Tuesday, April 17, 2012

Bet on Bo Xilai

There is an inscrutable power play going on in China, where an accomplished high official has apparently been relieved of duty and is under investigation for problems relating to charges that his high-profile wife may have murdered a British subject.  How Byzantine!

The fellow in questions is Bo Xilai, son of Bo Yibo.  Read their biographies and you'll see, like father like son.  Father was a hard-line communist, yet contributed to the modernization with Deng Xiaoping.  So it is with the son.

The Chinese leadership says it is not about a power struggle, as western press reports it, and it is likely not.  The Chinese leadership is not inclined to struggle with anyone at any time.  What is happening, no doubt, is the situation is being studied closely.  With Bo Xilai safely tucked away, the authorities can discern who has been up to what.

Apparently Bo Jr did not want the Chongqing posting, but Beijing wanted a clean politician to clean house in that district.   Expect local mafiosi and corrupt cops to try to button him, but also expect Beijing to not allow one of theirs to be overthrown by local thugs.

China is in a "clean campaign" right now, and they could care less what the outside world thinks.  It is all about results.  A fruit seller in Tunisia set himself on fire because he was not allowed to sell fruit by oppressive government.  Criminals in control of government make for oppressive government.  Beijing will not tolerate this.

Bo Xilai spent five years in solitary, as did his siblings, his mom died, and his dad tortured, all by had line communists, but they survived otherwise and came back out on top.  Bo Xilai can take a little time out.

After the hard guys from Beijing sort out Chongqing, expect Bo Xilai to return and resume his upward path.  Bet on Bo Xilai.

Update:  Purged?  Who said purged?  If you read what this person has to say, it is clear he is reading the story exactly backwards from the facts.

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