Saturday, January 23, 2016

Italians Ban Shortselling - I Don't Feel So Bad

Christopher Cox was a minion for the hegemon when he banned shortselling of financials in 2008/9.  I've only mentioned I lost out by his action now that the Chinese banned shortselling a few months ago to world-wide opprobrium.

The problem with bitching (only suckers beef) about getting screwed by the government is no one wants to believe it, your listener figures somehow you had it coming, plus shortselling, betting a company goes down in value, sounds vaguely corrupt.  In shortselling you put your own money on the line by buying stock you believe is overvalued (usually for some nefarious activity of the company directors.)  In this way shortsellers are the only regulation stock markets need. And if you as shortseller (regulator) are right, you get paid.  If you are wrong, you lose money.  In a free market, regulators naturally emerge, no one appoints them, they cannot be bribed.  This is just one instance where no hegemon is required out of all instances where the hegemon manifests.  In all instances where the hegemon manifests, there is a better provision of service than the hegemon can offer.  No exceptions.

There is a version of shortselling, in which market actors do not put up money, naked shortselling, which is vaguely illegal, but certainly morally evil.  I am not down with that.

Now Comes the Italian Christopher Cox banning shortselling on the world's oldest bank, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA:
Italian market regulator Consob imposed a ban on short selling of Monte dei Paschi’s stock for the remainder of Monday’s session through Jan. 19, in an attempt to stabilize shares of the world’s oldest bank, which have dropped about 34 percent this year.
“I confirm Monte Paschi’s financial, economic stability,” Chief Executive Officer Fabrizio Viola said in e-mailed statement after markets closed. “The stock decline is not justified by fundamentals or management events,” he said, reiterating that the bank remains focused on its bad-loan disposals.
Monte dei Paschi is the oldest bank in the world, Italy's third biggest bank, and the worst in bad loans to assets in the Eurozone last check. It has been bailed out twice since 2009, meaning it is Zombie, has died twice, and now requires intensive care in the morgue, since it stinks so bad.  Which is too bad, for a Catholic bank nearly 550 years old.  But it is a good opportunity to explain what happened in banking, and the meaning of the word interest.  
The prohibition was against usury, “where more is asked than is given.”  The Latin noun usura means the “use” of anything, in this case the use of borrowed capital; hence, usury was the price paid for the use of money.  The Latin verb intereo means “to be lost”; a substantive form interisse [sic] developed into the modern term “interest.”  Interest was not profit but loss.*
As these things go, once the camel got its nose in the tent, there was no getting the toothpaste back in the tube.  Eventually some whimsical future earnings could be counted a loss, and thus be added to a loan, and over time.  The practice became so widespread the term "interest" shifted from meaning a doubtful loss to what it clearly is, a gain on a loan.

Before this change, and under the original meaning, it was fine to charge for bookkeeping and storage of money (properly defined usually gold or solver or both) for others, since to manage all this was not a charge on lending but a fee for services.
In the mid-15th century, the Franciscan Friars petitioned the Vatican for permission to establish a different kind of loan bank that would offer loans at rates high enough only to cover their costs. These nonprofit banks became known as the "monti di pieta," because they took "pity" on the poor. The first began operating in 1467, in Perugia, offering small loans in exchange for interest rates as low as 5 percent. Customers provided collateral for the loans, usually by leaving jewelry or clothing. These banks now became known as "banchi di pegni" or pawnbrokers.
Banchi di pegni soon began appearing throughout Italy--and later inspired similar banks throughout Europe--and were for the most part set up by Franciscans. The city-state of Siena, however, took a different approach, and instead founded its own Monte di Pieta in 1472. The bank was backed by a 5,000-florin loan from the city, raised through levying taxes. Members of the city's most prominent family were then granted seats on the board. Unlike at other banks, which were usually dominated by a single family, leadership at the Siena bank rotated among the families. In this way, the bank was guided only by the best members of each generation.
"Rates high enough only to cover costs" is what the Savings and Loans (Thrifts) of my youth once esteemed.  Credit Unions were co-ops to this end.  But all that changed in the 1980s to accommodate the opportunity to lend credit at usury and the fast-track channel to the end by buying up S&Ls, and of course, there was a huge S&L crisis in the late 1980s.  Then the "losses" were tens of billions.  (By 2008, tens of trillions, since there were no real consequences for those who benefitted in the 1980s, Bushes, John McCain, etc).  Credit unions are closest to the original, but no longer true to form.  We could use a renaissance in Credit Unions, dealing in bene-credit.

