Friday, July 16, 2010

The Economist Declares Hong Kong Experiment Over

Great cities are always an accident, in the sense Aquinas would use the term. Rome, London, New York, Hong Kong, none should have been, but all became great.  Talk about being at the right place at the right time: Hong Kong was a rock, a desolate semi-usuable harbor when Britain picked up the Island and Kowloon in perpetuity as compensation for some putative loss the British experienced colonializing China.  Several decades later China ceded the New Territories beyond Boundary Road up to Shumchun to Britain on a 99 year lease.  That lease was up in 1997, and facing reality, Britain returned the whole shebang to the Communist China.

The accidental part was when Britain gained Hong Kong, it was uninteresting enough to turn over to perceived second-string administrators, Scotsmen.  These Scotsmen had received laissez faire ideas from the French, who had inherited the ideas from Spanish Scholastics who were working out a philosophy of commerce and industry, based in natural rights and freedom, and laid the foundation of modern free market economics.

Scotsman Adam Smith was the moral philosopher whose Wealth of Nations is largely assumed to be the fountainhead of free market ideas, but only marginally so.  Smith's magnum opus was a survey of all sorts of economic ideas of various nations, including communism, but it was the relatively new idea of economic freedom that was the exciting part of his work, and especially to those fomenting revolution in US and France.

One problem with economic debate is terms are so wildly adapted.  What to call markets free of government intervention?  Free markets?  Few people using the term admit to non-interference, almost all "free marketers" see some role for government, but that is a contradiction in terms.  Radical free marketers abhor capitalism as much as communism, because one is retail and the other wholesale of the same rotten system.  Shall we call it anarchy? Anarchy is good, but extremely few people use it in its technical sense.  Kropotkin railed against the division of labor, that result of the just distribution of goods and services, the precise measure of true wealth in a free market, so don't expect any unanimity among radicals. Also, just about any true anarchist will settle for panarchy, because it is good enough (and very close to what we have now anyway.)  

Hong Kong was formed about the same time as USA by people with the same philosophy (we now call this branch of philosophy by the specialized term "economics," Greek for household management.)  The difference is Hong Kong stayed on course while USA quickly degenerated into a capitalist nightmare of expansion, colonialism and conquest. (See Morton Horwitz) We all enjoy the fruits of empire, cell phones, nice cars, well-wired homes, but ask the people who came up short in the bargain, like the Iroquois trying to use their passports to play lacrosse in Manchester, and you will learn another side of the story.  USA went too far the last few decades, as all empires do, and invaded Vietnam (a people who defeated Genghis Khan and all comers since) and now the graveyard of empires, Afghanistan.

But Hong Kong stayed true to its founding.  Thomas Sowell in The Economics & Politics of Race notes that as a rule, relative wealth among blacks in USA can be traced back to the colonies from which they migrated.  Those from British colonies are relatively wealthy, those from French colonies are relatively poor.  How come?  The British share power with the locals, the French do not.  Haiti is poor, Bermuda is rich.

What to make of Hong Kong that has surpassed its colonial masters in GDP?  We see a philosophy grounded in a monotheistic image moving across the world westward and ending up in Hong Kong.  With just about every race on earth living in Hong Kong in peace and prosperity, it is not British administration that can be praised, but the idea of free markets, which in Hong Kong is proven to be universal.  No one owns the truth, and the truth is free people live in peace and prosperity.  

Hong Kong is often compared to Singapore.  But one must not forget other countries like San Marino, Lichtenstein, Andorra, Panama, even the Vatican, Switzerland with a population relatively equal to Hong Kong. These are all small countries, relative free, no offensive capability (even if some defensive capability) relatively solid currencies, multilingual, and unlikely histories of formation.  It may be empirical that to be free you must be small and indefensible.

Hong Kong belongs to the world, now under the aegis of the Communist Party of the Peoples Republic of China.  Within the party there are intense debates about what to do with Hong Kong.  Under Deng Xiaoping, circa 1980, the good of Hong Kong was replicated in several special economic zones, and even India followed suit to some degree, recognizing the dynamism of free markets.

