Saturday, February 21, 2015

Longshore Action

On Feb 17, 2015, at 6:40 AM, Steve wrote:
On another point, I noticed that there is a labor dispute holding up cargo at the ports on the west coast but did not see your insight on these events on your hbhblog. I would love to hear your input and am wondering what the main issues are in the dispute as well as what products are being affected. How does an exporter/importer handle the customer service on our end when these delays happen and we are exporting to another country and there is a hold up like this?

Thanks,
Steve

I suppose as one dealing with the topic of international trade, the West Coast Port action would be a topic I would cover.  Over the last 40 years, I've seen these a few times, but they are not a problem if you follow what I advise: never go for volume at the small business (specialty) level in international trade.

As an importer, when your sales are in the millions, you are still buying minimum order quantities... instead of a full 20' or 40' (heavens forfend!) you have one minimum order on the books, one in production, one on the factory loading dock, one on the way to the port, on being loaded CFS (LCL), one on a ship on the ocean, one being offloaded in a port, one in the warehouse...  etc...  so, what happens when there is a port action?  One small shipment gets tied up, the rest are diverted to Vancouver BC, and brought in-bond through Blaine.

This too will pass.  We manage these problems with MOQ, this being just one of many reasons for dealing in MOQ quantities.

On the export side, the same thing.  There are $50,000 FCL containers full of produce rotting on the docks.  We'd have a $1200 shipment, prepaid, at risk.  Over a year, we could eat that loss, as could our overseas customer....  And we can wait this out.

But but but... you lose economies of scale!  No such thing at the small business level. The reason I am teaching is what is taught by trade development and accredited programs is for big business, but directly harmful to small business.

As to what is going on, the longshoreman are a real unions (as opposed to government"unions"), which means they are essentially anti-fascist.  The Stevedore companies are trying to cut longshoreman compensation and relax safety rules, to fatten their profits and expand fascism.  The longshoremen aren't having it.

At the 1982 Longshoreman Master Contract Negotiations I was at the table on management side ( I can be soooo mercenary).  The strike issue was unfunded pension liability.  Leaders were bought off, the issue went away, and peace was restored, but the union took a hit.  I hope union militantism is making a comeback.

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ZIRP and Usury

If charging interest is good and necessary, how come the world economy is so shakey, given that there has been so much credit at interest available so EZ for so long?

If necessary to charge interest on loans, how come ZIRP is the policy of all central banks world wide right now?

Hard to sort through this, I imagine.  Yes, an economy can thrive without usury.  But if you lend asset-less-backed credit, in essence fraud, nothing good can come of it.

That is hard to think through, but there it is.

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Welfare Queen Tesla

The auto industry needed to be bailed out in 2008, and how has that worked out for Detroit?  Today, in anticipation of the next crash, the later the bigger, so the sooner the better, Detroit is being bailed out in advance.  Subprime loans on autos are rife, so people are goosing USA economic numbers buy picking up cars they will never pay for.   Looks good short term, soon America will be awash in cheapo repos.  Hold off on that purchase, cash will be king.

Cheap credit and politics also crowds out innovation in the auto industry.  Picked winners are advanced, true innovation is suppressed:

But even these egregious windfalls do not begin to compare with the gifts showered on Elon Musk by the money printers in the Eccles building. Tesla has stayed alive only because it has been able to raise billions of convertible debt in the Wall Street casino at yields which are the next best thing to free money. In short, it has been burning massive dollops of cash for years and replenishing itself periodically in capital markets which are rife with momo speculators flying high on cheap carry trades and the Fed’s buy-the-dip safety net.
During the spring of 2014, for instance, it raised $2.3 billion of 5- and 7-year money at interest rates ranging between 25bps and 125bps. That’s right. This company is a red ink spewing rank speculation, but the money printers have enabled it to raise cash that costs virtually nothing on an after tax basis. Call it free money for the Telsa bonfire of the vanities.

What more, better, cheaper faster might we have had if we had not diverted so much time talent treasure to welfare for millionaires and billionaires?  We'll never know until capitalism finally caves in, which gets closer every day.

