Saturday, September 12, 2015

Small Business International Trade Still Good


I do not think Stockman would mind me amending his statement to red from “welfare state America ‘ to “Welfare/warfare America”
In welfare state America its virtually certain that through one artifice or another taxes will go up and the national debt burden will rise to crushing heights in order to keep the baby boomers’ entitlements funded. While Keynesians and Wall Street stock peddlers are clueless about the implications of this——it actually doesn’t take too much common sense to get the drift. Namely, under a long-term path of fewer producers, higher taxes and more public debt, the prospects for rejuvenating the previous historically average rates of real output growth are somewhere between slim and none—-to say nothing of the super-normal rates implied by the markets’ current bullish enthusiasm.
As we explained a few days ago, the growth rate of the US economy is in a profound downward trajectory. Based on even the deficient national income and products accounts (NIPA), the growth of real final sales has dropped from 3.6% per annum during the golden era of 1953-1971 to only half that level or 1.8% since the year 2000, and to only 1.1% since the pre-crisis peak in late 2007.
So welfare warfare cannot be sustained... the stocks, real estate, delusional bond valuations (based on notional derivitive values) pensions O Lord!~ it is all becoming such a hash, a lifetime work just to sort out your plea for what is yours. 

Or turn away:
So absent the Fed massive money printing campaigns since 2000 and the resulting drastic falsification of financial prices, cap rates or PE multiples would be going down, not stretching into the nosebleed section of recorded history. But in a central bank driven casino, there is no honest price discovery or discounting of the forward prospects for business growth and profits. The only thing that is actually “priced-in” is the expected short-term actions by the FOMC—–where today the consensus quickly concluded that the dreaded day in which carry trade gamblers would be required to pony-up the onerous sum of 25 bps for their chips would be deferred until September.
That whole game is over, in destructive mode.

Ignore all of your “assets”  assume there is nothing worth you claiming.

Join in the solution of starting your own business.  if int'l trade is in your plans, I have various options on the upper left links on this page.  International trade is still strong, the stability in the small business sector.

Goods and Services Deficit
http://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/data/index.html


Feel free to forward this by email to three of your friends.


Friday, September 11, 2015

Back in the US, Back in the US, Back in the U S S R

Labor is the eternal, perennial, current, sole continuous extender of benecredit in the history of man, and as if this is not enough, it is also abused further by the powers that be.


The reason Latin is no longer studied is that we would see that USA history has played out before, same way, same results.  As Rome went into decline, people escape to anarchy.  Rome taxed people horribly and when they tried to escape were captured and returned to do their job, or work their land.
More Americans living outside the U.S. gave up their citizenship in the first quarter of 2015 than ever before, according to data released Thursday by the IRS.
The 1,335 expatriations topped the previous record by 18 percent, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Those Americans are driven to turn in their passports in part because of laws that have expanded bank reporting and tax compliance requirements for expatriates.
The increase in early 2015 follows an annual record in 2014, when 3,415 Americans gave up their citizenship.
An estimated 6 million U.S. citizens are living abroad, and the U.S. is the only country within the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development that taxes citizens wherever they reside.
No escaping the debts you allowed to grow.




Feel free to forward this by email to three of your friends.


Microsoft Windows 9.5

What do Computers and Air Conditioning Units have in Common?

The both work fine until you open Windows.

How come Microsoift skipped V 9 of Windows, and is going to v 10?

Because there was already a Windows 95, and can you imagine the confusion and problems with a Windows, V 9.5?  This would be a typical microsoft mistake, a company that has been a net deficit in the world of computers since its inception.

The fact that microsoft avoided causing a problem is now, very new, and perhaps since Gates and Blamer are no where to be seen, the company might actually provide some net value...
For the last few decades, Microsoft would sit down and build a new version of Windows every three years or so. This new version would start shipping on new PCs, but by and large, consumers didn’t run out and buy the new version to upgrade their computers. They simply got the new Windows when they got a new computer. With Windows 10, Microsoft isn’t even getting cash from those who do want to buy the latest and greatest version. Following the furor over Windows 8 and it’s tablet-centric design, Microsoft has announced Windows 10 will be a free update for one year from release.
About time they began to operate responsibly.

