Re: [spiers] Google will drain Amazon
Although Amazon started out selling books, I think
it's so diversified with the sale of other products
that I would find it hard to believe that Google can
torpedo the company. Why can't Amazon adopt a plan
similar to Google? I order quite a few things from
Amazon and the items have nothing to do with books. I
think Amazon will be around for some time.
Now newspapers, TV, Radio, that is another story.
Those media outlets have crested and will soon
disappear. I see a large market penetration for ipods
and wonder what kind of impact they will have on
Radio, TV, and the written word. Just some thoughts.
Anthony
--- John Spiers
> Folks,
>
> Probably on of the most disordered businesses is the
> publishing industry, much improved by
> Amazon.com, but still leaving much to be desired.
>
> Now comes google with a plan that I think will
> finish the publishing revolution, get it to
> rationality, but in the meantime eliminate
> amazon.com.
>
> Check out this offer:
>
>
http://print.google.com/support/publisher/bin/index.py?fulldump=1&hl=en_U
> S#1785
>
> Make sure you cut and paste the whole thing...
> including the last numbers...
>
> With print on demand..and with google the ability to
> look up particular passages in any
> book.. and then buy it from the author... sigh... so
> long amazon.
>
> John
Friday, November 11, 2005
Google will drain Amazon
Posted in operations by John Wiley Spiers | 0 comments
Google will drain Amazon
Folks,
Probably on of the most disordered businesses is the publishing industry, much
improved by
Amazon.com, but still leaving much to be desired.
Now comes google with a plan that I think will finish the publishing revolution,
get it to
rationality, but in the meantime eliminate amazon.com.
Check out this offer:
http://print.google.com/support/publisher/bin/index.py?fulldump=1&hl=en_U
S#1785
Make sure you cut and paste the whole thing... including the last numbers...
With print on demand..and with google the ability to look up particular passages
in any
book.. and then buy it from the author... sigh... so long amazon.
John
Posted in intellectual property by John Wiley Spiers | 0 comments
Good Article
Folks,
Here is an intersting article on whether imports hurt USA jobs... (it doesn't
much... it is in
exporting we are losing jobs, something I blame on subsidies, restrictions and
particularly
the subsidy/restiction combo punch of patents) Check it out...
http://www.forbes.com/2005/11/10/trade-jobs-economy-cx_1110mckinsey.html
or...
Don't Blame Trade For U.S. Job Losses
McKinsey Quarterly, 11.10.05, 3:45 PM ET
The U.S. recession officially ended in late 2001, and ever since, despite recent
gains,
aggregate job creation has been extremely weak--weaker even than during the
"jobless
recovery" that followed the 1990 to 1991 recession. Contributing most to the
overall number
of U.S. jobs lost since 2000 has been the manufacturing sector, which shed 2.85
million of
them from 2000 to 2003, notwithstanding the relatively mild nature of the recent
downturn
in the economy as a whole.
Many people in the U.S. have looked at the enormous trade deficit, and
concluded that a
flood of imported goods from China and the offshoring of services to India are
to blame for
the loss of jobs. CNN's Lou Dobbs has called the problem "a clear call to our
business and
political leaders that our trade policies simply are not working." The issue
isn't the concern
solely of U.S. policy makers: The same fears about trade are rampant throughout
Europe and
Japan, while protectionist sentiment is rising around the world.
But trade, particularly rising imports of goods and services, didn't destroy
the vast majority
of the jobs lost in the U.S. since 2000. We analyzed detailed trade and industry
data to
estimate the extent of job dislocation due to offshoring in the manufacturing
and service
sectors from 2000 to 2003. This work was the first complete analysis of how the
economic
downturn, imports, exports and global competition interact--directly and
indirectly--to
affect employment.
Our research shows that, in fact, only about 314,000 jobs (11% of the
manufacturing jobs
lost) were lost as a result of trade, and that falling exports--not rising
imports--were
responsible. Service sector offshoring destroyed even fewer jobs. These figures
are tiny
relative to the millions of positions lost and created every year in the U.S. by
normal market
forces.
The real causes of job losses were weak domestic demand, rapid productivity
growth and the
dollar's strength, which dampened U.S. exports. It is vital that policy makers
understand the
forces at work, for otherwise there will be a temptation to apply quick fixes,
such as
protectionism, that won't restore employment, because they do not address the
underlying
problems. The real solutions--stimulating domestic demand, cutting the budget
deficit and
pushing countries with artificially cheap currencies to let them appreciate
against the dollar--
are harder to implement but more likely to boost employment.