We get a glimmer of what is possible from relatively free market, like Hong Kong, where mass transit is privately owned. Where there is separation of business and state.

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Friday, February 20, 2015

Islamic Gold Trove Found in Israel

The wacky reporter claims Israeli archeologists found 1000 year old British coins in Israeli waters.  Now that would be amazing news.
Experts from the authorities visited the aquatic scene with metal detectors and found nearly 2,000 gold sovereigns in different denominations.
And in different denominations!  The coin world would be rocked! But then the writer immediately contradicts himself.
"Perhaps the treasure of coins was meant to pay the salaries of the Fatimid military garrison which was stationed in Caesarea and protected the city," Mr Sharvit added as an alternative.
"Another theory is that the treasure was money belonging to a large merchant ship that traded with the coastal cities and the port on the Mediterranean Sea and sank there."
Fatimid?  You mean, as in Muslim?  Not British?  You mean Islamic coins (clearly so from the pictures) were found in a shipwreck from a period of Islamic peace and prosperity in an Islamic territory (now Israeli territory)?  Well, that's not so interesting.  Rather inevitable, wouldn't you think?
The Fatimid dynasty, whose rulers were Shia Muslims, ran a large empire in North Africa and the Middle East from AD 909 to 1171. It was believed to have descended from Fatima bint Muhammad, daughter of the Prophet Mohammed, according to claims of the Fatimids.
Incidentally, Fatima, Mohammed's daughter, is believed by many Christians to be the one who will mediate peace between Moslems and Christians, based on revelations from "Our Lady of Fatima."

Anyway, this article get weirder:
The sunken treasure was in near perfect condition despite being exposed to salt water for a millennium, attributed by experts to gold's "noble metal" properties of being unaffected by air or water.
And salt water at that, saltiest right there. You need an expert to tell you this about gold?  Did you know that is one reason gold is used as money?  This journalist needs to do some research.

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If Gold is a Barbaric Relic, Then How Come...?

Gold only shows up in street level trade when there is a politico-economic disaster, as history shows.  When all is well, most trade is transacted in usury-free private credit.  So what can we make from this?
“Putin is the biggest gold bug”, was the title of a recent Bloomberg op-ed by Leonid Bershidsky the founding editor of Vedomosti, Russia’s top business daily. He explains why the Russian central bank has accumulated almost 100 tons of gold in the last four months of 2014. It is an acceleration of the gold buying program which started in 2007, a year before the Lehman collapse....
More countries are repatriating their gold. For them, an audit is not enough. They would like their gold back. Azerbaijan, Ecuador, Iran, Libya, Mexico, Romania and Venezuela is a short list of countries that have requests into their custodians to transfer some or all their gold back to their countries.
We should all be reading Koos, who is covering this beat well...

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Usury Free Loans - Kiva Zip

Kiva Zip is the division of Kiva that facilitates usury-free loans.   If we want a renaissance in small business in USA, we need a renaissance of this critical factor.

If you have money in retirement, you are about to lose a large part of it, I believe.  On the other hand, you can lend money to start-ups that will actually be doing good as they do well.

Yes, I believe if any of these businesses fail you will not get your money back, but then that is another opportunity to exercise charity.  Let is go.  I know this is all radical, but right now we need radical means, not extremist means, like bailing out failed banks and failed auto companies.

Here is a project I plan to help fund, deo volante....