Collectivization that is the inexorable rationale of capitalism, the point of usury (now called interest).  None of these things would be problems in the free market, but inexpensive credit and money transfers are an ancient hallmark of the Islamic hawala system...  it was growing in the west but after 9-11 the hawaladars were crushed by the feds in USA.

The Monte dei Paschi was started by Franciscans, and the first pope named Francis is hammering Vatican finance.  He personally uses the word usury (he knows what it means).  Dealing in usury killed the oldest bank in the world, and a Catholic bank.

Here and now, at least for the next 40 years, anyone starting up a business, or has a viable concern, would do well to create his own bank, de facto, by extending credit (bene-credit) at no interest (no usury) for whatever tenor is standard for the industry.  Refuse to accept certainly credit cards, but also debit cards, and work the old fashioned vendor financing.  Your receivables would be tantamount to laddered bonds.  While you are in control of collection, the fruit is too high and sparse to be mulcted by the hegemon.

The paper I excerpted above is cited below, and I have reservations on the good padre's interpretations and conclusions.  Mine are more radical, and I'll deal with them if and when I get a book on this out.

*  The Church and Usury:  Error, Change or Development?
A Research Paper Submitted
in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for
the Degree of Master of Arts in Theology
By
Father Gary L Coulter
Submitted August 15, 1999

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Copyrights Inhibit Creativity

Music copyright is a funny thing... there are only four notes possible in music, with everything a variation on those 4, so people end up copying each other (or more likely arriving at the same idea) as these two protest songs intro the exact same way, one soul from USA and one rock from Oz...

Listen to the opening in both...


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Friday, January 22, 2016

Where to Invest?

Mish asks where to invest, but he himself is not so sure... 
Target2 is a measure of capital flight between eurozone countries. For example: A depositor in a Greek, Spanish, or Italian bank does not trust their bank so the depositor opens up a new account and transfers the balance to a bank in Germany, the Netherlands, or Luxembourg instead.
The recipient banks then park the money at the ECB at negative interest rates instead of  buying Greek, Spanish, or Italian bonds. 
Money parked at the ECB at a negative rate of 0.3% hit a new high at the beginning of 2016.
Better to lose a bit of your credit-tally totals than lose it all...  such is capitalism.
In December, only bondholders were at risk. Starting 2016, depositors are at risk, but allegedly only on amounts that exceed €100,000.
Don't kid yourself into believing smaller deposits are safe. There are other problems, like capital controls. Greece and Cyprus both have them.
Capital Controls in Greece
In 2015, the ECB imposed Capital Controls on Bank Accounts limiting withdrawals to €1,800 a month.
On October 19, 2015, Bloomberg proclaimed A Quick End to Greek Capital Controls? Economists Don't Think So.
Even if your money is not stolen, you may not have access to it for quite some time. 
No access for a time is tantamount to stealing, at least for that duration, for what about opportunity costs?

I ask "Why Take Chances?"
Renzi wants to create a "bad bank". Under new rules, effective 2016, bondholders and depositors are liable for any losses transferred to the "bad bank".
Why is the ECB reluctant to approve a bad bank for Italy? Could it be the losses will be massive? 

OK, so after this flood, we separated the waterlogged from the dry.  But we do not remove the dry from the flood zone?  Making this "good bank" just buys time to form a bigger bubble.
Don't be seen Standing in Line hoping for your money when withdrawals are 'limited' via capital controls or outright confiscated by bail-ins.
Avoid the rush. Get out now.
Where? Think carefully.
The only place is to "hide (invest) is  self employment, where every actor creates his own benecredit.  
 Order wheat flour.  Get 30 days to pay.  Sell bread, give thirty days to pay.  Workers get paid end of month.  There is all the credit, at zero interest, an economy needs. It is what this economy is missing.  We had it.  We lost it.  Can we get it back?  Only if all those now reading Mish, Stockman, Grant, etc would go start businesses to fill in the vacuum created by the big box failures...

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Thursday, January 21, 2016

Mark Cuban On Government

As I explained here, rarely does a winner of Shark Tank actually get any funding, any more do any of Trump's apprentices go on to bigger and better than their Apprentice stint.  The Shark Tank is entertainment.

