Saturday, November 24, 2012

Anarchy, Money & Definitions

Read this sentence aloud:

"There are only 10 kinds of people...."


You said "There are only ten kinds of people..."


Now I'll finish the sentence...


"those who think binary and those who don't."


Now, reread that first sentence and second part together.  If the second time you said out loud


"There are only two kinds of people, those who think binary and those who don't."


then you have an esoteric knowledge.  You are familiar with a numbering system few people use or understand, let alone read.  (It's the system our computers use.)


And you use specialized information correctly.  To the vast majority of people, they would not know what you were talking about, if you had a conversation with them.  In fact, if the definitions mattered to the conversation, you'd have to 01010110 them from the conversation just so you could make some progress.  Before they could join the conversation, they'd have to learn the definitions.


One term rarely used correctly is money.  Over 100011111100 years ago, Aristotle identified 0101 essential attributes that are necessary for a money:  It has to be durable, divisible, convenient, consistent, and have value in itself. 


Based on that definition there are some elements that may support any given item emerging as money.  If an element makes the candidate more durable, then it is more likely to emerge as money.  If a certain item is easily divisible, then it will recommend itself.  But often that which is durable is not easily divisible.  So these facets tend to be contradictory.  Water has value in itself, indeed, it is the second most important thing in life, next to air, but there is too much of it to be used as money.  And water has too many versions to be consistent, but nothing is more easily divisible.  What is there that best holds these contradictory elements together at once?


Notice what Aristotle did not say in defining money: gold.  But then he did not need to because few materials in life have all of those aspects, and gold is prime, so it tends to be used as money in all times and places.  Silver works well too.  In history we see conch shells and Marlboro cigarettes as money too, but only because, of all that was available in that time and place, it was that odd item that was closest to that which serves as money.  (update 2016: this is an error, those were used as tallies, not money). Gold was not available.


And if something has more attributes, rather unseen, then all the better.  For example, gold and silver are antibiotic.  That is to say when merchants make a payment, the medium they use, when the trade from hand to hand, is antibiotic.  This suppresses the spread of disease.  Silver does this as well, and copper and nickel to a much lesser degree.  And curiously, as atomic scientists have discovered more elements over the last two centuries, those that have antibiotic properties end up being offered as coins, such as rhodium and platinum, those elements that have no antibiotic properties for some reason never make it into the form of coin such as tantulum and iridium (except in novelty quantities).


As an aside, if money was properly defined, it might instance epidemiologists to track the bubonic plague as paper money replaced gold in trade in the middle ages.  Where and when did paper currency show up? 


One reason we cannot get our way out of this economic mess is we cannot begin to have a useful discussion when our terms are defined at once incorrectly and variably.  Talking past each other is inevitable.


One argument about money is the proper amount for an economy.  My head aches when I hear such questions.


1. There is an internal contradiction in the question. If it emerged as money, that presupposes it is the right amount of money to supply the needs.


2. Anyone posing such a question is no longer talking about money, but about derivatives, like warehouse receipts for money.  (If it is a warehouse receipt, it is not money.)  What they are talking about is currency, and warehouse receipts as currency.  Once, Federal reserve notes were warehouse receipts for gold in Fort Knox.  They no longer are.  But we commonly called Federal Reserve notes "money" and although they stopped being warehouse receipts, they are still called money.  When they stopped being warehouse receipts, they were simply fiat currency.  Fiat means faith, or credit.  So federal reserve notes today, are not money, there are not warehouse receipts for money, they are notes on credit used as currency in business.


Now,  notes on credit used as currency in business is nothing new in history or commerce and not a problem in its own right.  The only problem is if the state gets involved, or worse, claims a monopoly on the practice.  As a matter of course the state, if it engages in credit, must declare a monopoly, for no one in their right mind would ever trust a state to do the right thing.  Why businesses can trade in notes on credit used as currency is at that level the business is checking the credit and if wrong suffers any consequences directly and limited to its own decisions.


You head will ache to if you review what wikipedia has to say about money supply, a term inherently wrong, but universally used.



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Money
Money is any object or record that is generally accepted as payment for goods and services and repayment ofdebts in a given socio-economic context or country.[1][2][3] The main functions of money are distinguished as: amedium of exchange; a unit of account; a store of value; and, occasionally in the past, a standard of deferred payment.[4][5] Any kind of object or secure verifiable record that fulfills these functions can serve as money.

