Friday, July 16, 2010
The Economist Declares Hong Kong Experiment Over
Posted in free market by John Wiley Spiers | 0 comments
Saturday, November 24, 2007
Exporting Inflation
Folks,
Below is a cut and paste from part of an article of which I lost the original source, but little
matter... it is a good explanation of how USA can "export inflation" or expressed otherwise,
from Hong Kong's point of view, "import inflation."
Hong Kong is China, so this is a fascinating "alternative case" playing out simultaneously.
What the bad guys among our politicians want China to do, that is for the Chinese to revalue
the currency to harm their economy and help some in USA, Hong Kong does quite regularly.
Hong Kong is finding this more and more difficult to do, so Hong Kong may have to follow
the Chinese method of managing US dollar flows through hong kong in a different manner.
In any case, when the bad policy people tell you all will be wonderful if the Chinese revalue
the Yuan, we can see if they are right (and how they are wrong) by watching Hong Kong.
John
With the $ waning fast and currency pressures across the globe, never has there been a time
when
investors have needed safe-havens for their wealth. At the front of these sits gold and later
silver.
Many feel that the pressure may be short-term, but we believe it is systemic and growing
worse by
the day. As the hemorrhaging of U.S. $ across the world continues, smaller Central Banks
are
fighting to stop their currencies from rising so as to protect the competitiveness of their own
currencies. If the pressure persists these banks will be forced to take more regulatory
measures
such as imposing controls on inflows. The latest reported incident of these is in Hog Kong.
Hong Kong's de-facto central bank stepped in four times last week to defend the Hong Kong
dollar's peg to the U.S. dollar, injecting about $800 million worth of local currency into the
red-
hot market. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority injected a total 6.2 billion Hong Kong dollars
($800 million) into the market. As the U.S. $ weakens so this intervention will continue.
Under
Hong Kong's currency board system, the Hong Kong $ is pegged at 7.80 to the U.S. $ but is
allowed to trade between 7.75 and 7.85. When the Hong Kong dollar reaches the limits of its
trading band, the monetary authority can be expected to intervene. With the cut in U.S.
interest
rates this week more upward pressure will come onto the HK$. By intervening, Honk Kong
releases
more local currency, so importing inflation and allowing more ‘hot’ money into their system.
Such
investments can leave as quickly as they arrive contracting money supply when they leave,
bringing instability and eventual loss of control over the money supply should such actions
reach
extremes. Inflow Capital Controls are another way of coping with this problem or a strong
revaluation of the currency and a departure from the $ peg.
The Hong Kong $ has been rising against the U.S. $ as investors pour money into the soaring
Hong Kong stock market. The Hong Kong $ hovered near 7.75 to the U.S. $ all morning last
Wednesday before the Hong Kong Monetary Authority began buying greenbacks to keep the
local
currency within the trading range. This week’s moves follow two interventions by the HKMA
last
week, which were its first such actions in more than two years, causing speculation that
Hong
Kong might widen the peg, or drop it all together. The Hong Kong government is "totally
committed" to the linked exchange rate mechanism. This is usually a prelude to actions to
fully
control the situation along the line we mention here.
by "How Business Happens" Blog | 0 comments
Monday, December 12, 2011
Visiting Hong Kong & Freedom
To get to Hong Kong it is likely you will buy a ticket from an airline and fly into Kai Tak Airport, which is publicly traded corporation. All transportation in Hong Kong is either private or corporate for-profit private business. Your invitation to the airport, where luggage carts are free, is your airline ticket. Passing immigration and customs is astonishingly easy, and the welcome very generous. From there you can take the Metro or Busses or taxis or limousines to the cities, where of course you pay for your ride. What is your destination? A hotel? A friends house? In any event, you will pay some property owner, or be the guest of a property owner.
After that you will eat at restaurants, visit museums, do business at offices, all be means of and with private property owners. There really is not contact with government to speak of.
But then the people of Hong Kong have little contact with government. The currency, what we call money, is put out by three private companies. The payment card, the Octopus which accounts for about US$12 million in small purchases everyday is a private payment means. As long as you do not push force or fraud, you are likely never to encounter the government, except a the post office, but even then, most mail is now in private hands.