This week was the launch of Kiva City Milwaukee! These borrowers have heart. Some are driven by the desire to be role models, hoping that even amidst challenges, others will follow them in reaching for the stars.
"Neighborhood children will see that it is possible for people like them to attain higher education and pursue any dream." – Vedale
Milwaukee, WI
Vedale and his brother endured a difficult childhood. Their dream to start an after-school art program allows them to be mentors to Milwaukee’s youth. This loan will go toward maintaining their facility and marketing their program.
"It's not just the wealth that I'll be passing down to my children, but the discipline, dedication and structure." – Latrisa
Milwaukee, WI
Latrisa decided to launch her own natural hair care business when she found herself out of a job in 2011. Her desire to teach her children life lessons fuels her every day. She will use this loan to purchase raw materials for her products and also support student interns!
Hope Realized: Meet Paola
Ever long to be the first to do something in your neighborhood? Paola is achieving that goal thanks to a partnership with trustee NYC Business Solutions and lenders like you! Watch her story:
Join our community
  

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Thursday, February 19, 2015

Hershey Cadbury Ban Creates New Business

Well, this didn't take long....  no sooner had I talked about Hershey banning real Cadbury in USA...
Dear John, 
after reading your recent article on the Hershey/Cadbury situation, I thought this might be a story your readers would like. If you should have any questions or require further information, I will be very happy to help.Thank you for your time and best regards, 
Rebecca Gerken (co-founder of British Chocolate Club)
Good luck with this Rebecca! AS an aside,  your model is B2C.  The real money, and more money for less work, is B2B.  Export to businesses that sell chocolate, primarily retail.  Cadbury's name will get compromised now, and there is so much more fine UK choco no one ever heard of...   start repping them MOQ FOB and search and learn new business worldwide.

And here is their website.


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Trademarks are Dead - Sriracha

