those who claim anarchists and free-marketers believe all is a financial transaction, all can be reduced to the market.


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Critical Path to Recovery


Mr. Spiers,

I just received your book. I was pleasantly surprised to find your John Hancock on the cover page. I'm currently taking your online course and after only a few weeks I can already say I feel confident in moving forward with several of my ideas. Your insight and dedication to the subject is a sincere inspiration and motivation. I look forward to making my way through the book in hopes of turning these abstract ideas into a tangible success. 

Regards, 
Dear Javier,

You are very kind.  Much of our economic problem is simply a matter of imbalance of the ratio between big business and small business.  Collectively, people starting small businesses are doing the important work of recovery.  Anything I can do to help you, I am happy to do so.

John


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Top fifteen Fasting Growing Retailers

There are probably some lessons here...

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Friday, July 13, 2012

Nevada & Hong Kong Driverless Cars

In what way are Nevada and Hong Kong alike?  Both are testing driverless cars, which I think is an important step in mag-lev transport.

How come Hong Kong and Nevada?  Because both are low tax, high-innovation places.

Even Senator Reid, of Nevada, argues paying income taxes is for chumps.


Ignore the fellow abusing the senator.  Listen carefully to what the senator says.  He is quite correct.  You "loophole" your way out.  You take advantage of "incentives for people to do business."  People who are employees, can't do this, they are sitting ducks, like "Europeans."  If you are paying income taxes, it is because you volunteered to do so by your choice.  Reid is right.

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Thursday, July 12, 2012

How To Succeed In Hong Kong

So an Italian starts a shoe company in Italy.  He becomes so well known in Italy and around the world, people in Hong Kong knock him off.  That is all he needs to hear.  What to do about it?  Hire a lawyer?  Complain to the authorities? No. Open a store selling the real thing in Hong Kong.

If you were socially conditioned in USA, you have no idea how to compete.  You were taught to convert all business problems to legal problems, so that the state workers (lawyers) can shake you down.

Never call a lawyer for business advice.  If someone threatens you with a lawsuit, say "You can always sue me.  Right now we have a business problem.  If you call a lawyer, you'll make it a legal problem.  Sit, talk the problem over with me.  If you do not like what I propose, then you can still always sue me."

I heard a lawyer once say "I know we reached a good deal when both parties walk away equally unhappy."  The difference in business is both people walk away with a smile.

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Object To Vaccination & Inoculation

If it ain't broke, don't fix it.

The argument is those who do not get vaccinated put the rest of us at risk, because if there is a nasty disease, we who are not vaccinated will catch it and spread it.

Nonsense, another example of social conditioning.  Vaccinations and inoculations can be good and useful in certain circumstances.    But not in mass application.  The first line of defense is a strong immune system, and that is a result of good diet and exercise.

I've addressed this topic before, but what is new is slowly the state wants to make it so there is no exception.  This from the people who told blacks they were being treated for syphilis, when they were not.  This from a country where the president can secretly order medical experiments on unwitting populations.  If and when some of those Tuskegee people are tried for their crimes against humanity, then perhaps there may be some check of medicine as politics.

Where did I get my views?  Talking to doctors over 40 years ago about it.  Problem is, today, there are extremely few doctors left that bother with basic science.  They have become assembly line workers, and the field now attracts assembly line workers.

What we need is unregulation of medicine.  Our country would grow and overall health improve. At a minimum the state needs to be denied access to medicine policy.

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Wednesday, July 11, 2012

More Panjiva, ImportGenius, etc trade data


I've argued you should start a business selling a service you learned to do in my class, and that is analyze trade data.  Yes, you can do it yourself for free, but so often in life many people would just prefer to fork over the money to have someone else do it.  Your work is more valuable to them than their money.

Now I never turned it into a business, because I am too business with the too many businesses I am doing.  There is so much work to do out there.  There may be no jobs, but the paid work is endless.

Also, as a side note, this is another example of people worrying about others "stealing my idea."  I've been pushing this idea for at least 15 years, to everyone who can do it, and not until now did anyone do it.  This is another example of why I think it is delusional to believe someone will ever "steal your idea."

Early in my career I too worried about someone stealing my ideas.  Now much later, I worry that no one will steal my ideas.  Finally!  Casey Keller did it.  Check out his site at

http://www.usxnow.com/

And, in his own biz dev, he came across a very useful site that shares previous ruling by USCustoms by HTS number.

http://www.usitc.gov/scripts/tariff_affairs/hts_help.asp

Very nice...