The Decline Of Manufacturing Jobs
Manufacturing's share of total U.S. employment has been falling for at least
half a century--a
trend that is typical not only of developed economies but also of many
developing ones. In
the 1990s, manufacturing employment was fairly stable. From 2000 to 2003,
however,
payroll employment in manufacturing fell by 16.2%--the largest decline since the
end of
World War II and a steeper drop than the declines experienced by other sectors.
While the job losses were concentrated among producers of capital goods and
apparel, every
major manufacturing sector saw payrolls fall. The bursting of the high-tech
bubble resulted
in the loss of a half-million jobs in computer and electronics production. Other
large declines
occurred in machinery, fabricated-metal products and textiles.
For many observers, trade was the obvious culprit. Since 1992, the U.S. has run
an
increasingly large trade deficit, which reached $403 billion in 2003. The size
of this deficit
and its pervasiveness across economic sectors make it tempting to believe that
trade played a
major role in the manufacturing recession. What these observers have missed is
the subtle
relationship among productivity growth, domestic demand, exports and imports. It
is this
interplay that leads us to the counterintuitive conclusion that the influence of
trade has been
minor.
The Role Of Trade
During the late 1990s, trade wasn't a significant cause of job losses, because
the U.S. enjoyed
full employment. A shortage of labor, not unemployment, was the problem of the
day. The
trade deficit in part reflected the fact that the country was producing less
than it was
consuming.
After 2000, as the economy fell into recession, U.S. exports fell. We estimate
that more than
3.4 million manufacturing workers were producing goods for export in 2000; by
2003, this
number had fallen below 2.7 million. All told, the export slump destroyed
742,000 U.S.
manufacturing jobs.
On the import side, though, the picture was very different. It isn't true that
manufactured
goods flooded into the U.S. after 2000. In fact, growth in manufactured imports
was quite
sluggish from 2000 to 2003. And as we will explain, this weakness in imports
actually
boosted manufacturing employment in 2003 by some 428,000 jobs.
Overall, then, trade accounted for a net loss of no more than 314,000 jobs (a
reduction of
742,000 because of weak exports and an increase of 428,000 owing to weak
imports),
representing only 11% of the total manufacturing job loss of 2.85 million. The
other 2.54
million jobs disappeared because of the economy's cyclical downturn, which
dampened
domestic demand for manufactured goods.
The Effect Of Productivity Growth
How did imports boost U.S. employment from 2000 to 2003? The answer lies in the
rapid
growth of productivity in the U.S. To understand how this dynamic played out, we
will first
explore the more intuitive link between productivity and the jobs generated by
domestic
demand and by exports. We then turn to the relationship between productivity and
imports.
Some economic mechanisms can allow productivity increases to boost output and
employment--for example, by making companies and industries more competitive.
But from
a purely arithmetical standpoint, if productivity (output per employee) is
rising, output must
increase at least as fast to keep employment from falling. After 2000, domestic
U.S. demand
grew much less than productivity, so companies needed fewer workers to fill
their domestic
orders. It was a similar story with exports: They fell sharply in 2001, declined
again in 2002
and rose only slightly in 2003. With rising productivity and reduced orders,
exporters could
meet demand using far fewer employees.
In the case of imports, the impact of productivity is actually reversed,
because imports
displace U.S. jobs rather than create them. The higher the productivity of U.S.
industries that
compete with imports, the smaller the number of jobs displaced by a given volume
of
imports. We estimated the number by figuring out how many U.S. workers would
have been
employed had the same products been made in the U.S. When we examined statistics
on the
productivity of industries that compete with imports, we found that it increased
so rapidly
from 2000 to 2003 that the number of jobs displaced by imports actually
declined.
Excerpted from The McKinsey Quarterly
Posted in media by John Wiley Spiers | 0 comments
Thursday, November 10, 2005
Florida Fashion Focus
Re: [spiers] Florida Fashion Focus
Does anyone know any independent reps for shoes or has relationships
with
buyers that buy shoes?
--
Kenny Tang
nomoreoutside4u@hotmail.com
This is a challenge, since it appears you are selling shoes that
already exist, putting you in the position of selling available shoes,
too. This then limits your efforts to competing oon price, which is a
game we cannot play at the small business level. Even if you have a
great price on a popular shoe, the buyer will just use your bona fide
offer to get the regular supplier to match your price.