Now, with this misdefined term, the discussion continues, what is the optimum money supply?  Arrrggghhh...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Money_supply
Money supply:  In economics, the money supply or money stock, is the total amount of monetary assets available in an economy at a specific time.[1] There are several ways to define "money," but standard measures usually include currency in circulation and demand deposits (depositors' easily accessed assets on the books of financial institutions)

Wrong, and wrong. Given their outlines of the discussion, we can see that wikipedia cannot enter into the discussion, since it does not define the terms properly to begin with.  Follow wiki and you stray into ignorance, at least in the discussions above.

If it is money, as defined by Aristotle, or more succinctly "a medium of exchange (and a store of value)" then there is no need to discuss the right money supply.  The amount available is the right amount.  How do we know?  Because the market has made it money.

And the market precisely regulates how much money is in circulation.  Since money is often gold and silver, let's use that as an example.  As Spooner noted, as gold comes out of the ground, it is put into the form of coins (in history this was a private business.)  As the coin is spent into commerce, if the buying power gold commands drops because of excess supply, then jewelers begin to convert the coins into jewelry, decoration and plate, taking the coins out of circulation.  There is a signal where jewelers will get more for jewelry than for coin.  When there is too little in coin available, then the price goes up and
jewelry, decoration and plate get melted down and converted to coins (we are there right now.)


But what if a massive gold mine was discovered?  It has to be brought up.  The owners will bring it up as is financially sensible.  That is Russia today.  OK, what if a solid gold asteroid hit earth and there was trillions in gold immediately available?  Aside from that not happening, everything would simply be repriced given the new amount of gold.  No change.


From history we have a better example.  Spain was flooded with New World gold, stolen in violation of property rights.  This flood of gold so distorted Spain's economy, 400 years later they have not recovered.  Portugal was even more avaricious, but an earthquake in 1755 levelled their capital and destroyed their ability to be imperialistic.  Portugal was spared much by being destroyed.  


If there is any event in which anarchy is most proven as a benefit and a discipline it is the event in which money emerges.  Anarchy literally means no + king, and alternatively defined as spontaneous order out of chaos.  Money emerges as a medium of exchange (and since it emerges from a commodity that is already serving as a store of value, more or less, it retains its other nature as a store of value) out of the chaos of nothing yet serving as money.  Money brings spontaneous order out of chaos, and it is a purely market function.  


If we first define money properly (a huge "if") then we realize there can be no state participation in anything to do with money.  Money and the state are necessarily mutually exclusive events.  The only way the state can seem to have any relevancy is if something not money is misdefined as money.


Anarchists are the only ones who define money properly.  They are the only ones who can have a substantive conversation on the topic.  As such, they are the only ones likely to come up with a solution that matters or will work.  As sure as 01 + 01 = 10.


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Friday, November 23, 2012

Excellent Summary of Economic Circumstances Today

Anyone interested in a good summary of the situation at hand should read this economic analysis from Hayman Capital.   My big fear is our circumstances lead us to war, and it is the worry at Hayman Capital too.

I think their exposition of where they are putting their money and why (subprime housing) is interesting   but I think there are still so many surprises possible that any bet is a shot in the dark.

We concentrate too much power in too few hands.  then those too few people begin to use terms loosely or misleadingly, and it is difficult to understand the problem.


1. Money is merely a medium of exchange, which emerges in a free market as what from the array of commodities best suits the purpose. Lending money at interest (usury) is a criminal act in natural law. Usury (interest) cannot be sustained without state sanction. State sanction is where the violence begins.   Lending money at fractional reserve (that fraction above money is properly called “credit” but we are told it is money. )  The fraud begins.  Lending credit at interest (usury) is the next step.  Mischaracterizing this as “money” and then lending this credit at fractional reserve makes for exponential force and fraud.  Once the game gets to that point, there is no rational limit.  At some point it comes apart.  We are at the point it comes apart.

Governments support the arrogation of all of this credit unto themselves in order that they may concentrate power.  The concentration is achieved through usury (what we call interest) and the act of muclting proceeds is called taxation.  Govts are simply the legal fiction that curtains off the very human people who pull the strings.  