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Is It Possible To Have No Police?

Yes.  For nearly 100 years, a section within Hong Kong had no police presence whatsoever. Living in the section was voluntary.  Anyone could leave any time.  People did come and go, from Hong Kong to total Freedom.  It has its problems, but the critics assertions are hard to warrant.


The question as to who is the cop in an anarchist polity is simple: you are.  If you are aggrieved, you take it up with your adversary.  If still aggrieved, you take it up with the community.  The the commnity will decide if they care or not, and shun a guilty perpetrator to some desgree.  We have three entities that do this...

The law merchant, which is the original international trade law, a completely voluntary organization.

Gypsy law, the same thing.   

International letters of credit, a system of payment.

The diamond merchants have their own system (caution: .pdf)

And the oldest and largest non-state government in the world, the Catholic Church.

All of these organizations may summons you and you may appear or decline to do so.  If you do, and do not care for their sanctions, you may decline to be subject to the punishment.  If so, then to some degree everyone else in the system decides to what degree to cooperate with you.  the result is pitch perfect justice.

And none of these systems are state-based government.  And this is far from an exhaustive list.  In every instance it is completely voluntary.

OK... how to deal with the murderer and rapist?  I address that at length here...  Almost everyone would be better off if we eliminated police departments.




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Tuesday, July 10, 2012

Today's Colloquy Continues




Thank you John! I meant to clarify this -  I have product "XYZ" that I plan to import to the US. I want to approach a potential Customer and say, " I am from "ABC, Inc" based in Philadelphia, PA, we import Product "XYZ" to the US and I would like to speak to your Purchasing department for a demo and present our samples."

Wouldn't the above approach add more credibility than approaching the customer - " I am John Doe, I have "XYZ" product that I import……etc"

***Credibility to what end?  What credibility do you need to sell twenty four retail packs (one case) of 16 oz curried nuts to one store?  How much credibility do you need to ask " I am John Doe, I have "XYZ" product that I import……etc" ?  You need no credibility in this case because no one is depending on you to any degree.  They want new ideas to test. They place a test order.  If you screw up a test order, then you know, then they know, and there is no problem.

Now, if you want to sell 1000 cases of 16 oz nuts to a store, then you will need some credibility.  Do you think the fact you are incorporated will give you the necessary credibility?

In the scenario of 1000 cases you need credibility for one of two reasons: 1. can you deliver a product on time to specification that will not cause the retailer problems, such as lawsuits, QC issues, etc.   2.  In the case where you are selling a commodity, and therefore someone else also sells your item, the retailer wants you to have enough credibility to talk their regular supplier down in price.

Incorporation will not answer those concerns.  In fact, no legal structure or name will answer those concerns.

One more thing, there is no legitimate reason a retailer would buy 1000 cases of 16 oz nuts to a store from a start-up company.  Retailers do not take risks.  The only plausible reason would be if they have no intention of ever paying you, then 1000 cases of 16 oz nuts to a store makes sense.  Any effort to protect yourself from theft in this scenario will not work.  If you ship, you will lose.***

In my case, I am about 100% sure about what I want to import which is a nut and it is always in demand in regular stores and Specialty store and Online only stores. Am I jumping the gun? 

***You are jumping the gun only if you do not first test your hypothesis.  The goal in testing your hypothesis is to find out why they would work with you.  Why are you better than anyone else in what you propose to sell.  (Plan A is because  it isnew, the qtys are no risk, and you are the only one.)***

My idea of incorporating a company is to create a platform for me to work on and test my hypothesis. 

***The platform is the product, not the legal form.***

I also plan to add more products down the line. Regarding the name for the company I was thinking more in the lines of  " XYZ Enterprises, LLC" or " XYZ Trading Group, LLC" etc... I would appreciate your comment on that as well. 

***Why not  just your name and nothing else? ****


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What Legal Form Should My Business Take

A colloquy with a student:


I was thinking about starting a company for the Import/Export business. Just wanted your recommendation on what I need to keep in mind. What type of corporation would you suggest - LLC or S-Corp? Also, the business category under which it would need to be opened? Any suggestion is greatly appreciated.


Well, understand the legal form has to do with taxes, and not much else, so this is a question for your CPA, not a lawyer.  Given your circumstances, what form should your business take?  Ask a CPA.  Your your CPA will tell you, given your circumstances (does your wife work, do you rent or own) what form the biz should take.