Dan sent this article in...
David Tran, a Vietnamese refugee who built the pepper empire from nothing, never trademarked the term, opening the door for others to develop their own sauce or seasoning and call it Sriracha.
And he is a multi-millionaire running a family business.  He wanted to make a seasoning and sell it.  He did not start a business to provide an opportunity for rent-seeking lawyers.
That's given some of the biggest names in the food business such as Heinz, Frito-Lay, Subway and Jack in the Box license to bank off the popularity of a condiment once named Bon Appétit magazine's ingredient of the year.
“Bank” off the popularity?  They will dump one SKU of risible corn syrup and soy lecithin food coloring condiment for another with some more piquant ingredients.  They will make no more money than they were before.  What possible interest could anyone who cares about “good” have in that arena?  Those dying businesses would never have provided a profit opportunity anyway, any more than Hershey has done to Cadbury’s.
Restaurant chains and candy and snack makers aren't buying truckloads of Tran's green-capped condiment emblazoned with the rooster logo. Nor are they paying Tran a dime in royalties to use the word "Sriracha" ...
Not would they have.  What we do know is Sriracha Huy Fong is cleaning up. To ponder what has not happened is ahistorical thinking.
"In my mind, it's a major misstep," said Steve Stallman, president of Stallman Marketing, a food business consultancy. "Getting a trademark is a fundamental thing."
Of course you say that.  Consultants are seldom in doubt, never informed.  I say it is a brilliant tactic, says me, President of Spiers Marketing, a company I just made up.  Of course I do marketing consulting too, and my clients directly attribute increase revenue to my advice.  Avoiding all "intellectual" "property" "rights" is a fundamental thing.
Tran, who now operates his family-owned company Huy Fong Foods out of a 650,000-square-foot facility in Irwindale, doesn't see his failure to secure a trademark as a missed opportunity. He says it's free advertising for a company that's never had a marketing budget. 
Bingo.  $80 million in sales (probably 10 net, after paying everyone, and owning biz free and clear) with no marketing budget.  None.  Actually there is quit a long list of successful companies you know that have never had any marketing to speak of...  in fact most businesses in USA do no marketing beyond opening their doors and plain, old fashioned sales.
It's unclear whether he's losing out: Sales of the original Sriracha have grown from $60 million to $80 million in the last two years alone.
Losing out on what, by whose account?  If Tran sees no lost opportunity, who is this writer to tell him otherwise?
"Everyone wants to jump in now," said Tran, 70. "We have lawyers come and say 'I can represent you and sue' and I say 'No. Let them do it.'"
The winning attitude in business.
Tran is so proud of the condiment's popularity that he maintains a daily ritual of searching the Internet for the latest Sriracha spinoff.
Occult compensation.  Priceless.
He believes all the exposure will lead more consumers to taste the original spicy, sweet concoction — which was inspired by flavors from across Southeast Asia and named after a coastal city in Thailand. 
Of course.  There will never be a run on the Jack in the Box Sriracha.  Further, most of these knock-offs will probably come to Sriracha to get a good price on producing the junk versions.
Tony Simmons, chief executive of the McIlhenny Co., makers of Tabasco, said Tran's Sriracha sauce was the "gold standard" for Sriracha-style sauces, ... Simmons was reassured by his lawyers that Tabasco would have no problem releasing a similar sauce using the name Sriracha.
"We spend enormous time protecting the word 'Tabasco' so that we don't have exactly this problem," Simmons said. "Why Mr. Tran did not do that, I don't know."
Exactly what problem, Mr Simmons?  If you calculate the “enormous time (time is money with lawyers) you spend on avoiding this problem (which you cannot actually name) what has it gotten you?  The undying love of lawyers?  Since Sriracha is surpassing Tabasco, perhaps you should reflect on the error of your business model.
There are now a slew of sauces on the market labeled Sriracha, including variations by Frank's Red Hot, Kikkoman and Lee Kum Kee.
None of which will do among Fuy Hong’s customers.  If anyone buys the above, they were never Fuy Hong’s customers.  Why should Fuy Hong worry about people who will not be their customers?  Why should Fuy Hong pay lawyers to keep people from buying what they want to buy?