2. The score in this game is kept by the financial services industry.   In a free market The purpose of this regime is taxes, and banking to track the flow of “wealth” in order to tax it.   That is why all power is brokered at the financial institution level.  The Soviets report Hitler was so constrained by finances he could not develop his atomic bomb.  The Swiss report the Allies met with the Nazis regularly to settle accounts (in gold) for their cross-trade in war material.  This is to say that even total government is limited by its accounts.  When their credit is shot, transactions must be settled in gold.  Osama bin Laden got away at Tora Bora while the Coalition awaited the payment of gold to arrive, the media of exchange demanded by the Northern Alliance.  In history gold is used at end times.  

3. War is the default course.  I’ve been saying this for a while, and I hope I am wrong.  Whoever can prove their credit is better, that their ability to borrow and concentrate power is superior, will win the war.  The winners settle up all of the debts, usually by simply repudiating the debt.  (Something any country can do without war: Iceland is recovering since it repudiated its debt.  Ireland is sinking because it has not.)  Default is the peaceful solution.

The state has only two means: force and fraud.  They use both.  That is why state policy necessarily always gets worse.


4. There is an alternative.  In a free market there is money, properly defined.  There is finance based on credit, but limited to rather micro instances which, in total, add up to precise what is necessary and sufficient to maintain prosperity.  But there is no interest (usury) since it cannot be sustained in a free market.  There is investment, but only in instances in which both or all parties share the risk.  In this world, risk is minimized by normal market practices.

In a free market the above scenario gets no farther than money, vendor finance, and shared risk in investments.  Loans happen, but never with an expectation of gain.  In a free market, loans are economic events, but not market events.

To avoid war, the first step is to unregulate the financial markets, and make a separation between industry and state.  The paradox is to live in a free country we must be free of the state.   The tragedy is few people want the freedom that is the basis for peace and prosperity.

5. The only way forward is unregulation.  Not enough people will agree to that, because they want free stuff.    We will get unregulation, and free markets, when the system collapses.

To thrive in that system you need to know how to make something, or trade it. 






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Yiwu To Go SEZ?

Yiwu is a phenomenon, a city in one building with everything imaginable for sale.  It is struggling under the economic downturn.  so what is the solution?  More freedom!

Yiwu leaders are rallying to the Central government to become an SEZ. We in USA need to do likewise to maintain our competitive edge.


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Thursday, November 22, 2012

Be Thankful For What You've Got

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Start-Up & Personal Transformation

But John, what if I just want financial independence just enough enough money to stop worrying about it. Can you be little more specific about the lifestyle echo? 

The plaint reveals the problem. "But" is a reservation.  "I" is orientation.  "want" is self-referential. "independence" is lack of responsibility.  This anonymous question reflects a well-indoctrinated American.  This person is trained to be a tax-paying drone.  No wonder he wants out.  But he is heading the wrong way.

What are you thankful for today?  All the good things are the result of people who indeed did start with a problem they themselves experienced, but then related it to the world around them.  Solving problems not only for oneself, but others too.

Easier said than done.  The big challenge in life always comes from within.  So personal transformation is key to success.

I am not in the personal transformation business.  It is more than I can handle just looking a the process of start-up.  But I do understand that integral with start-up is personal transformation.  But that topic is well covered by so many others.  Publishing has Houses devoted to the topic, every book store has a section on it, and what is religion except a format of personal transformation, with Truth claims?  My best advice on picking this important component is "we are obliged to respond to the religion to which we are called."  Especially atheism.  As part of this effort, get a personal transformation regime in place.  if so, then that in part is also lifestyle element.

Money is a medium of exchange, and in the measure it is also a commodity, a store of value.  It is only there to pay for things.  Love of money is the root of all evil.  If you worry about money, something is wrong.  If that is your focus something is wrong.

A lifestyle has to be paid for, but most of life is exchange of some sort, obligations formed and discharged.  Donuts and coffee are no charge at fellowship after church service, but you are expected to  meet and greet.  To sweep in, grab a donut and coffee and flee is to violate the implied obligation.  (Nothing is really free).  If you order a Starbucks, when you pay your debt is cancelled.  No further obligations.

In both instances, it is about a cup of coffee, and relationships.  At church you are developing relationships with like-minded souls, for support.  At Starbucks you are availing yourself of a caffeine jolt so you may love the morning.  In both instances you got your coffee.  But each represents a very different lifestyle.  I make no recommendations, just to illustrate differences, two options within an infinity of options.

It is adding your own unique contribution, which no one else can, that creates the + 1 to all known options available.  It starts with you and it relates to all others. or as many as you are able to reach.  There is a feedback loop.  Do this, please more people.  See computers, Apple.