Charities are wildly oversubscribed, and the people of Hong Kong are overwhelmingly generous when disaster strikes elsewhere.
Less than half of Hong Kong citizens pay any tax whatsoever, and the rest pay someone between zero and the 16% maximum rate, which extremely few pay. Yet Hong Kong is remarkably safe, and food and health care and housing and schooling are cheap and plentiful. The government runs such a surplus, it invests the money in publicly traded companies, for a rainy day. There is none of the deficit spending, since there is no sense that government should solve all problems. Business solves problems. Hong Kong people can leave anytime. The government does maintain some sports facilities, gardens and even some public housing which it is selling off, but otherwise it is a laissez faire dreamland.
Hong Kong was formed at the same time as the United States by the same enlightenment Scotsmen who formed the United States. The USA changed, Hong Kong remained remarkably constant. Will Rogers said invest in land, it is the only thing they are not making more of. Except in Hong Kong, where they make more land constantly. And build straight up at a rate rarely matched elsewhere. With property rights, and a weak government with little ability to do public domain, Hong Kong remains remarkably unchanged, except what goes on underground, straight up and on new land. Since 1977, Hong Kong is the least changed place I've ever visited.
At the same time, the per capita income matches USA and exceeds their previous masters, the UK. And As USA declines, HK continues to improve. It has everything the world has to offer, at a wide array of prices. You can get anything you need, and likely you can afford it. It is a most polyglot country, with extremely diverse people working side by side. It is more panarchy than anarchy, you'll find free marketers, communists, capitalists, Buddhists, Moslems, Christians all working side by side in peaceful cooperation.
People say less government leads to Somalia. No, less government leads to Hong Kong. Notice how the visitor depends on the goodwill of property owners ever step of the way in Hong Kong. Should you decline to pay, your option is to leave. There is no US-style welfare in Hong Kong, although plenty of charity. But for people who do not care to produce, the charitable thing is to send them back home. Note: if you manage to make it to Hong Kong, you must produce or go home. If you manage to make it to USA, you are guaranteed welfare. Relatively speaking, Hong Kong has open borders and no welfare. USA has open borders and welfare. USA is closing its borders. It need only eliminate welfare, and respect property rights, especially those in other countries. Perhaps then there would not be so much immigration. This is more just.
Another feature of free markets is that the mega-welfare queens have no opportunity to indirectly mulct from the society in which they reside. Hong Kong is the only place where WalMart has failed. On the other hand, Apple is booming in Hong Kong. WalMart depends on WelFare. Apple depends on customers.
It has some oddities: the only gambling permitted is horse racing, and the profits go to charity. Chinese people are strictly limited access to Hong Kong. How strange! It is under the aegis of the Communist Party of the People's Republic of China. Wow! If a "public servant" cannot explain how he came by his assets, he can be prosecuted, at any time, whether while working or after retirement. It's the law. www.hkma.gov.hk/media/eng/doc/.../code_of_conduct_eng.pdf
Someone asked me how come I don't move to Hong Kong? Why should I? This is my country, not the criminals who make war and bail out banks and torture and murder citizens and spy on me and search me in airports. The judges, the politicians, the cops, the welfare queen big business captains. They are the ones who have to leave, not me. Why would I leave. They can go. Then USA will improve.
Posted in anarchy by John Wiley Spiers | 0 comments
Monday, February 3, 2014
Hong Kong Watch
First, a good professor is advocating expanding mandated welfare in Hong Kong:
Now, Hong Kong has plenty of examples of government-provided welfare, their prestigious sport center network is home to admirable advancement of many of the physical arts. And no one, except the Church of England, has ever owned land in Hong Kong, and it was the Colonial Governor who set up a public housing scheme that solved a basic requirement for Hong Kong's development, housing for the deserving poor.This is why Hong Kong needs a redistribution policy ,and the latest Policy Address by the Chief Executive said : "...despite the protection offered by the statutory minimum wage ,many grassroots workers ,as the sole breadwinners of families ,still bear a heavy financial burden .Providing them with suitable assistance and encouraging them to remain employed will help keep them from falling into the CSSA safety net ."