I have never watched more than two minutes of the show, since the premise is absurd.  But what I do appreciate is a recent exchange by "sharks" as recounted by Thos. DiLorenzo at LewRockwell.com
"I like the idea of kicking the government in the ass." So said billionaire businessman Mark Cuban tonight on the television show “Shark Tank” on CNBC.   The show features wealthy venture capitalists like Cuban who listen to pitches from entrepreneurs and then invest (or not) their own money in the ventures.  The business in question involved an app that could help citizens contest traffic tickets.
One of the other “sharks,” Kevin O’Leary, explained that he is in the extremely heavily-regulated mutual fund business and that the government “allows me to make money” despite all the regulation.  He dropped out, he explained, because of his fear that the government would no longer allow him to make money in his mutual fund business if he was invested in a business that deprived government of revenue.  This was a good example of how there can never be real free speech in a heavily-regulated society.  Criticizing government as a business person can bankrupt you or send you to prison. “See you at the IRS audit,” O’Leary said to Cuban after Cuban closed the deal ($700,000 for 7% of the business).
Just so.  A mutual fund is deep into the fraud that is Wall Street, and it is legal by patterns and practices generally allowed by the hegemon, called in USA capitalism.  It ain't the cards you are dealt, it's how you play them, and there is no judging a man on how he plays his hand.  What is annoying is when a man tries to claim the way he played his hand is somehow noble, or smart, or altruistic, etc.  At that point he expects his listeners to buy into a fasle narrative.

O'Leary knows the game is rigged, he makes money off it, and the hegemon can wipe him out in a New York minute.  And he says so.  No judging him for what he does.

Now, I bet O'Leary would the first to say let's withdraw the power from the hegemon so there is no such entity that has such power over us.  Let the free market be our guard rails. O'Leary is no doubt another natural anarchist.

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Official Hegemon Policy: Get Big or Get Out

Why do hegemons and their minions love big business?  Because in a fight between a corporation CEO and the President of the USA, the hegemon's puppet, the President, wins.  A USA president can crush a small biz too, but so what?  Up pops another.  Collectivization as a policy picks craven leaders of corporations that will always do your bidding.

A banker exclaims:
But the bank doesn’t expect to drastically reduce its energy lending, Chief Executive James Dimon said on a call with analysts. “If banks just completely pull out of markets every time something gets volatile or scary, you’ll be sinking companies left and right.”
Correct.  Since 1971, the job of bankers is to get rid of small businesses and with mal-credit-effect collectivization.  Their job is to keep the picked winners solvent, which essentially crowds out the genuinely viable business.  Bad businesses drive out the good, you get more of what you subsidize.

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Wednesday, January 20, 2016

Bitcoin Titan Throws in the Towel

The reason this blog was never a fan of Bitcoin is because we know the difference between money and credit and tallies.  Bitcoins' hypesters called it money, when it was not even credit, but a tally of who may owe someone else.  But since the tallies were marked in sand (I like that image, given the silica nature of the media) it was a poor tally of putative credit.
Not long ago, venture capitalists were talking about how Bitcoin was going to transform the global currency system and render governments powerless to police monetary transactions. Now the cryptocurrency is fighting for survival. The reality came to light on Jan. 14, when its influential developer, Mike Hearn, declared Bitcoin a failure and disclosed that he had sold all of his Bitcoins. The price of Bitcoin fell 10 percent in a single day on the news, a sad result for those who are losing money on it.
If you go to Hearn's original post in the link, you'll read he insisting he always said it was an experiment, never invest more than you can lose.  No doubt!  But that is just the thing...  in the last decade or whatever of Bitcoin, one only hears breathless hype of gadflies and the Cheney-esque sonorous assurance of accomplished dotcommers.  Get in! Nonsense either way, and they should have known it.

So is there a underlying platform that might be salvaged?  Sure, but for what?  We do not need lightening speed and instant settlement of accounts.  We need human level bene-credit extension among communities.

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In Philadelphia or Wilmington? China Trade Seminars

Dr. James Chan has been providing World Trade advice, especially regarding China, for longer than I have.  He'll be in Wilmington Delaware

China Today and Tomorrow: Practical
Advice to Small and Midsize Businesses
9:45 Dr. James Chan, PhD
Asia Marketing & Management