You have to work, no matter what.  Without customers, you've got nothing.  An employee has a customer, his employer.  The employee provide vendor financing as well, working a week or two before being paid, extending credit to the employer, in violation of biblical teaching, and worth hundreds of billions to industry every year.

Employees work to get money to pay for lifestyle.  They work to make someone else's hopes and dreams come true, and then go home, cook dinner, watch TV and go to sleep.  Weekends they do laundry and run errands.  What little time is left for living they desperately borrow money to approximate a life.  They need money to pay for things that say to others "Man, am I living!"

The shift to self-employment is "Here is the problem I am working on.  What do you think?"  With everything oriented around that, the question of money does not come up.  To be short a few C notes is just life, so go unload some containers on the docks.  No doubt you needed some time in the fresh air.  After you've done that, get back to work.  With everything oriented toward the problem you are solving, everything else becomes secondary.  Where you live, what you eat, how you dress, what you read, what you call entertainment, who your friends are.  Self-employed see a nice house with a pool and think "debtor's prison."  Now the irony is the self-employed make so much anyway they pay cash for a house just to shut the wife up.  All kidding aside, when I hear founders complain about no time to sail their yacht, ski out of their chalet, or whatever ever else,  I understand it is their choice, they run the business, they prefer the work to the money.

To say "I want just enough money for financial independence and to stop worrying about it," well, that is why we have places like Google and Boeing.  That is just living for the city.


But that ain't livin.  Life is about seeing the problems around you and responding to them, and finding joy in that.  Money can be A problem in life, but it is not THE problem.  There is meaning in suffering, that's the paradox.



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Wednesday, November 21, 2012

Employment Opportunities Galore

Here is an importer who listened to feedback from mom and acted on it to ever improve his product.  The specific problem is about fluoride, an industrial waste disposed of into our drinking water for reasons never scientifically established.

This is another example of how there is money to be made counteracting bad government policy.  And how we need access to overseas suppliers to develop these new products.

The importer Kao, surprised to hear that fluoride is a concern, got busy redesigning.  He explains since civilized countries do not put industrial waste like fluoride in drinking systems, they never looked at that hazardous material in Japan, Taiwan, etc.

Funny that.  Fluoride has been controversial in USA since it was first put in our drinking water by the government  75 years ago.  In 1999 government workers tried to end it, and in 2005 7000 EPA scientists, etc call for its end.  It is no secret in USA there is a problem.  But there is no personal use solution like this from the USA.  We are simply not a nation of innovators, due to our intellectual property laws.



As our economy goes downhill farther, there will be calls to curtail freedom, when it is regulation that puts fluoride in water.  There will be calls to close the borders to keep jobs here when it is federal "get big or get out" that drives outsourcing.  There will be calls to constrain capital flight when it is monetary policy that scares money away.  The solution is unregulation, but that is not what we'll get.  People want to be oppressed.  When told to do so, they will drink the kool-aid.  I mean fluoridated water.

The Soviet Union allowed pea-patch style gardening.  It was estimated this provided more food on the USSR than the industrial farms.  We'll get there.  Start a business.  Now.

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China To Pop Up Worlds Tallest Building in 90 Days

This is a step forward onward and upward from smaller projects. This is management intensive, not labor intensive. No one is saving $13,500 psf due to low wages. The point is by taking most labor out, and replacing it with cheap management of slick logistics, China is leapfrogging the West here as well. Chinese civil engineering companies are thriving in USA, using USA union labor. If your premises are wrong, it is likely your conclusions will be wrong. 

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USDA Wins One For Frankenfoods

"This proposal allows USDA and the agricultural biotechnology industry to abdicate responsibility for preventing GE contamination while making the victims of GE pollution pay for damages resulting from transgenic contamination," it said.

Well of course. Welcome to USA! That was baked into the deal.  Your first error was to allow the USDA, a wholly owned subsidiary of Monsanto, to be in on any discussion.

If you want to protect your property, you need your property rights protected.

"The report is the culmination of a great deal of hard work and complex discussion and review," said Vilsack in a statement. "I understand that required compromises to find common ground."

No matter how hard 23 owned committeemen and bureaucrats work, they cannot substitute for the protections provided by property rights.

"We urgently need meaningful regulatory change that institutionalizes mandatory GE contamination prevention practices," the National Organic Coalition said. "USDA needs to stop dragging its heels, get serious and focus on making this happen."