If on the other hand, your shoes are of a new style, then they were not
developed in concert with the buyers, by means I lay out in the book
and the classes. This of coourse leaves you looking for buyers, which
is something better had BEFORE you get your samples.
In the case of a new design that is not yours, not developed in concert
with buyers, instead of trying to get reps for your shoes, simply walk
into Nordstroms or other upscale shoe stores, and present yourself as
someone with an opportunity to sell these shoes, not looking for an
order, just looking for frank feedback. "I found these shoes in
country X, I think they are wonderful... should I be importiing these?"
See what they say... you get frank feedback, you may get to buyers
too, and if they bless it, you can proceed...but get working on new
designs right away. New designs are the only thing you get paid for.
John
Posted in New Business Opportunities / Trade Leads by John Wiley Spiers | 0 comments
Florida Fashion Focus
Trade In Services
I run a translation company and in many ways I import services (as the
translators are abroad) and export services (as some clients are
abroad).
From an import/export perspective it is simple (thanks God for Paypal!).
But I would like to know how I could find sales reps to help me sell my
services? We have developed a niche as Web-site Globalization
specialists
and also as Legal Translation specialists. My clients (should) be large
global companies.....
Any thoughts?
Leo
Where do they go now for such services..? meet them there... for
example if one wanted to sell financial advice to small investors of
foreign nationality in USA (this was recently asked) then catch them
where they wire money from USA back hoome overseas. here is the time
and place to advise them on investments.
Would yours be an add-on service to law firms? How do foreignors
decide which law firms to employ? Figure that out and get in the path
of such people. Co-brand yourself with the law firms... this is a
challenge, since not much is known about the scope of trade in
services...
John
Posted in operations by John Wiley Spiers | 0 comments
Wednesday, November 9, 2005
Florida Fashion Focus
RE: [spiers] Florida Fashion Focus
Does anyone know any independent reps for shoes or has relationships with
buyers that buy shoes?
--
Kenny Tang
nomoreoutside4u@hotmail.com
----Original Message Follows----
From: "'Leo'"
Reply-To: spiers@yahoogroups.com
To:
Subject: RE: [spiers] Florida Fashion Focus
Date: Tue, 8 Nov 2005 15:05:59 -0500
I run a translation company and in many ways I import services (as the
translators are abroad) and export services (as some clients are abroad).
From an import/export perspective it is simple (thanks God for Paypal!).
But I would like to know how I could find sales reps to help me sell my
services? We have developed a niche as Web-site Globalization specialists
and also as Legal Translation specialists. My clients (should) be large
global companies.....
Any thoughts?
Leo
Posted in New Business Opportunities / Trade Leads by John Wiley Spiers | 0 comments
Florida Fashion Focus
Re: [spiers] Florida Fashion Focus
Tania, they are allot of hard work to design and make you location is
interesting enough to draw the xtra people into you exhibit. Great place to
network and meet others in the same bus. and get their opinions on the best
shows to do based on where you live and how far you would travel for the best
shows. Most others that have been around can give you a great deal inf insight
in the business. Do the show, just know its long hours and commit to giving it
you best. YOU'LL NEVER KNOW IF YOU DON'T TRY.
taniamortensen
Has anyone been to this tradeshow? I'm considering going (as an
exhibitor) in April and would love some feedback from anyone who's
gone. Thanks.
Tania
Posted in New Business Opportunities / Trade Leads by John Wiley Spiers | 0 comments
Tuesday, November 8, 2005
Florida Fashion Focus
RE: [spiers] Florida Fashion Focus
I run a translation company and in many ways I import services (as the
translators are abroad) and export services (as some clients are abroad).
From an import/export perspective it is simple (thanks God for Paypal!).
But I would like to know how I could find sales reps to help me sell my
services? We have developed a niche as Web-site Globalization specialists
and also as Legal Translation specialists. My clients (should) be large
global companies.....
Any thoughts?
Leo
Posted in New Business Opportunities / Trade Leads by John Wiley Spiers | 0 comments
Monday, November 7, 2005
Florida Fashion Focus
Re: [spiers] Florida Fashion Focus
Has anyone been to this tradeshow? I'm considering going (as an
exhibitor) in April and would love some feedback from anyone who's
gone. Thanks.
Tania
***Yikes..you mean rent a booth, with hopes of orders? If so, I'd say
get reps instead...
John
Posted in New Business Opportunities / Trade Leads by John Wiley Spiers | 0 comments