If Hong Kong was ever an experiment, the results are in, freedom works. That experiment is hardly over, as the contours of freedom are tested by those whose methods are "probe, where there is steel, withdraw." Progressives offer street theatrics like minimum wage to advance their agenda, and arrest freedom's progress. Instead of the seven million people of Hong Kong every day setting a minimum wage as a result of countless transactions, progressives propose several dozen people elected, in a dubious fashion, will decide.  Once society agrees to a small group of people who get to pick winners and losers, what we know as government, the polity will degenerate quickly. Note it is not the poor, young, or immigrant in Hong Kong clamoring for minimum wage, since none of them expect to stay around long at the bottom rung.  It is the liberally educated foreignor, or those locals educated in Western Elite universities, desiring to be relevant to their alma mater, who clamor for "justice" (and a big fat sinecure to lead the poor.) The Russian revolutionaries were distressed to find the poor they so yearned to help were in fact the most reactionary element in society.  If the poor in Hong Kong had any say so, they would not change a thing. Poverty in Hong Kong is temporary, and largely voluntary. Minimum wage is one element of many that locks people permanently into place.

What will save Hong Kong is competition.  At any point during the Maoist era, China could have seized Hong Kong within hours, but Hong Kong was a valuable asset to the Communist Party.  As USA degenerates into an empire of torture, war, secret arrests, snooping, bailouts and so on, USA will need a Hong Kong just as the communist party had one in the original Hong Kong.  Where will the spoilers deposit their ill gotten gains, after alienating Switzerland?  Where will a Dick Cheney get proper heart care now that we have rationing of ever more deleterious service?  Where will Americans go to breathe easy, think clearly, speak freely and relax, in the coming decades, when their poverty makes them unwelcome visitors worldwide? USA will need a new Hong Kong, a Xin Xiang Gang.  I'd say carve out this special economic zone from what some people call Cascadia: Seattle, Tacoma and the Olympic peninsula.  Of course the issue of secession has been settled in USA, violently, so it would have to be so this new Hong Kong would be a negotiated arrangement, a tit for tat, an inescapable conclusion for the powers that be in post-freedom America.   新香港: 乐在此 爱在此!


Seminar In A Cadillac

I was heading up Blewett Pass outside of Cle Elum, Washington Wednesday about 11 am when I spied three fellows up ahead, one with his hand out hitchhiking.  I pulled over about 30 yards ahead of them, and they seemed doubtful I had stopped for them, what with me driving a formidable 97 Cadillac STS.  I waved them forward and they made haste and I urged them to jump in since the State Patrol could ticket me for stopping to pick them up.

They were three Hispanic fellows whose car had broken down in Cle Elum, and were walking to Wenatchee, probably 60 miles.  No problem, I'd take them.

The fellow who sat directly behind me looked like a murderer, although the other two seemed nice enough.   I asked where they were from... "Estados Unidos" (dude, better work on that answer...) and LA, and "Seattle"...  LA being the only likely home town.  One was a trainee in fire fighting, and the other in carpentry, and the final one was a cherry picker.  They love Obama, who is giving them job training.

The homicidal looking fellow behind me seemed to be rifling my jacket which was hanging next to him, I asked him to pass it forward, I removed my wallet, and then had him hang it back up.

I ask them if they had ever visited Arizona.  The questioned surprised them, and we had a discussion on immigration.  I posed a short answer that a state, like Arizona, cannot set immigration policy, so the new law was null, and then explained free market immigration rights.  In short, in a free market, if a farmer or a factory owner and a worker agree to a contract, then it is nobody elses business.  There are no borders, except for property rights.  This generated discussion and clarification, and we got into the discussion of natural law, inalienable rights.  One fellow asked how I felt about Mexicans taking over Southern California.  I replied I doubted Mexico could win a war with USA.  He clarified that he meant Americans of Mexican ancestry taking over.  So I recast his question:  "How do I feel about americans taking over america?"  He had to think that through, and then he got it. I shared with him that there was nothing being said today by talkradio or racists about Mexicans that was not said about Irish 150 years ago and Italians 100 years ago in USA.  It's just raw politics.