Barking up the wrong tree.  If you want to learn something about how USA came to be owned by big biz, then read Morton Horwitz.  If you want to farm, you better study law. You need property rights, not USDA regulations.


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Tuesday, November 20, 2012

How 91% Tax Will Crush the Dope Trade

I always wondered how various friends, productive members of society who merely self-medicate since we have such a brutal medical regime in the USA, can be using dope for over 40 years and never they nor their dealers ever get busted.  Well, it is a well oiled system.  They use marijuana and cocaine, whereas what is sent into the ghetto is criminalized.

A deep undercover narc explained it to me. All that dope money has to be laundered to be used.  The welfare checks go out, the crack flows in, the two are exchanged, and the shadowing forces come up with fantastic sums.  Now, it has to be laundered to be used.  If you want to transfer a million bucks somewhere to use it, you have to show you earned it.

So you have a chain of pizza joints that take in $2500 a month, or whatever.  You declare $50,000 per month, the difference being the dope receipts. You depoist the dope money in your local bank account. You pay about 30% in taxes, or $15,000.  Now, you have $35,000 a month with which you can do whatever you like.  Plus, you've paid protection money to the government and you will NEVER be busted.

As an aside, people who argue if we legalize dope we can tax it are delusional on two fronts.

1. It is already taxed, if anything the tax revenue will go down, as dope is put in food (medibles) which is not taxed in our state, and of course prescriptions (medical marijuana) is not taxed.  So you see why the state people do not want marijuana liberalization?  It will kill a huge tax base.

2. Genocide is still in play in USA. When Lincoln's "back to Africa" plan did not work out, progressives have been angling to liquidate the population with some African heritage ever since.  Crack to the Ghetto is the American "slo-cooking" way.  The reason I don't like this policy is we are denied the good of the competition from these targeted groups. I disagree with Darwin on the desirability of their extermination.  If for no other reason, as a Celt, it was less than 100 years ago the progressives were saying the same things about us.  Celts are tolerated only because we'll fight the progressives' wars for them.

So as mentioned earlier, if the fed tax rate goes to 91%, small businesses, legitimate ones, will simple spend the money inside the business on the owner and his family, before taxes.

Drug dealers will have a heck of a time trying to spend $35,000 per month within the confines of what is a legitimate expense in a pizza parlor.  It takes time to spend, and more time to spend legitimately when your money is hot.

The very best plan is freedom, deregulate, unregulate anything, something, everything.  None of that will happen because all peoples clamor to be oppressed, as first noticed in 1 Samuel 8 (and emphasized in 1 Samuel 12.)

So what is the next best thing for economic recovery.  Give 'em what they want, good and hard.  91% on top incomes, and good and hard down the line.  Who gets nailed?  Money launderers and anyone who takes home a paycheck, like corporate raiders.  Of course, the taxes will go up on the small guys too, employees (and services decrease), but then such oppression is what they clamor for when they turn in a job application.

Yes, 91%, plus unregulate medicine.  China will never know what hit them in terms of economic competition.


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What Is Going On?

Am I the only person who sees this?  I've talked about it before, I read lots of sources, but no one else is stating what I see as so obvious.

And it is not as though this is some unknown gambit.  It was Joseph's advice to Pharaoh, and taking it Pharaoh took over the world

Mish and Pettis are both watching China build empty cities and buy up all commodities they can get their hands on.  With what money?  Well, none, except trillions in funny money from selling trinkets to USA.

Why would they do this?  For the same reason Pharaoh did it.  To end up on top.  When capitalism's house of cards comes tumbling down, and economic ruin descends on the West, China will have stockpiles of cotton, copper, iron and steel, rare earth, foodstuffs, ships and production expertise in every field.  With the empty cities, they could survive a nuclear war, and start over the next day.

How will we do in a conflict with China?  Well, look at who makes it to the top in a democracy.  We have the most ridiculous generals imaginable. Our generals do not deserve our solders.  Politicians pick them, that is the law.  Democracy yields people or rather normal qualifications and gives them astonishing power.  As that fails, people will say "if we only had the right people in power..."  Enter the strong man.  Then we'll have the indispensible leader on top of the fascist system.

The right way to go, to freedom, not to more oppression, is not considered.