Location: When:
University & Whist Club / Ball Room Tuesday, January 26, 2016
805 N. Broom St, Wilmington, DE 19806 9:00 AM – 3:00 PM

and Philly March 22:
My presentation on March 22nd is one of six different presentations given by six different organizations and individuals in this special program. Attendees must pay $175 and they must take 4 out of 6 one-day programs in order to graduate from this “course” which issues a certificate of training.
Here are some open lessons from Dr. Chan:
I’ve just uploaded a three-slide PowerPoint file titled “Marketing to China” on www.slideshare.com. Here is the link:http://www.slideshare.net/jameschan6/marketing-to-china
Dr. Chan critiqued a new webapge regarding a new seminar I am offering:
I watched your video. You crammed a lot of key points into a very short video. I hope people get the essence. An excellent point you’ve made is that the “burden of importing” lies with the buyer (especially if they already prepay.) This is a point lost among many new-to-export or “export-shy” people. They fixate on getting the right piece of paper or some logistical issues when in fact the key is to get people to decide to buy. Once an importer decided to buy and prepay, he or she will naturally find the right way to get the goods. You’ve hit the nail on the head. I hope enough people listen. James
I get that often enough:  so much info!  Well, that is the gift of ADD. But then people can review the material, and I take questions be email for ever after.  Here is a link to the seminar in question.

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Tuesday, January 19, 2016

Ten Pick-up Lines - Trade Shows

Salesmen have both the funniest and crudest jokes, whereas I prefer a wittier variety:

What do computers and air-conditioners have in common?

They both work fine until you open windows.

Anyway, at a trade show your booth is the approach steps in the sales process, so you go straight into the qualification step, the second step.
If we assume you’re operating in a person-to-person selling business, wouldn’t you be more successful with more positive qualified engagements than just badge scans? And wouldn’t you have more of these interactions if you knew how to stop a person, engage, and qualify that person quickly?
The article covers the top ten, for your edification.

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Monday, January 18, 2016

Is Small Business Farming for You?

Salon.com has reproduced its 7th most popular essay from 2015, this one on small family farming.  This is the money quote:
Does it somehow make it OK that in 2014 it’s forecast to be $–1,682? I had to wonder if this notion works only to assuage a collective discomfort provoked by an unsettling fact, a fact that should enrage us, that should disgrace us as a society: the fact that the much celebrated American small farmer can’t even make a living.
Well, depends on what you call a living.  The Amish continue to do it, but with a definition contrary to hers.  She wants "healthcare and education and pension" when the Amish are expressly eschew and are exempt from the hegemon-defined versions of those.  Lifestyle, not income.

She wants to farm in Northern California, the most expensive farmland on earth, and lease, where the Amish choose to own the least expensive land.    Young, middle-class, college-degreed may give one a sense of entitlement, but certainly does not prepare one for farming.

She deplores farm labor compensation. I am working farm-level acquainted with this.  As seasonal work, the welfare programs are massively abused to make up the difference between what a farmer pays and what a worker needs.  I was paid more than the Mexicans even though I was no where near as skilled because I was (and still am) white and would not be dipping into the welfare plans.  They drove trucks, I took a bus. What is formal at Walmart is informal in the fields.  (And by the way, I am not judging.. in fact, this is work no American will do.  Those who complain about immigrants stealing jobs, please present yourself at that place of employment.  If you can do the job, you'll get it.)

She leaves out the fact that the stated agricultural policy of the USA is "get big or get out."  Now that means not only "we help the big" but also "we ruin the small." That has been the stated policy, the programs reflect this, and the results are, as she notes, small farms are not viable.  The efforts are relentless with constant rules relating to "food security" and undermining customer confidence by rendering quality definitions meaningless.

When not special pleading, she gets to the real problem:
Then I looked into national statistics. According to USDA data from 2012, intermediate-size farms like mine, which gross more than $10,000 but less than $250,000, obtain only 10 percent of their household income from the farm, and 90 percent from an off-farm source. Smaller farms actually lost money farming and earned 109 percent of their household income from off-farm sources. Only the largest farms, which represent just 10 percent of farming households in the country and most of which received large government subsidies, earned the majority of their income from farm sources. So, 90 percent of farmers in this country rely on an outside job, or a spouse’s outside job, or some independent form of wealth, for their primary income.
Yes, get big or get out. To keep those subsidies flowing, not only farmers necessarily take in laundry to make ends meet, but so does every other middle class family in USA.  We have to pay the man for the bullet he uses to shoot us.  Under communism, they billed the victims after the execution, capitalists want to be paid first.