But first get customers,   they answer all sort of questions, then you know what you are doing.

As to biz category, well, just look at the list  "wholesaler, fruits..."

Thank you! Does it make sense to wait till I get a customer to incorporate? I was hoping to do my marketing as a "Company" instead of promoting it as an Individual. 

Normally when you incorporate, does it restrict you to any particular type of Products? I meant to ask, if I incorporate an "Import/Export" company, am I allowed to trade any "product"?

In the text I talk about NOT using "import export" in the name...  and as to marketing, to whom?  We don't market until we test our hypothesis...  the test is so likely to change your ideas about your business, you should wait until you have conducted your tests to decide what business you will have, and what legal form it should take.

Whether you are pursuing plan A or plan B, test your hypothesis, find out if you have customers, then you can form a business.


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Monday, July 9, 2012

Anti-IPR Summary


The US Intellectual Property Laws (IPR) laws are statutory laws enacted as a policy decision.  They were at no time considered natural rights. By law they are legal rights, but not natural rights.  Therefore, they are not inalienable.

There is nothing to support the claim that IPR fosters innovation.  It may be true, but at no time in history, has anyone warranted that claim.   With about 150 years of intensive practice we might have yielded proof, but no.

The claim that IPR places tremendous cost on society is warranted by enough studies to make it true.

Therefore we have a tremendous cost with not proof of benefit.

Further, of the nearly 7 million patens issued in USA since 1789, almost nothing patented has ever turned into a product  If the extremely few items that are patented and are turned into products, almost nothing is ever profitable.  If anything, a patent correlates with failure.

Nonetheless, we maintain a state agency with $3 billion budget for this regime.

It is not true that if you do not have monopoly rights you cannot make any money.  As opposed to all that is traded in commerce, only a sliver is covered by patents or IPR.  For example, 70 percent of new books sold are not covered b copyright, they are public domain content.  It is true that almost everyone owns some Apple product, now the largest corporation in the world by stock value, but an Apple product is a minor purchases in a persons economic activity.  The single largest purchase a person makes in a lifetime is a home for which intellectual property pays almost no part .  Food, clothing, gas, utilities, the next biggest costs, are rarely associated with intellectual property.  In any event, there is little monopoly if any, on those items.

Almost nothing traded in commerce is under IPR, yet people seem to make money without it.

You can invent, market, manufacture and sell an item and make money.  Based on customer feedback, you are likely to change your designs to please an ever wider group of customers.  

You can market, manufacture and sell an item and make money.  Based on customer feedback, you are likely to change your designs to please an ever wider group of customers.

In both instances the marketing, manufacturing, selling, and distribution is by far the major effort in making money.  The design is a minor part of the effort.

Therefore, small businesses really have no business with IPR anyway since they are constantly changing their offering.

Factories make money selling things they make.  They want the best designs, so they can make more items.  Designers may contract with factories to bring their designs to a given factory, in return for what we now call royalties.  In this was designers can make money under contract law, which is a part of natural law, and not bother with IPR, which is not found in natural law.

Apple Computer sells a system of distributing music called iTunes.  By paying well, Apple attracts the best artists to Apple’s means of production, iTunes.  So it is with factories and artists.  We need no IPR for artists to make money.

Someone else can ”steal” market, manufacture and sell an item and make money.   Based on customer feedback, they are likely to change your designs to please an ever wider group of customers.  This is good for the consumer.  This is were true wealth, more options to choose form that more closely match your desires.    Yes, the free market militates against individuals amassing personal wealth, so defined, but it was never intended to provide massive personal wealth.  The purpose of the free market is to offer ever more options at more better cheaper faster.  The free market is essentially about justice in distribution.

The research and development of products contributes almost nothing in the way of costs.

I understand in capitalism companies SPEND phenomenal amounts of money on research and development, but R&D does not cost that much.

Business expenses are taken off the bottom line, and the bottom line is what is subject to tax.  In the pharmaceutical industry, imperial lifestyles are buried in the R&D budget.  Vacations, sexytaries, Aspen and Davos confabs, personal effects, kids education's, sinecures for friends and relatives, bribes to officials, are all buried in R&D.  IPR invites personal corruption.

R&D that pays off is marginal, tiny tweaking at the margins.  Apple continuously introduces excitement with its miniscule improvements.

Why should society prevent individuals from using their equipment and skills to market, manufacture and sell an item and make money?