When this goes bad, the same people who voted Obama/Romney will clamor for a strongman, just like in 1 Samuel 8.  We should go the other way, to freedom, to outflank the Chinese, but do not count on it. So it will get very hard.

We have the most stupid economic policies imaginable.  But they are tradable.  I've beens self-employed since 1984 based on them, and understanding they are a bad idea.  (I would have been self-employed anyway, but I wish we had free markets so I could do even better.) So I vote for the people who understand the problem, but they never win.  What else should I do?  Well, teach people how the world really works.  Why?  Because after the crash, and the strong man, we'll need some people who know how to do business.  It will be the anarchists who bring forth the beer and bread and sausage after we go through our own downfall.

Predictions are based on memory.  Can you remember a time when we borrowed our way to prosperity?  But we remember a time Pharaoh bought up all of the stores in the fat years.  And Pharaoh called the shots in the lean years.

Joseph advised Pharaoh to store up seven years supply.  China has a six year stock available.  USA is supplying year seven now.

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Monday, November 19, 2012

All Hail Paul Krugman 91% Tax!

Nobel economist and NYTimes columnist Paul Krugman is calling for a return to the 91% tax of the Eisenhower era.  I said this was inevitable, here and in my classes.  And it is, given our system, and the trouble we are in, it is necessary.

Now, what will happen?  Will it be a job killer?  You bet!  Not the kind of jobs that matter.  People who are in it to loot the money and run away, like the Great Twinkie Caper, won't do that if Uncle Sam gets 91%.  Will it kill innovation?  Now way.  All federal taxes are always voluntary to an individual.  Just like unemployment is always voluntary to an individual.   Individuals will get busy innovating.

You see, when taxes shoot up to 91%, I'll just spend nearly everything inside the company.  On my lifestyle. The Twinkie-killers want to take the money out and away.  They would have no interest in spending all the profits inside the company, living La Vida Twinkie.

At 91% tax, certain kinds of businesses would fail.  Those that are set up to extract large, short term profits.  You tell me who they are.  Just listen to whatever CEO condemns Krugman.  Then when the 91% tax kicks in, short that CEO's stock.

As many companies fold, many people will be unemployed.  When self-employment is necessarily exempt from the 91% tax, many people start businesses.  Thus we will have a small business renaissance.

So, my economic policies, given the "inevitable is the ideal":

1. Regarding the fiscal cliff?  Gun it and get sailing out over it as soon as possible.  No more kicking the can down the road.  Cut the military spending deep, deep, deep.

2.  91% percent tax rate.  Bring it on!

3. Get rid of the home mortgage deduction. Yipeeyaiyay!  Housing prices would drop as sales skyrocketed.

4. Let Volcker run the Fed again.  Interest rates up to 22% and gold up to $5000.  For about 20 minutes.  Talk about a reset button!

I think this is the first time I've ever agreed with Krugman.

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Twinkies, Unions & Pensions

There was never a chance Hostess would have survived.  Romney lost the the election, but the Bain way continues.  Anyone who thought there would be any change under Obama is delusional.  18,000 union folks lost their jobs and pensions, just like if Romney had been president.

The point is pensions, and always has been.  When Fedex bought Flying Tigers, the merger was about getting Flying Tigers's fully funded pension and matching it with Fedex's under funded pension.

Company pensions are treasury money, meaning the company can do what it wants with the cash.  Corp raiders come in and distribute money as they wish and shut it down.  they pay themselves as the assets sell off.  No pension liability makes the net price higher when selling assets.

Now they mention Hostess products might be made overseas.  Why not?  They could survive re-entry from outer space, what's a boat ride?

What this means is factories will go idle, and those bakers will not get jobs, even at a lower wage.

This will result in cries for protectionism, to "keep jobs here."  That would be a mistake.  What we need is to have unions that protect their assets.  When some leaders agreed to let the companies run the pensions, and agreed to let pension funds be corporate treasury money, they sold the rank and file down the river.

When the government has a monetary policy that allows big business to avoid tax and launder money by going overseas then we'll get that.

Free trade is crucial to a free country.  What is going on with Hostess is not free trade.  It is another government policy failure.

What we need is a New Union Movement.  And a elimination of government interference in money.

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Business On a Bicycle

I was in a knife shop with my daughter when we came upon this bicycle.  If you look closely, there is a grinding wheel mounted on the handlebars.  Notice the box on the front.