"My 'rooster killer' (ed note: Tabasco) jumped into the market," said Tran, borrowing a description he saw on a food blog. "They're a big company. They have a lot of money and a lot of advertising."
Simmons isn't counting on toppling Sriracha any time soon.
"Mr. Tran got an awful big head start," he said.
After a limited release, Tabasco will distribute its Sriracha sauce nationwide sometime in the first quarter of this year, Simmons said.
Demonstrating to the world that Tabasco is now a follower, not a leader.  This signals the phase when the owners begin to milk the brand by cutting back on costs, including ingredients.  This will end very badly for Tabasco, and it is too late for them to get out of it now.  Get your Sriracha flavored-popcorn and watch Tabasco die the death of a thousand cuts.
It may be too late for Tran to successfully argue that the trademark belongs to him.
Two dozen applications to use the word have been filed with the United States Patent and Trademark Office. None has been granted for Sriracha alone. The word is now too generic, the agency determined.
Two dozen idiots.  Even Fuy Hong knows this is a fad, and when it dies down he’ll have a state of the art food production plant in the LA basin which he can lease out to other food producers.  In the meantime two dozen entities are forking over money to lawyers for no reason whatsoever.  Ka ching!
"The ship has probably sailed on this, which is unfortunate because they've clearly added something to American cuisine that wasn't there before," said Kelly P. McCarthy, a partner and expert on brand protection and trademark issues at the law firm Sideman & Bancroft.
LOL.  Of course he would say that.  What ship has sailed?  What unfortunate thing happened? Yes, something was added to American cuisine, with zero "intellectual" "property" "rights" the founder got very rich, and nary a lawyer involved.  Is that the unfortunate thing?  Yet another instance demonstrating public law and business have nothing to do with each other...
"My instinct is to want to go after the people that used the Sriracha name," said Berman, an intellectual property lawyer who has represented the Los Angeles Lakers, Pom Wonderful and Nordstrom.
Yes.  “Mr. Berman, is this lawsuit absolutely necessary?”  “Yes, my summer cabin needs remodelling.”  His socially conditioned instinct is to interfere in people making agreements among themselves.
"Large companies, the Mattels and Disneys of the world, try to protect everything and have the budget for that," Berman said. "With smaller enterprises like Huy Fong, you have to pick and choose."
But Huy Fong is wildly successful without lawyers!  Proving smaller enterprises don’t “have” to do anything rent-seekers advise.
That's why Tran has gone after knockoffs of Huy Fong's Sriracha from China. Unlike the name, Tran trademarked his rooster logo and distinctive bottle.
This is a mistake on Tran’s part.  A trademark in China will get you no more than in the USA.  He need only adapt traceability, a QR code on each bottle, and then track the smartphone hits around China to see where he is being knocked off, and then take specific direct action, through marketing, business, not law.  It is always a mistake to call a lawyer when you have a business problem.
At the same time, Tran has signed licensing agreements with a handful of specialty producers such as Rogue, which brews a Sriracha hot stout beer packaged in a red bottle and green cap to look like Huy Fong's signature sauce, and Pop Gourmet, which makes a Sriracha popcorn and will soon release a Sriracha seasoning spice.
And why pray tell, when no public law requires it, do these various companies sign private contract law agreements (as opposed to “intellectual” “property” “law” agreements) with Fuy Hong? Because they do not want to be embarrassed by co-branding with second rate sriracha.  "jack-in-the-box sriracha flavored beer?" I don't think so...This is called private law, an example of why we need no rent-seeking public law.
Even with these partnerships, Tran doesn't charge any royalty fees. All he asks is that they use his sauce and stay true to its flavor.
Right.  Who needs royalties when you are selling Sriracha to the people with the “license”?
"David is fine with that since in some indirect way, we will still reap the benefit of the word 'Sriracha' being used," said Donna Lam, Tran's longtime deputy. "We seem to be the best-known Sriracha out there, and everyone seems to use our brand as the gold standard. If anything, we are proud we started the Sriracha craze."
Exactly.  And if and when people want to showcase themselves as followers and second rate, then can go get a license from Tabasco, after paying lawyers enormous sums.  Or they can go to Fuy Hong.

