Fifty years ago I got a 8 transistor battery operated radio. I saved up. It was awesome. Something like this.
I could ride my skateboard and listen to KJR 95 Seattle, how cool was that? It was pretty expensive, but I had to have it. The price had come down to the point I could get one with my own money. Sure they would get cheaper, but who cares, I wanted one NOW! On/Off, and a dial for maybe seven radio stations, two I could listen to. And a 9 volt battery as a consumable. Eight transistors! Wow!
Today?
So now they are just loading crap on, and there is a widespread suspicion Apple is building in time-bombs that crash your product about the time they introduce something new. I doubt that, but collectively there is lots of conflict of interests between customers and promoters. I've been wanting far less on my computers, and I still use a flip phone, for I haven't seen anything in a decade that makes me want to trade up. I truly want less, not more (or Moore's). My laptop is five years old, and on its last legs capability-wise. I used to get a decade out of apple products.
One of the big beneficiaries of the credit inflation and lending credit and subsequent misallocation and malinvestment was the dot-com industry. Thus its bust way back when, and its too-big-to-fail players now. Recall when there were 25 search engines?
But my point is what we saw in electronics, a plethora of more, better, cheaper, faster, happened undreamt of in the field of electronics Moore wrote his article wondering "where would it all lead?" OK, now we see, so far. Probably too much. But Moore nor anyone else anticipated the competition lite in telecommunications, the opening of the super-secret WWW to the public, and the connection of computers to the telecommunications system. And then who would imagine Al Gore would invent the information superhighway? Who saw that coming? And to this day everyone give Ronald Reagan credit when it was Jimmy Carter who got the laws changed in the face of opposition in law, commerce, and science. Jimmy Carter introduced deregulation lite of transportation and communication (and brewering, as a matter of fact.) No one saw the internet nor craft beer coming.
With this stupendous achievement, and if there are diminishing returns, why not turn to something else in trouble, and why not expect unforeseen stupendous results?
Deregulate banks - and get unimaginable benefits? Like what? Well, that is just the point, who knows? It cannot be worse than we have now, can it? Without deregulation, we already have crowdfunding (although the rent-seeking lawyers have already planted time-bombs in the works, with early legislation and let the IRS rules precipitate a crisis).
Deregulate law. Have separation of law and state, and adopt the Lex Mercatoria where answering a summons is voluntary. If anyone were to study Mosaic law carefully in writing, and then again in human practice, you'd see it is far superior to the mish-mash of false prosecution we have in USA today.
Deregulate medicine. Listening to a USA physician and thriving medical chemical business owner who just opened a cancer clinic. In Mexico, Tecate. You can always do chemotherapy, but how about mass doses of vitamin C first, and see if the science that shows favorable results will work for you too. Not allowed in USA. Actually, doctors can do anything they want. But if it is not by the book, then the lawsuit can be devastating. I just buried my doctor, so now the stories can be told of things he did, lives he saved, laws he broke. "O! If he was saving lives why didn't he write it up in the medical Journals?!" He was saving lives because he read of science from overseas medical journals. Medicine in USA is social engineering. Today medicine attract social engineers. "Vaccinate!" In spite of the settled science that says don't vaccinate. (The problem is not lack of vaccination, the problem is war. War lowers immune systems, and once you are there, if you have vaccine for one, then another will get you. USA has massive participation in war.)
Deregulate transportation. Hong Kong has cheap and world class transportation, all in private hands. Communist China has mag lev transport, and is expanding it. Do we need to go Red to get progress? Obviously capitalism can't do it. But free markets will.
What would you deregulate and welcome the unseen benefits, on a stupendous scale?
Feel free to forward this to three friends.
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| http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/9/94/Zenith_8-transistor_radio.agr.jpg |
Today?
The chip on your iPhone that's the size of your thumb holds 2 billion transistors. And that isn't the most powerful chip — there are chips with 8 billion transistors....Fifty years ago this week, a chemist in what is now Silicon Valley published a paper that set the groundwork for the digital revolution.It's not physically impossible, because logic 101 tells you it is possible to either divide in half or multiply by two ad infinitem. What is happening is we've applied so much time talent treasure blood sweat and tears to micro electronics we have gone beyond what we could possibly want at the consumer level. (Industry can keep at it for a very long time). There can be improvements, but directions, entertainment, information, communication, creativity, health monitoring, time, you name it, you can have it on your smart phone. The mass of apps available surpass what the human in time can use. We've come a long way from the 8 Transistor Radio. And maybe each new thing is too specialized to warrant production. Diminishing returns?
You may never have heard of Moore's law, but it has a lot do with why you will pay about the same price for your next computer, smartphone or tablet, even though it will be faster and have better screen resolution than the last one.
..."It had kind of doubled every year — two, four, eight, 16, 32," says Moore, looking back. "So I said, 'OK it's gonna double every year for 10 years — go from 60 components to 60,000 components on a chip.' "
Moore published his prediction in Electronics Magazine. It was as much about science as it was about the economics of the growing electronics industry.
"I wanted to get across the idea that this is the way we're going to make cheap electronics. The nature of the whole industry is the more stuff you can put on a chip, the cheaper it is per unit of stuff," Moore says.
...The point is you keep getting smaller and inventors and entrepreneurs will find uses — and so it has been for the past 50 years. The question is, how much longer can this go on?