The bike is designed to be ridden through a neighborhood and the rider takes in business sharpening knives.  He parks the bike, extends the stabilizers, and switches the chain from the back wheel to the grinding wheel.  His peddling turns the grinding wheel.  In the box in the front is whetstones for fine work.

For a couple of thousand bucks someone can have a cash based business with lots of exercise. Dull knives are far more dangerous than sharp knives.  As people move from highly processed foods to more paleo, a set of good sharp knives matter.

All unemployment is voluntary.

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APPLE, R.I.P.

This is sad to see.  Apple is going downhill extremely fast.  have you noticed when they build a big building, they go down?  Sears build the Sears Tower.  Washington Mutual built their Tower.  Pan Am built their Tower. It is like the story of the Tower of babel all over.  Build a tower to yourselves, and go under.

It would be great if Apple was simply working the patent angle defensively.  But as the Samsung lawsuit showed they are not.  Now Samsung has turned that court defeat into an economic success.  Like the tower of Babel, Apple no longer understands the language of the markets.

Buy winning the argument Samsung phone was so close as to be the same thing as the Apple iPhone, worldwide people learned that Apple says the Samsung phone was so close as to be the same thing as the Apple iPhone.  Gary North says in advertising every ad should have 2 elements:  Who says? So what?  Here Apple paid tens of millions to say Samsung phone was so close as to be the same thing as the Apple iPhone.  Who says?  Apple.  So what?  Save $300.

Losing was the best thing to ever happen to Samsung.  And this is where it gets sticky.  That USA victory has nothing to do with anything outside of USA.  Where Samsung won the cases.  And Samsung will now outgrow Apple.  Because, as Apple lawyers earned tens of millions arguing, Samsung is as good as Apple.

Fire all your patent attorneys now.

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Allen Edmonds Shoes

Back when I took a sabbatical from work to get a degree, I was an impoverished student yet I forked over some $250 at the time (circa 1984) for a pair of Allen Edmonds black dress shoes.  Seems like a lot, but I knew they were a better value.  Some 30 years later, I bought another pair.

These shoes have been on me and through snow in Moscow and under water in Hong Kong and Venice.  I use Meltonian creme to shine them and they just keep going.  About a decade ago a young cat attacked then as part of a hunting expedition in my closet, and the microscopic tears eventually expanded.  If not for the cat, could I have gotten another decade?

At 30 years, $250 is much better than $100 every 5 years ($600 total) for say a pair of Cole Haan. Plus, they are more comfortable than any other I have worn. I've worn them standing for eight hours delivering a seminar.  But what about changing fashion?  A plain black toe cap never goes out of style.  I wear them working, to funerals and with a tuxedo. So I bought another pair, now $330. Here are one of each shoe on my feet, the old on the bottom and the new on the top.  (No, I do not wear black crew sox with dress shoes. That's just what I was wearing when I took the shot.  Sheesh.  Give me SOME credit.)


I carefully compared the two shoes made 30 years apart and as far as I can tell the only difference is they no longer tack the tongue in place, and don't roll under one seam on one layer on the tongue. I am pretty sure neither one matters.

But as to fashion,  a year or two after I bought the first pair,  I saw a pair of Allen Edmonds tassled loafers in a yellow brown that was probably the best looking shoe I'd ever seen. So I bought a pair of those as well.  Since I travel with both pairs, it too has seen the elements and the abuse I dish out.  But this particular shoe is no longer made, but not to worry.  Allen Edmonds will "recraft" any of their shoes.  So for about $100, they made a style that is no longer available pretty well restored.  (30 year old leather is 30 year old leather, so I can't say "like new.")

So what is the lesson?  Sometimes buying high-end is the most economical decision.  Allen Edmonds does not compete on price, and is still going strong.  Quality matters, and it is an element in design.  We don't compete on price, we compete on design.

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Sunday, November 18, 2012

How USA Outlasted USSR

There is another difference between Hong Kong and the USA.  In Hong Kong, the government owns the land (except for the property of one Anglican Church), and you can only lease real estate, for say 99 years.  In the United States, every generation must buy back their property from the government.

The agricultural policy of the United States is "get big or get out."  There might be resistance to Soviet style mass murder of small farmers, as in the Ukraine in the 1930s, which American progressives praised, but cooler heads in the United States came up with a system that achieves the same goals, eliminating the small farmers, in a way that cannot be resisted.