.Feel free to forward this by email to three of your friends.



TPP: Reshoring NIKES

The nonsense of making nikes in usa proves TPP is bad program:
That would boost Nike’s current domestic employment of about 26,000. But it would still be only a small fraction of its global workforce, estimated at over 1 million, with most in manufacturing jobs in low-wage countries such as Vietnam and Indonesia. While Nike makes some shoe components in the U.S., such as its trademark Air Soles, it has not assembled shoes in the country since 1984.
Management is the key in business, and Nike outsoources the management of shoe production, and then legally launders profits overseas to avoid USA taxes... USA labor rates have zero impact on international trade or domestic production.
“There are only two ways of making shoe production come back to the United States,” he said at a National Press Club speech. “Either new advances in automation, which from my viewpoint are a ways away, or establishing tariffs and quotas that dictate that shoes have to be made in the United States.”
Nike’s decision to pursue domestic manufacturing, even on a relatively small scale and conditioned on the ratification of a complex trade deal, is a triumph for Obama, who was reported to have pressed another American corporate titan to do the same with little success.
At a 2011 dinner in Silicon Valley, according to a New York Times report, Obama pressed the late Apple chief executive Steve Jobs for why iPhones – tens of millions of which are made in China and elsewhere – couldn’t be made in the U.S.
Jobs was, as Knight had been more than a decade earlier, dismissive: “Those jobs aren’t coming back.”
Those jobs aren't, nor should they, because they are false economy jobs.  What USA needs is a new real economy, free trade and an end to corporate welfare.

Feel free to forward this by email to three of your friends.


Thursday, September 10, 2015

Uncle Sam Hoarding Cash... Should You?

Now, even as they test out outlawing cash (gee... how come?) uncle sam is finding it prudent to.... hoard cash....
WASHINGTON, May 4 (Reuters) - The U.S. Treasury scrapped plans to pay down debt between April and June because it now considers it prudent for the government to hold a bigger cash buffer, an official at the department said on Monday.
The official, who spoke to journalists in a briefing but was not authorized to be identified, said the policy decision followed the advice of an advisory committee that recommended keeping more cash on hand to weather unforeseen disruptions.
Folks, what if you read reliable reports that all the smart, connected people and the critical government agencies were buying boats and stocking them with canned food?

Would  you wonder/  Would you think it through?  Would you think... hmmm... not sure why, but maybe I better do that too?

But wait, they at the same time are outlawing you to buy a boat and stock it...

Then what?

You can fight them, or not.  You can simply move to higher land, much higher land, and contiue your work, or start new work needed in the empty higher land...

These guys expect le deluge...  be elsewhere, producing independlenty.

Start your own new business... best prep and defensive move possible.  You’ll work in credit, not money...

Feel free to forward this by email to three of your friends.


TPP. TISA and other World Trade Deals

They are supposed to be "free trade" agreements, and uruguay has responded properly: pulling out.
Clearly, the withdrawal of Uruguay will have almost no effect whatsoever on TISA itself: the major trading nations will continue their talks behind closed doors, agreeing more of the text that locks in their view of how trade in services should be freed from government controls. But Uruguay's move possesses a tremendous symbolic importance. It says that, yes, it is possible to withdraw from global negotiations, and that the apparently irreversible trade deal ratchet can actually be turned back. It sets an important precedent that other nations with growing doubts about TISA -- or perhaps TPP -- can look to and maybe even follow.
Free trade is unilateral.  Just establish you have no rules or regulations, then grow rich as a country.

Feel free to forward this by email to three of your friends.