But what if our competitor goes low price?  Then you can go low price, if you want that market.

What if your competitor puts his name on your product?  If he does well, apparently people prefer his name on your product.  Therefore, if you want that business, put his name on your product.  If you do not want that business, leave it to them.

The fatal flaw in IPR is the holder shifts from marketing to violence backed monopoly.  Why should taxpayers be obliged to fund state agents to sort out a disagreement between and inventor and an adopter?  It was not necessary under the law merchant, why is it necessary now?  4th and 5th parties pay to protect 1st parties in disputes with second parties.  Why should I contribute to the millions in cost to protect bill gates from the free market?  Why not let Bill gates pay to protect his so called “wealth.”

What IPR does promise, aside form a sinecure for lawyers, is that you might win a lottery of sorts.  You might gain exceptional personal wealth.  Thus IPR appeals to the sort of people whose hopes are tied up in winning a lottery.  A lottery has one winner and countless losers, with nothing of value otherwise provided.  This is why all major religions condemn gambling.

The cost of IPR is less wealth for everyone else.

A lottery mentality is not a sustainable economic model.

In a free market, an individual may make less money, but never too little money, because one can always redesign to please more customers.  A free market is the only means of facilitating people’s best efforts, and rewarding it.  We see with deregulation how, as in telephones,we get more better cheaper faster.  This would be true of food, medicine and education as well.  There was no way to foresee the good we have now today back in 1980 when the telephones were deregulated.  Unregulation would be even better.

It may mean you will make less money, but that is not proven.  it may mean less money, less personal wealth, but not less access to a wider range of goods and services at ever lower costs.

Bastiat noted how economic calculation cannot include the unknown, what we would have if we were free.  WE can know it is better, we just do not know how, what new wonders we would see.


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Sunday, July 8, 2012

British Pension Is USA's Future

The Brits are a bit worse off and farther along in the destruction than USA, so you can watch what happens in the UK to see what will be true for USA very soon.

Keynesian economics is what got us into this mess, and the powers that be are ordering up more of the same.  The Austrian economists predicted this mess, for they have the analytical tools to demonstrate how and why, in advance.  (A fellow once cancelled a class registration with me since I subscribed to Austrian economics.)

Here is what is happening to pensions in the UK.


Experts say the Bank of England’s policy of printing money to ease the country through the recession has destroyed thepensions industry and “impoverished more than a million pensioners”.
And yesterday, in a fresh blow, the Bank’s policy makers agreed to more quantitative easing (QE), pumping an extra £50billion into the economy and boosting the money supply to £375billion.

That is pure Austrian analysis.

A man with £100,000 of pension savings in July 2008 would have been able to buy an annual fixed income of £7,855 for life. But his younger brother, who is retiring now, would only be able to secure an income of £5,743 – a 27 per cent cut.


Yes, of course.  That is how it is done.

Donna Hopton of financial advice service Cherryfind.co.uk said: “This is a dreadful time to be approaching retirement. People have worked hard and saved all their lives and now they are being kicked in the teeth.

No, the system was never sustainable.  It isn't personal, just inevitable.

“It is as if no one in power cares what happens to our pensioners and it is the generations coming next who will have to pick up the pieces.

Why should they care?  The retirees no longer pay taxes.  When a Moslem potentate offered tax-exempt status to a Jewish community, the Jewish leader rejected it.  "If we don't pay taxes, in time you will kill us."  If you hope for the young to pick up the pieces, visit a "retirement home" and see how many young people are there.  Out of sight, out of mind.

I see a pattern:  use one analytical system to advance bad policy, and then when the bad policy inevitably fails, use the right analytical system to explain what happened.

The catastrophic blow to pensions has been caused by the Bank of England’s programme of printing more money, known as quantitative easing, or QE.

This gives the people responsible for the damage credibility so they can stay in power after the damage.

Joanne Segars, chief executive of the National Association of Pension Funds, said: “Pension funds are deeper in the red than ever, and this extra dose of QE is only going to make things tougher.


But we already knew this.

Meanwhile, back at the banks...

One reason is the money needs to be siphoned away from retirees is because it is not enough to get bailouts. It is not enough to be tight with the government and get such deals.  Banks must also actively steal from retirees by pushing down the rates.

And here we see Spain is charging tourists more to leave their country.  Anyone whose plan is to make their pension go farther by retiring overseas will be miserable in time.

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