So we have massive malinvestment and misallocation in farming.    The solution is to end all of the subsidies, but that is not going to happen.  Big Ag not only feeds so many, it does with addictive processed foods that if not continued, we will have people who experience hunger even though they might eat healthy, nutritious foods.  Obese America would be engaging in food riots.  But recall small farmers get indirect subsidies as well, through welfare fraud.  In any event, the mantra ought be not a dime of personal welfare is cut until every dime of corporate welfare is cut.
Meanwhile, millions of dollars in federal subsidies are doled out to mono-crop farms growing high-input GMO corn and soybeans. Meanwhile, the EPA continues to approve the use of pesticides such as Atrazine, which have been linked to birth defects, infertility and cancer. Meanwhile, the Supreme Court rules in favor of Monsanto, allowing the corporation to sue farmers whose fields are inadvertently contaminated with GMO seeds. 
Not to mention GMO salmon, a clear and present danger, and prohibition of truth in labelling.  This is the ag policy of USA. It extends into subsidized advertising and marketing.  The above is not the half of it.  Captured regulators smash any threat to big ag. The Supreme Court is bought and paid for, and has the decency to stay bought.

And be careful what you pray for. If no subsidies, the Big Ag would fail, faster than Saigon in April of '75.  Who is to feed the millions whose bodies depend on frankenfoods everyday to maintain the fiction they are gaining nourishment, but are really developing diabetes in eugenics run amok?  Who will pay to repeat the fact "you are not dying, you are not dying..." as people switch from "happy meals" to soul food?

Trust lands may be the least expensive to lease, but they are still wildly overpriced in a regime that rewards doctors and lawyers to lose money on wineries and lavender farms as a tax write-off.  I listened to a sixth generation vintner complain that his winery which was his family's sole business could not compete with lawyers and doctors who benefitted from taking a loss.  

And as an aside, what sense is it to allow "trust lands" or anyone else who does not work the land own it?  Trust lands are just rentier-ism with a halo.  In a free market, we see owning real estate is not even necessary to peace and prosperity, but the idea that anyone who does not work a land can own it is absurd and oppressive.  I realize it is a centerpiece of capitalism, but that makes my point.  If people were obliged to sell land they did not use, or lose it to fast-track adverse possession, then the price of land would drop quickly as farmland was not required or able to also support lay-about rentiers.  If we had a labor movement in USA they would have demanded fast-track adverse possession in trade for fast-track TPP.
Isaiah 5:8Woe to those who add house to house and join field to field, Until there is no more room, So that you have to live alone in the midst of the land!
The core of the misallocation and malinvestment is down to bank lending of asset-less credit at interest. This is what was new 40 years ago, and made possible the policy of "get big or get out" not only in farming, but of every other aspect of the USA economy.  Whoever had the cajones to borrow the most earliest could "roll up" entire segments, whether farming, pet stores, gas stations, housing, clothing, and lay waste to any who tried to compete on price.  At the same time the lawyers who form our political class wrote rules that allowed them to become play landed gentry.
Habakkuk 2:6... 'Woe to him who increases what is not his-- For how long-- And makes himself rich with loans...
There is no rational limit to how much credit may be extended without countervailing assets.  Therefore there is no rational reason it will end.  Those who understand such things have minds boggled this scam has lasted as long as it has.  But it is clear it is over, negative interest rates are like a fire in a stairwell, no fighting it.  And right now the economy is like a ball at its apogee that seems to be suspended... it is about to come down.

It will be in this chaos, as people escape to anarchy, that those things more rare are worth even more... good food, competent labor, advantage small business eschewing everything the hegemon has to offer, especially its credit.  

Frankenfoods is supported in a model that is unsustainable.  It will end because that food costs too much, in every way, especially when it is priced so much lower than it costs.

The task is to expand production of good food in face of the destruction of the last 40 years.  The work is not for everyone.  I've worked farms and I know I couldn't do it.  But I can find customers for good food.  And customers overseas means USA production can expand in the face of temporary flat markets for better food in USA.  So I am doing my part, finding customers for small producers, against the stated policies and actions of the hegemon.  Production'll grow, at viable prices. We all gotta do what we can do.

Here is an online seminar coming up:  http://www.johnspiers.com/Export_Agriculture/Welcome.html

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Sekindo: Drudge Hosts Computer Hacking Ads

Sekindo is an ad company that operates by disabling your browser until you click on their website.
Sekindo is a potentially unwanted program (PUP) that may cause a serious havoc during your browsing. It's not a new browser add-on since its first wave of distribution has been recorded two years ago. However, security experts have noticed that it became more active these days. Online forums are full of people's reports about the flood of Sekindo ads. Besides, the majority of the victims claim that this tool is a genuine virus because it is capable of infecting PCs in a very suspicious manner. 
Drudge makes money off these ads.  He is probably unaware of it, and it is not possible to reach him directly, so it will take a thousand other blog posts like this to get through to him.