We need to restore freedom from public law in the USA markets.



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What Currency to Use?

On Feb 18, 2015, at 6:15 PM, Martín  wrote:

Dear John 

Right now I am in the process of obtaining a current account from a bank in my country (Chile)

I order to use it to receive fund from foreign countries is it mandatory that must a current account in US dollars?

Thanks again

Martin

2015-02-19 0:05 GMT-04:00 John Spiers <john@jonspiers.com>:

Not at all...  you are free to require you be paid in Chilean currency...

John


ok, that´s great. Just hope that doesn´t scare my foreign customers as the US dollar is the international currency (most used).

Thanks for your reply

I won´t stop until I got my first order

Martin


Very important to never think your customers are doing you a favor...  what you are providing is more important to your customers than their money.  We call them customers cuz they keep coming back, because we have worked out the best offer. What currency is used is not very important, so you can call that.  Get the main thing right, and the details are yours to dictate.

John

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Wednesday, February 18, 2015

Timur Kuran On Islamic Finance

A Moslem USA professor has a thin thesis on Islamic finance.  I'll work from his comments:
Timur Kuran: What are now known as “Islamic economic principles” were first articulated in the 1940s by Indian Muslims trying to define a unique Indo-Muslim identity. It is then that the absence of interest came to be viewed, through the writings of Islamists, as the sine qua non of a properly Islamic economy. Within a generation there emerged banks meant to accept deposits and make loans on an interest-free basis. These banks were to make funds available to cash-starved small businesses that lack political connections and to promising entrepreneurs without a track record. They were also to serve as instruments of economic Islamization.
So far so good...
Whether the Qur’an bans all forms of interest, or specifically its exploitative forms, was a matter of controversy in the early decades of Islam. It still remains in doubt. What is crystal clear is that what passes as Islamic finance is anything but interest-free. Almost all of the Islamic banks in existence, including those in Egypt, charge their borrowers what any economist would call interest; they also pay their depositors interest as a matter of course. This is not surprising, for interest continues to provide tangible benefits to both lenders and depositors.
Well, not in doubt, just in debate.  Usury is forbidden, just as in Christianity, usury defined today as charging interest of any amount for any time period for anything at loan.  But he is right to criticize "pork labelled beef" as Islamic finance.
For these reasons, I would not expect the spread of Islamic finance in Egypt to have significant economic consequences.
Now wait.  Right after noticing what is passing for Islamic finance is "pork labelled beef" he goes on to aver that the spread of Islamic finance will not help Egypt.  Would it not be more accurate to say:
For these reasons, I would not expect the spread of faux-Islamic finance in Egypt to have significant economic consequences.
To recognize it as not-Islamic, and then to denigrate Islamic, seems dishonest.  But then this is very good:
Having suggested that in its present form Islamic banking would not solve any of Egypt’s pressing economic problems, let me acknowledge that Islamic banks might bring benefits by abiding by their stated mode of operation. The charters of Islamic banks instruct them  to lend on the basis of “profit and loss sharing” rather than for a fixed return. They are to operate like the venture capital companies that have financed the global high-tech industry. Venture capital firms lend to promising entrepreneurs, for a share of any profits, without regard to collateral, track record, or connections. They take genuine risks, losing money when investments that they finance fail.
But then back to very bad, for he mixes true and false!
 Interest-based banking does not do harm. But giving it an Islamic veneer will not improve the Egyptian economy in any measurable way.
Interest-based banking is demonstrably harmful, so that is not true, but very true that an Islamic veneer does not good.  Pork labelled beef is not beef.
Timur Kuran: By the 1850s, leaders of the Middle East and North Africa realized that the region’s traditional commercial and financial institutions had become a handicap in the rapidly evolving global economy. It was not possible to form large and perpetual companies through Islamic partnerships that had not changed form since the Middle Ages.
Slow down...  what leaders?  The Western selected?  What traditional practices?  Ottoman hegemonic patterns and practices? The Ottomans collapsed for many reasons, the greatest of which must be failure to maintain Sharia compliant polity.  And further, where is the evidence either large or perpetual is beneficial, or at least the western credit-usury-backed form?

Next we get ahistorical analysis:
Accordingly, the region’s peoples could not take part in the emerging industrial sectors, or in the modern financial sector, except by operating under the legal system of a European power
How can he know this?  Where is this in evidence?  History notes that what industrial sectors that did emerge operated under a legal system of a European power.  Yes, this is called colonialism.  But to claim there was no other option ("except") than what occurred is to go way too far.  It also ignores centuries of peace, justice and prosperity when Sharia was actually in force.  Just ask the Jews who thrived under Islam after fleeing for their lives from Christendom.

How about "impoverished by the Ottomans, who collapsed into corruption, the region's people were outgunned and had a system imposed upon them."    Is this not more accurate?

And then...
Another serious problem is that public services were provided through the traditional waqf, which was meant to be an inflexible organization. The vast resources of established waqfs could not be used to provide modern municipal services.
Well...  just because social services are municipal in the West, why do they need to be under Islam?  Given the track record of municipal services in the West, why would Islam be in a hurry to trade down?    When religion provided schools and hospitals in the West, we soared.  Now they are municipal provisioned, and what a mess!

And he goes on:
The response, beginning in Egypt and Turkey, was to adopt French commercial law, to establish secular commercial courts, and to start providing public services primarily through European-style municipalities established as corporations. These reforms drew only the mildest objections at the time; no one made it an issue that the corporation, which is absent from Islamic law, became a key element of Muslim economic life. To this day not even Salafists object to the Western-inspired organizational forms introduced the region since the 19th century.
This is tendentious.  "Islamic law makes room for the corporation, therefore its previous absence it to be viewed as a flaw."  The corporation was not known in the West 250 years ago...  and then, what do you mean by corporation?  That is evolving wildly in the West as well.

And then:
The Middle East and North Africa has thus managed, quite smoothly, to overcome the organizational disadvantages that left the region behind. Hence, there remain no legal obstacles to forming a giant firm in Egypt, or to supplying water to Egyptian cities through the latest technologies. The Sharia no longer keeps the region behind directly, for the simple reason that in the present, economic life is regulated by laws developed outside the restrictive framework of the Sharia.
Quite smoothly?  Whiskey Tango Foxtrot!?  All is well economically now in the Middle East?!  Is he kidding?  So, for lack of Sharia, all is well now.  Whew!  Well, should one disagree, and find the Middle East is problematic, one might agree it might be from foreign intervention, and not for the lack of Sharia compliant options, since prof. Kuran notes accurately Sharia-compliant is not in force.