Monday, September 7, 2015

Mal-Credit V Bene-Credit


The workers today are paid in credits, not money.  There is little if any money in our economy.  Currency is not money, and 2/3rds of it is outside USA anyway.

The error in the textbooks is to claim money arose to solve the problem of double coincidence in barter...  the guy with 500 eggs who wanted a lamb needed to meet a guy with a lamb that wanted 500 eggs.  Thus money arose to solve this problem, especially gold and silver so everyone could go home with parts of sales  (eggs to 125 people at 4 each earning enough silver to buy a lamb...)

But that is not what happened...  people extended credit.  All the people who wanted eggs were noted by a tally, and the tally could be given to the lamb fellow, or stored in the temple (it appears all cultures kept the tallies and the gold and silver in their temples).  Religiously (to tie?  http://forward.com/articles/10776/roots-of-religion/) people would make good on their asset-backed credit eventually.

This was both creative in the sense it allowed people to produce (create) without having to worry about either or barter or money and unitive in that to play this game you must be, more or less, acceptable to the community at large.  Failure to perform generates ever less access to the system, so the system has a built-in behaviour modification, civilizing aspect.

This was the case, largely, until the late 1970s, when the extractors gave raw materials to the processors on credit, the processors gave the manufacturers product on credit, manufacturers to wholesalers, wholesalers to retailers, retailers to end-users.  There is very little money needed at all for an economy to thrive (and then only for one shot deals or in times of disaster when the community is ruined by disaster).  Archeologists find pots of gold and silver where cultures ended in war, none when cultures end in natural disaster.  Money (usually gold and silver) is beside the point in a sound economy.  It is in the temple because the hegemon needs it to buy what he wants.

Back to all that credit extension...  up to 1970s there were no student loans, since you would work a summer to make enough to pay for the year; there were few if any car loans since you could earn enough to get a used car to start, home loans were got through savings and loans, which essentially charged "interest" in the medieval sense of covering a loss for making the loan as opposed to the new sense, since circa 1975, or making money on a loan.

A group digging up tin knew that for the next month it could make more money digging up tin after all costs than all the costs.  So its work was profitable, and it thrived.  It extended credit to its customers, who did so all down the line.  No money.  The workers at the end of the month went around and paid the grocer, pharmacist, S&L, gas man, department store, and so on with cash if they were paid in cash, with checks if they were paid by check.  

This represented a massive economy all based on asset-backed credit.  There was tin dug up, there were raw materials, wholesale warehouses, retailers and end-consumers.  No money, lots of bene-credit, asset backed and no interest.  Plenty of jobs and a middle class.  But what was the initiating credit to get the ball rolling?  Who financed the first step, the extractors?  Why of course, labor, who waited a month to get paid.  A practice, for all of the changes, that continues today.  Billions of dollars in float, interest free loans to business, which is in essence skimmed right off by the banks.

I have the manual where the banks in 1982, were taught to stop lending against the gold and silver in their temples (notice how banks used to resemble temples?) and start lending their credit, indeed the seminar was entitled exactly that: lend your credit not your money.

Once they learned from a few big players that the FED would bail out any loss, away they went.  Whoever borrowed the most could out-borrow and roll up everyone else.  Petco got all of the corner pet stores, Safeway got the grocers, Shell got the family service station, Walmart got the small clothing shop, Lowes got the corner hardware store, Applebys got the corner diner, Blue Shield wiped out the country doctor, and now Buffett is ending the small homebuilder, and so on, all this by banks lending malcredit, a deal where they really lend nothing but make a note on tally, they win if you win, they take whatever you have if you lose.  they cannot lose since they never put anything into the game.  It destroys creativity and divides communities.

Look at this huge Detroit oversupply of cars, they have no problem making these cars, it just results in tallies going up here and there.  There is no money involved, just malcredit.  Importing allows them to book any profits overseas to avoid taxes while never acually making anything.