Here is one website on how to beat it for PCs.

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Sunday, January 17, 2016

China's $28 Trillion Debt Non-Problem

If we stopped trading with China tomorrow, it would not matter much to me, whose career has been rather based on China trade.  Chinese products are only 2.7% (I figure 2.96%) of the USA economy, and it is not as though this could not be replaced rather easily.  I understand why many fear what happens economically in China, but their fears only have to do with the amount of financial engineering, false economy activity upon which the livelihood of so many rentiers depends.
Lost in all the Chinese stock and currency market gyrations, policy missteps and mixed data is this economic reality: The government is constrained by a credit bubble that has ballooned to $28 trillion in an economy growing at its slowest pace in 25 years.
QuickTakeChina’s Debt BombPolicy zig-zags have left investors divided over how wedded President Xi Jinping and Premier Li Keqiang are to financial sector reform and shifting their $10 trillion-plus economy from one powered by investment and exports to one more focused on consumption and services.
This is of zero interest to anyone who is productive, defined as providing for customers' needs.  Bankers and bakers don't care.  Bankers will be bailed out, because the USA is a Hamiltonian, ethnic-cleansing, Malthusian hegemon and ultimately the Wasps who run USA will ultimately bail themselves out.  And people will eat the bread bakers bake.  Those two will always be true.

Yes, when their system crashes, those who have bought into the system will be in an existential fight over assets that cannot cover claims, and a sense of entitlement will suffice to induce indolent resentment.  There will be far fewer customers with any money, and the credit they will offer will not command goods and services.  This will be the hyperinflation of mal-credit, when it will take tens of thousands in ETB card credit to get a corndog at a gas station.
New figures that show 42 per cent of Millennials, the generation born between 1980 and the mid-1990s, have turned to alternative finance including payday lenders and pawnshops in the past five years.
On the other hand, the baker's bene-credit will command another delivery truck, for it will be asset-based and solid customer grounded.  The longer the baker awaits payment, the more valuable the payment becomes, in deflationary bene-credit.  Both will happen at once, just as the dollar in fact is declining when you see the price of gold rise.  It takes less gold to gain more currency.... there is the model of two "monies" heading in alternative directions, and analogously two "credits" can head in alternative directions.

When mal-credit is so odious that central bankers must pay corporations to take loans, as Japan now does,  that is hyperinflation of malcredit.

That 2.96% is existential to the false economy, and the layers of rentiers who have built a house of cards upon it and other ephemera. When it goes, for them, it is disaster.  For free marketers, so what?  Will there be world war, well, I suppose, but those who have conscientiously objected to the capitalism that precipitates war will be smart enough to sit it out, baking bread while the resentful indolent slaughter each other over the question who gets to work the least.

There may be fewer people with anything to offer in return for our products, but even if the economy crashes to 80% unemployed  (assuming the govt cuts back massively), that means there would be 20% employed, 20% as customers.  The one thing biz people do is find customers, those customers.

The way to play this is lower your prices slower than your costs drop, giving your customers ever lower prices while your profit margins ever widen.  McD cannot lower prices.  MomandPop certainly can.

Rents need to be lower, and the sooner the better for a economic free market renaissance.  The sooner the crash, the better.

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LCL MOQ FOB HK

The HKTDC is pushing LCL MOQ FOB with a $10 credit to anyone placing orders through their site. Now, the $10 is pointless except as a marketing gimmick, something I used once.  I sent out a survey with $1 bill enclosed, saying "Your time is valuable, and this is not enough, but I need your views..." Of course, the $1 self-selects and skews and thus invalidates a survey, so don't do it.

The $10 plus LCLMOQ FOB (which is nothing new) promotion also suggests excess production and inventory.  Ignore the products upon which small minimums and cool design (to you) are offered.  These were called forth during bubble economy.  There will be no good market, except in dollar stores.  You'll buy these for $2 and sell them for 20 cents.  Don't do it.

I cannot tell you how many times I say "don't do it" people do it, and then come back and say "Gee, it did not work out."  Your first loss is the best one.

This promotion screams overcapacity, a  deflationary event.  While the suppliers will urge you to take their problems off their hands, get past that to your designs produced.  These are really most welcome.

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