But according to the American Farm Bureau, up to 97 percent of American farms and ranches will be subject to an estate tax where the exemption is set at $1 million. At that rate, the federal government will pocket $40 billion in 2013 and up to $86 billion in 2021. That contrasts with just $12 billion this year.

Read more: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/16/ranchers-farmers-brace-for-death-tax-impact/?intcmp=trending#ixzz2CVOxcSXb


Since farmers die off at an uneven rate, one farm shutting down is not enough to cause a backlash.  Now this does not mean the farm goes fallow, it just means Monsanto and Archer Daniels Midlands takes over and grows frankenfoods and biofuels, all massively subsidized, to delight progressives.

The problem is where as small farmers once paid taxes, once the small farm is taken over, it costs amazing amounts of money to keep going.    And where once farmers produced good food, we now get cancers.

This will all end very badly.  We only outlasted the USSR, that doesn't mean we are better then the old USSR.  This system will not go on forever. Your only lifeboat is self-employment.

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Critical Shortage of Medicines

“When you can’t treat basic things — cardiac arrest, pain management, seizures — you’re in trouble,” said Dr. Carol Cunningham, the state medical director for the Ohio Department of Public Safety’s emergency services division. “When you only have five tools in your toolbox and three of them are gone, what do you do?”

Because of our "progressive" policies, every day USA heads deeper and deeper into third world milieu.  Now we are short of critical medicines.  When a tiny group makes decisions for everyone, they necessarily get it wrong.

Regardless of the cause, the drug shortage has forced the F.D.A. to make some tough choices, including allowing manufacturers to sell drugs that, if it were not for the crisis, most likely would have been recalled. Last year, for example, the agency allowed the manufacturer American Regent to sell a drug used during chemotherapy that was found to contain glass particles. Doctors and nurses were instructed to filter the drug, sodium thiosulfate, before administering it to patients.

Nice.  How is it a tough choice?  No one in the FDA suffers in the slightest by the "choice."  The only tough choice is for a doctor to decide if glass particles were going to make the cure worse than the disease.   The other tough choice is for the person suffering who should think about escaping USA medicine for some place safe, like Thailand or the Georgian Republic.  But of course guess who the New York Times blames?

Caused largely by an array of manufacturing problems, the shortage has prompted Congressional hearings, a presidential order and pledges by generic drug makers to communicate better with federal regulators.

This is not a manufacturing failure, or market failure, it is another government policy failure.  So let's get a couple dozen people together and solve the problem, right?  It cannot happen.  Expect shortages to continue until we have a free market in medicine.

Coffee is a tough product to produce.  It is a mild drug, like opium. The caffeine in it can be abused, these days killing people who overdose on it. It can't grow in the continental USA, it grows in the jungle. It is susceptible to some destructive diseases.  Harvesting and processing is tough, and challenge logistically. It needs to be handled and roasted right to get that cup you enjoy.  A lot can go wrong, but one things that happens, there is never a shortage and never a quality control issue.  When was the last time you saw a rat at Starbucks? Or got sick from drinking their coffee?

Federal drug officials trace much of the drug shortage crisis to delays at plants that make sterile injectable drugs, which account for about 80 percent of the scarce medicines. Nearly a third of the industry’s manufacturing capacity is not running because of plant closings or shutdowns to fix serious quality issues. Other shortages have been caused by supply disruptions of the raw ingredients used to make the drugs, or by manufacturers exiting the market.

The reason coffee does not have these problems is caffeine is not on the FDA drug list, although it is the #2 drug used in USA, behind Tylenol.  How come, if the FDA is there to assure quality, the places that make these drugs had to be shut down, in spite of the fact that the FDA has been intensely supervising them for a decade?  Like the SEC had been intensely watching Madoff for a decade?

And there is more.  Every wino everywhere knows where there is a mission with a free cup of coffee (although many cities are now criminalizing giving free food to the homeless.)  Many businesses offer free coffee.  It's good for business.   How come when government policy fails, they make things worse?

F.D.A. to make some tough choices, including allowing manufacturers to sell drugs that, if it were not for the crisis, most likely would have been recalled.

How come if things are bad, they try freedom, and that works?

The agency also loosened some restrictions on importing drugs, and sped up approvals by other manufacturers to make certain medicines.

It is madness that people are dying while officials make "hard choices" that affect themselves not in the least.  We are far better off when a drug dealer, like Starbucks, has no FDA oversight.  I'd trust Starbucks over any government policy.

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