We have no much more productive capacity than in the 1970s, but the claims upon that productivity are astronomical.  There is no possible way anyone can be made whole.  It will be up to Hillary and her crew to decide who gets what, among those who stand in line to make a claim.  World Wars help, since the victors decide on who gets what, just as USA settled who got paid for WWII.

If you have paycheck, property or pension, you are screwed.  If your definition of wealth is personal accumulation, you will suffer.  If you definition of wealth is contributing to the ever-expanding range of goods and services so an ever wider range of people can afford what they need and want with their own money (commonwealth) then you'll be doing as well as can be done, or better.  You'll be creating and unifying while the others are slaughtering each over for claims that cannot be honored.

So what does it say about the state of what economy?  once defined, to what extent are you engaged in that economy/  Why have anything at all to do with it?

Feel free to forward this by email to three of your friends.


Labor and Capitalism

Listening to the travails of pacific northwest fisheries folk, and the conflicts among the “stakeholders”, the sport fishermen were at once lamenting how hard they are hit by the decisions and how little in fact their “give-backs” help the overall problem.  Why don’t the big players give back more?

Well, this is capitalism.  There reason there are big players is that, under capitalism, through usury economic power is concentrated in ever fewer hands.  There may be many “stakeholders” at the table, but ultimately, any route you take to press your case, it is the monied folk who decide.  It may be a judge giving the ruling, or a committee, or a tribe, but finally, it is the money people who dictate.

Once the rivers ran silver with fish, and there was no shortage.  But we decided we needed to have cheap electricity to subsidize Boeing and crowd out any other good ideas in transportation.  Big dams, built with bonds, tax the locals, profits to the bankers. Usury facilitates this.

The Austrian School of Economics proposes a solution: just as there are more forests in the American Southeast than the Pacific Northwest, and as many lightening storms, the Southeast does not get the catastrophic forest fires for a simple difference: the Southeast forests are privately owned.  The Northwest forests are government owned.  Indeed, those Northwest fires all halt when they arrive at the privately owned fruit orchards.

So too the fisheries.  Just as we can plot out the coordinates on a stretch of land and assign its ownership to an individual, so to could we with a stretch of ocean.  “Get off my lawn” will never be heard, but trespassers would be known by radar.  Indeed, we are already there with international patrols of fisheries to keep poachers out of treaty seas.  In private hands expect fish to be protected just as trees and fruit are in private hands.

But the anarcho-capitalists tend to ignore the capitalist problem in their theory. In fact, those orchards are now all huge businesses, as are the forests in the Southeast.  The fisheries now are also in very few hands.  Either way, as long as the patterns and practices of capitalism are enforced as law, then we will have power concentrating in ever fewer hands, people no matter how brilliant still unable to get the policy right, even if they wanted to (and one assumes they don’t, just take it all now.)

No?  Then you tell me why we have expensive, poor food, vast unseen pollution, dwindling resources and compromised ecosystems?  Terrorists?  Wrong person as president?  Chinese currency games?

Once a family could be supported with a fishing boat and the fisheries were aplenty.  Then came the easy credit which allowed those who borrowed first and most the ability to buy up the means of production and swamped the smaller players with subsidized scale and in time prohibitive regulations, regs the small players could not comply with cost-effectively.  Get big or get out, as the Feds say.

Just as the “roll-up” (the capitalists word for it) of the local pet shop, gas station, stationery store, pharmacy, doctors office, grocery, hardware store ad infinitem was capitalized into Petco, Office Depot, CVS, HMO, Safeway, Lowes... so was fisheries and farming.  Now we have farmed fish and GMO corn, both deleterious to our bodies, economy and ecology.  

Fighting back is hard to do, but it starts with neither giving nor taking interest (usury), but starting your own business.  And as a part of that business, extend asset-backed no interest credit to your customers.  Much better than going to war for the capitalists, as is required from time to time (by capitalism).

Feel free to forward this by email to three of your friends.