The "war on poverty" in the USA was hailed as expressly as a means to end people being on the dole, a war to end poverty. It is now a war on the poor, but stated goals were precisely what is cited in the article. We do know where this goes.
Hong Kong always has had an excellent redistribution mechanism: charity. Hong Kong's charitable giving is second to none in the world, and savvy charity-pimps target Hong Kong assiduously. Hong Kong charities are rich with resources, I cannot think of any place on earth I'd rather be poor (or busted) not so much for the helping hand I'd get, but for the immanent opportunity Hong Kong offers anyone in its polity.
So much so the irony is Hong Kong is a very welcoming place to people world wide, except for Chinese. Hong Kong's benefits would drown in immigration if allowed, so Deng Xiaoping exported Hong Kong to China, in the SEZs. An unpredictable outcome.
As to income in equality, no one is more afraid of that than the rich. Let the rich redistribute their wealth, they will get it to where it is needed far better than any political process.
Next, Hong Kong as a colony was an ephemeral place, and this would be out of character 50 years ago.
HONG KONG - The Hong Kong government on Wednesday declared a sanction against the Philippines since Manila failed to make a formal apology and meet all other demands by families of victims died in a hostage crisis three years ago....
Spokeswoman of China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs Hua Chunying said in Beijing Wednesday that the central government supports the SAR government's endeavor to properly handle the aftermath of the hostage crisis and urged the Philippines to show more sincerity to resolve the problems which affects Chinese people's feelings....
The injured and families of the victims have claimed four demands: official apology, compensation, punishing accountable officials for the handling in a bungled rescue attempt, as well as improving security measures for tourists in the Philippines.
The outcome of the hostage situation was deplorable, and certainly the local authorities were out of their depth. While appropriate gestures are indicated, dictating terms seems out of character. How sincere is a response that is mandated?
And second only to the victims in this slaughter, the Philippine authorities are motivated apologize, punish negligent officials, and improve security. Compensation is tricky, since a criminal act is rather difficult to assess, and further the visitors contract was with the tour group, not the state.
The Philippines must have experienced an immediate and hard hit after this event, and is no doubt correcting problems as best they can. I am not sure how demanding specific actions can improve upon that.
I don't think a Hong Kong, desirable as it is, can be had through planning and negotiations. I am convinced all such happier polities are accidental, an unseen consequence of forces large in life. Hong Kong and USA were formed at the same time by the same Scotsmen with the same goals, freedom explicitly sought in USA and immediately lost, freedom necessarily obtained in Hong Kong and maintained by Chinese self-interest. You cannot control for human action.
Hong Kong is changing, as all places do. See it soon.
Feel free to forward this by email to three of your friends.
Posted in anarchy by John Wiley Spiers | 0 comments
Tuesday, June 5, 2012
Anarchy and Hong Kong
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Posted in anarchy by John Wiley Spiers | 0 comments
Thursday, September 4, 2014
I Love Hong Kong
No way. Hong Kong is China's most reliable city, safest and most productive. Li Ka Shing is a billionaire because at the time of the last riots, circa 1967, this plastic flower maven bet that Hong Kong was not over and doubled down while the rich were getting out. Today Li Ka Shing is the "rich getting out" and some hard, young Hakka businessman is doubling down on Hong Kong, praying for a S&P downgrade so his investments make all the more.
As to China offering a beauty pageant of politicians from which all Hong Kong can pick, England gave the people of Hong Kong no choice whatsoever for 250 years, and Hong Kong exceeded the UK on all measures. Occupy Central is a very good thing, because people need to demonstrate their love for freedom or lose it, as in the USA. Where we lost it.