I also doubted that the mexicans who escaped the ravages of the oligarchy rule in Mexico would take the trouble to conquer Southern California just to turn it over to the people from whom they just escaped.  I could see a new country, a Sur California (as opposed to Baja California), Spanish speaking and freedom ready.  But the conquest would come from working hard, raising families, and growing businesses.  Population demographics would win that war, and in fact, any army that plans to copulate its way to victory I would gladly enlist.

These fellows were astonished by my views on law, politics, economics, which ironically originated with the Spanish scholastics 500 years ago. It dawned on me during this seminar that USA needs a Spanish language University, to share these precepts in the original, and to bequeath the good of freedom to those who will be tomorrow's leaders.  It is a tremendous business opportunity.


Wednesday, July 14, 2010

How We Were Scammed

Here is an excellent outline of how we were scammed and are now being ripped off ... if you are just alive, you cannot escape this rip off.  My personal beef is this was clear from the beginning, when it started, and every step of the way.  By step three I was in on the game, looking to clean up on the short side, the only way to protect yourself against the big biz/big govt cartel.  When the big engineered bust happened, shorting was outlawed for me and you, but not for the big banks. SEC Chairman Christopher Cox, who made a name for himself as an honest republican, and a no-nonsense rule enforcer of the financial markets, did what was expected of him when the bad guys needed criminal help. I got nothing!  What a rip.  I would have made a few measly hundred grand, paid off my mortgage, while the banks were getting a cool trillion or so, on the way to trillions more plus perpetual income.  But these guys are like progressives, nobody else gets any.

People who expect govt to behave themselves forget they are people who quickly develop disdain for those they "serve."  There is an alternative to being subject to these people, but it is difficult, and it is called self-employment.


Restaurant Trends In Hong Kong

HK$200,000 a week in rent sounds steep, but a chi-chi restaurant can count on HK$500 tabs pretty easily, so maybe this is not so onerous.  Hong Kong is a relatively free market, so even in a nasty economy people can adjust.  I'd estimate Vietnam has even better improvement potential right now, but as for trends, you cannot beat Hong Kong.


Tuesday, July 13, 2010

World Trade Steadily Rising

Imports and Exports are still rising steadily month after month, according to US Census reports.  There was a big drop in 2008 from its boom times high, but otherwise world trade has been steadily increasing, like gold.


Monday, July 12, 2010

Librarians Underpaid

AS you know, I believe there is no govt service that cannot be in some way better provided by the free market.  The improvement is usually less cost, but it can also be a matter of a better match, even if at a higher cost.  We've demonstrated in addition to most commonly cited areas of poor performance by govt (education, roads and post office) the govt makes a hash of offering prostitution, slavery and

Another obvious failing is capital punishment.  Here again, when you have maybe two dozen people involved in assigning guilt, deciding punishment and then execution, the result is an extremely costly process, in which they often get the wrong person dead, and in any event make the condemned wait in line for execution.

What has this to do with librarians?  Of all of the govt workers, they are the ones who provide an actual direct immediate benefit, and are woefully underpaid.  I think most govt workers are overpaid FOR WHAT THEY DO,  and would find themselves better employed and better compensated if they were to go to private sector, and exponentially better if they were to go to self-employment.  There is a trade-off they make working for the govt, and it appears to be a good deal.  When in time their retirement is subtracted (either through degradation of the quality of their health care, or inflation, or raw cut backs) the deal will not look so good, as teamsters, pilots, and auto workers have found.

Librarians are unique in that their contribution truly is a net benefit.  Of all the government workers with which I come in contact, they are being paid less than they are worth.  The solution, as libraries experience cutbacks too, is for librarians to open "private libraries" (an odd appellation since they serve the general public by fees, like a health club.

 Find space, find subscribers to the library, and return to the days of private libraries.  I library is a great basis to form those associations that do so much good, and allows people to pool resources to buy things like books, etc

Librarians also have a sense of humor.