"I think we're running out of gas here with Moore's Law," Spicer says. "Because no physical process can continue doubling every year forever — it's physically impossible."
You may never have heard of Moore's law, but it has a lot do with why you will pay about the same price for your next computer, smartphone or tablet, even though it will be faster and have better screen resolution than the last one...."It had kind of doubled every year — two, four, eight, 16, 32," says Moore, looking back. "So I said, 'OK it's gonna double every year for 10 years — go from 60 components to 60,000 components on a chip.' "
Moore published his prediction in Electronics Magazine. It was as much about science as it was about the economics of the growing electronics industry.
"I wanted to get across the idea that this is the way we're going to make cheap electronics. The nature of the whole industry is the more stuff you can put on a chip, the cheaper it is per unit of stuff," Moore says.
...The point is you keep getting smaller and inventors and entrepreneurs will find uses — and so it has been for the past 50 years. The question is, how much longer can this go on?
"I think we're running out of gas here with Moore's Law," Spicer says. "Because no physical process can continue doubling every year forever — it's physically impossible."
Moore published his prediction in Electronics Magazine. It was as much about science as it was about the economics of the growing electronics industry.
"I wanted to get across the idea that this is the way we're going to make cheap electronics. The nature of the whole industry is the more stuff you can put on a chip, the cheaper it is per unit of stuff," Moore says.
...The point is you keep getting smaller and inventors and entrepreneurs will find uses — and so it has been for the past 50 years. The question is, how much longer can this go on?
"I think we're running out of gas here with Moore's Law," Spicer says. "Because no physical process can continue doubling every year forever — it's physically impossible."
"I wanted to get across the idea that this is the way we're going to make cheap electronics. The nature of the whole industry is the more stuff you can put on a chip, the cheaper it is per unit of stuff," Moore says....The point is you keep getting smaller and inventors and entrepreneurs will find uses — and so it has been for the past 50 years. The question is, how much longer can this go on?
"I think we're running out of gas here with Moore's Law," Spicer says. "Because no physical process can continue doubling every year forever — it's physically impossible."
"I think we're running out of gas here with Moore's Law," Spicer says. "Because no physical process can continue doubling every year forever — it's physically impossible."
So now they are just loading crap on, and there is a widespread suspicion Apple is building in time-bombs that crash your product about the time they introduce something new. I doubt that, but collectively there is lots of conflict of interests between customers and promoters. I've been wanting far less on my computers, and I still use a flip phone, for I haven't seen anything in a decade that makes me want to trade up. I truly want less, not more (or Moore's). My laptop is five years old, and on its last legs capability-wise. I used to get a decade out of apple products.
One of the big beneficiaries of the credit inflation and lending credit and subsequent misallocation and malinvestment was the dot-com industry. Thus its bust way back when, and its too-big-to-fail players now. Recall when there were 25 search engines?
But my point is what we saw in electronics, a plethora of more, better, cheaper, faster, happened undreamt of in the field of electronics Moore wrote his article wondering "where would it all lead?" OK, now we see, so far. Probably too much. But Moore nor anyone else anticipated the competition lite in telecommunications, the opening of the super-secret WWW to the public, and the connection of computers to the telecommunications system. And then who would imagine Al Gore would invent the information superhighway? Who saw that coming? And to this day everyone give Ronald Reagan credit when it was Jimmy Carter who got the laws changed in the face of opposition in law, commerce, and science. Jimmy Carter introduced deregulation lite of transportation and communication (and brewering, as a matter of fact.) No one saw the internet nor craft beer coming.
With this stupendous achievement, and if there are diminishing returns, why not turn to something else in trouble, and why not expect unforeseen stupendous results?
Deregulate banks - and get unimaginable benefits? Like what? Well, that is just the point, who knows? It cannot be worse than we have now, can it? Without deregulation, we already have crowdfunding (although the rent-seeking lawyers have already planted time-bombs in the works, with early legislation and let the IRS rules precipitate a crisis).
Deregulate law. Have separation of law and state, and adopt the Lex Mercatoria where answering a summons is voluntary. If anyone were to study Mosaic law carefully in writing, and then again in human practice, you'd see it is far superior to the mish-mash of false prosecution we have in USA today.
Deregulate medicine. Listening to a USA physician and thriving medical chemical business owner who just opened a cancer clinic. In Mexico, Tecate. You can always do chemotherapy, but how about mass doses of vitamin C first, and see if the science that shows favorable results will work for you too. Not allowed in USA. Actually, doctors can do anything they want. But if it is not by the book, then the lawsuit can be devastating. I just buried my doctor, so now the stories can be told of things he did, lives he saved, laws he broke. "O! If he was saving lives why didn't he write it up in the medical Journals?!" He was saving lives because he read of science from overseas medical journals. Medicine in USA is social engineering. Today medicine attract social engineers. "Vaccinate!" In spite of the settled science that says don't vaccinate. (The problem is not lack of vaccination, the problem is war. War lowers immune systems, and once you are there, if you have vaccine for one, then another will get you. USA has massive participation in war.)
Deregulate transportation. Hong Kong has cheap and world class transportation, all in private hands. Communist China has mag lev transport, and is expanding it. Do we need to go Red to get progress? Obviously capitalism can't do it. But free markets will.
What would you deregulate and welcome the unseen benefits, on a stupendous scale?
Feel free to forward this to three friends.
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