I love Hong Kong because it was started at the same time as the USA, by the same heirs of freedom, both as a historical accident, and both were to remain small entities (hence 13 original colonies.) Hamilton and his crew hijacked the confederation and engineered the deeply flawed constitution, and it was downhill for the USA from there. When I am in Hong Kong, I am in what the USA ought to have been in 2014. Among other things, private companies issue the currency. They know what money is in Hong Kong. In USA, we have agreed to lie to ourselves, since pretty much only the poor are hurt by the lying.
Another facet upon which I will bloviate is the problem of real property rights, meaning land ownership. Such a problem in USA. So much land, and already occupied. (There is that word again.) That would imply property rights. How to handle it? At first, when our numbers were small, we negotiated. Later, with bigger numbers, and a capitalist regime, we murdered.
Now in Hong Kong, all arrivals found the land already occupied. But by the King of England or the Manchu. People tend to negotiate with the King of England rather than murder for a piece of land. So for the 250 years of pre-China retention, no one could own land in Hong Kong. Yet it grew to a premier city-state. Nothing is new under the ChiComs, no one can own land (one exception, the Church of England owns a spread that the Chinese acknowledge. Go figure.) And yet, some 3 of the top ten billionaires in Hong Kong made their money in real estate. 99 year leases, property development.
Imagine what we might have accomplished if we respected the Indians rights, and worked within what is ethical? I know USA is just a corporation, but it is a corporation run by people, and people can decide to do the ethical thing.
A little existential tension makes for good when the comity is good. I say the smart money is on Hong Kong. What Beijing proposes is an improvement over what the Brits offered. And always remember, USA is a democracy. Do the people of Hong Kong really want to end up like us?
Feel free to forward this by email to three of your friends.
Posted in globalisation, govt regulation, law, lifestyle by John Wiley Spiers | 2 comments
Monday, June 10, 2013
Snowden In A Hong Kong Hotel
Thought you'd appreciate this paragraph:"On May 20, he boarded a flight to Hong Kong, where he has remained ever since. He chose the city because "they have a spirited commitment to free speech and the right of political dissent", and because he believed that it was one of the few places in the world that both could and would resist the dictates of the US government."
I was a little surprised to read that Snowden expects asylum in Hong Kong. As regular readers know, I often praise Hong Kong for various reasons. But one thing Hong Kong is not is an asylum for dissidents. Almost no Chinese nationals can get into Hong Kong, so how this guy came to the conclusion the Hong Kong benevolence would extend to him, I am not sure.
One thing that was always clear to me in Hong Kong, is clear to me when I am there, is I am a guest tolerated for the duration of the time it takes for me to do business. HK is for the people of Hong Kong, not for NSA dissidents, or anyone else that might cause the people of Hong Kong inconvenience. Hong Kong is a wonderful place if you are there to make money and behave yourself.
(Update: sure enough, he is on the move... willingly or unwillingly.)
Time for truth commissions, instead of depending on whistleblowers.
by John Wiley Spiers | 7 comments
Tuesday, June 12, 2012
Friedman, Hong Kong & Economic Arguments
Adam Smith went on to write The Wealth of Nations (1776). These were the ideas in place at the time. And from these people come the leading businesses to this day in Hong Kong, Jardine Mathison and Hong Kong Shanghai Banking Corporation, to Scottish companies.

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Posted in economics, free market, govt regulation by John Wiley Spiers | 1 comments
Saturday, August 17, 2013
Paul Romer on Hong Kong & Charter Cities
Now comes Paul Romer with a Ted Talk advocating charter cities like charter schools. We set up Hong Kong style polities around the world, wherever people ask for them. Exactly who "we" is is vague, but certainly Paul Romer is there to lend a hand.
What is missing is a set of rules that give choices not only to people but to leaders, avers Romer.
He cites Korea, where a common people embraced diametrically opposed sets of rules and yielded opposite results, North and South Korea, and certainly South Korea looks more attractive compared to North Korea. But that misses the point of where Korea would be if it was not so government intensive - both Koreas have local governments plus hegemons. Korea, even split in two, tells us nothing. Hegemons fog the picture.
I was in China before and after Deng Xiao-ping took Lee Kwan Yew's advice and copied Hong Kong in Shenzhen and 3 other cities, eventually going to twenty and more. I watched the changes as the iron control of the communists withdrew, and freedom flowered in its place, under the aegis of the communist party. In that event, the powers that be conscientiously decided to deregulate in the face of a crisis. Good things followed.
I also watched India attempt to compete with China in this regard, and as near as I can tell, in essence the residual rajah-ism and caste system has kept it from flowering. Here is the difference; India adopted the rule-intensive British Socialism regnant at the time of its liberation from the UK. As Romer suggests in the opening of his talk, rules matter, and India is burdened by a legacy of rules alien to India.
Rules are not universally applicable, for they flower in culturally dependent expression. And to this end, the fewer rules the better, for any majority will oppress a creative minority. Even worse when an alien hegemon (the rulesmakers) show up, for they cripple everyone. This is not limited to polities: India's greatest mathematician arrived at correct answers by means his British betters found inscrutable, and no doubt vice versa. But the fact of the matter is, there is such a thing as "Hindu mathematics" and "German mathematics" even in the pure sciences... how much more so in cultural learnings? What happens when we say "there are a set of universally applicable rules..." ? Hang on, whose rules?
The miniscule UK could rule the waves because its practice was to share power and allow locals to thrive. Tho. Sowell notes from his research that Americans of some Africa ancestry come from either British or French sources. Those from British sources are wealthier, those from French are less so. France did not share power with locals. Relative freedom, lack of central rules is important.
Romer is rent seeking. "We've fouled our nest, with a little chutzpah, we can find new nests to lord over." How about we straighten out the USA first. Haven't we done enough harm?

Are those Hong Kong phosphorus bombs, or USA phosphorus bombs?
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Posted in anarchy by John Wiley Spiers | 2 comments
Wednesday, May 19, 2010
USA Hong Kong Wine Agreement
Below I reproduce a news release from a Hong Kong trade promotion office, outlining a memorandum of understanding between US and Hong Kong. You can read what it entails.
USA Ag policy has been "get big or get out" for at least 150 years. One exception to this is the wine business, particularly in California, where the state and fed govt subsidized the rich and politically connected to set up wineries and live the charmed life in Northern California.
This subsidy has led to massive overproduction. If you have market locally for 5000 bottles of $49 merlot, but you produce 25000 bottles do you cut your price to move the extra 20,000 bottles? What if the price to move it all is $3 a bottle locally, but that will slaughter your image and no more customers at $49?
The average price paid by Hong Kong importers for red wine from USA is $3 a bottle. (I show you how to research that here...)
5000 bottles at $50 is $250,000. 20,000 at $3 is $60,000, or $310,000 total.
If you price cut here USA, and you market price drifts down to say $5 a bottle, then you'll end up earning 25000 times $5 is $125,000. If you are only getting by at $310,000, you are out of biz at $125,000. Exporting allows you to keep your domestic prices higher than otherwise.
A quick biz to get into is re-importing wines. Know your USA wines. Set up an office in Hong Kong. Buy excellent USA wines cheap.. . negotiate cheap regular shipping, buy the wine from usa, bring it into hong kong, and ship it back. As USA wine it will come in duty free. (If you test this, make sure you do it first with a small shipment, only as much as you would like to drink, if this there is some rule I am not aware of... work with a customsbroker on this.)
This is in essence what was going on the pharmaceutical re-importations and plenty of other products whose exports are subsidized.
It does not surprise me in these times of economic distress the US govt is subsidizing this waste fraud and abuse (and it does not surprise me Hong Kong merchants are smart enough to take the money.) many of those villas in Northern California are owned by politicians, or politically connected, so they voted themselves another pay raise.
Such subsidies distort the markets, and lead to USA consumers overpaying for many items, such as wine.
As for the best way to export USA wine to China without govt subsidies and assistance, I have a video coming up on that. As to the memorandum of understanding, there is not a single element in it that would be useful to a start-up company.
Notes from the Article:
May 2010
Posted in business tactics, export services, market intervention, New Business Opportunities / Trade Leads by John Wiley Spiers | 2 comments