So having been kept down by foreign intervention, in which Sharia is not allowed to prosper, the lesson is it is all Sharia's fault.
However, it matters enormously that the Egyptian economy was governed, until recently, under the Sharia. This history delayed Egypt’s transition to democracy by keeping its civil society chronically weak. Democracy is a system that involves more than fair elections held periodically. It involves limits on the governing coalition. The powers of government are limited partly through private organizations, including unions, professional associations, independent media, and political advocacy groups. Together, such private organizations form civil society. A strong civil society emerges under a market economy served by perpetual autonomous organizations. Hence, the long delay in the Middle East’s economic modernization set back its political development. This delay allowed autocratic leaders to gain power and then rule for decades on end. These leaders used their powers partly to keep civil society from developing.
So... never mind foreign intervention and hegemony, never mind civil society dies under hegemony, never mind what Sharia there has been is "pork labelled beef" ... the problem is Sharia law.  Perhaps the news does not penetrate the college campus upon which stands prof. Kuran's Ivory Tower.

Kuran summarizes:
Although a renaissance is possible, it is unlikely to be founded on Islamic principles. On the contrary, it is likely to arrive when a critical mass of Muslims recognize that to make the Arab world and the wider Muslim world economically competitive, intellectually vibrant, and well governed, it is necessary to abandon the fixation of looking for all answers within the confines of the Sharia. ...
It has been almost two centuries since the Sharia played an important role in any major economic system. It was out of date, then. That is why, outside a few domains involving family matters, it was effectively abandoned in country after country, with general agreement. To make the Sharia useful in economic and political life of the twenty-first century, it would have to be altered so extensively that it would cease to be recognizable as such.
You could replace Islam and Sharia with Christianity and have the same thing said by any Christian college professor about Christianity.   The fact is the renaissance was grounded in Christian inquiry and principles.  And the mess we are in is largely from the subsequent rejection thereof...

The funny thing is Mohammed was a merchant, and Islam was largely spread peacefully as Christians abandoned the corrupt Byzantines for the more peaceful, just and prosperous Islamic offer.  As always, the oppressed escaped from the chaos of the (in this case) Byzantines to the anarchy of the Moslems.  Who knows what Islam would come up with if it were free to do so.

There are profound differences between Islam and Christianity, for example you may be born Moslem but all Christians convert to Christianity (no baptism, no Christian.)  But sound economics is not religion specific...  and the West needs fair competition from Islam.  If and when Sharia finance flowers in Islam, then we'll reform our economic practices to stay competitive, not the other way around.

But until then, we need to back off.

The Maronite Patriarch, Cardinal Bechara Rai, says Christians always pay the highest price when conflicts erupt in Middle East countries such as Egypt, Syria and Iraq. Cardinal Rai also said that outside countries, especially in the West but also elsewhere, are helping to foment these conflicts.
"Speaking in an interview with Vatican Radio, Cardinal Rai says the situation in the Middle East is becoming more and more critical as each day passes. He said whenever a conflict breaks out in the Middle East, whenever chaos ensues, Muslim groups attack the minority Christian community, as if they were always the scapegoat....
When asked how he sees the future, Cardinal Rai spoke of his belief that there is a plan to destroy the Arab world for political and economic interests. There’s also, he added, a plan to exacerbate as much as possible the inter-confessional conflicts between Sunni and Shiite Muslims. The Maronite Patriarch said he had already written to the Pope to express his concern about this issue on two occasions." 
Also, in Libya:
And referring to the West he says: "we have helped ourselves to oil, we have guarded our own interests, we have put dialogue and a sincere human exchange between parts to the side".Bishop Giovanni Innocenzo Martinelli, Apostolic Vicar of Tripoli, has vowed to stay in Libya with the few remaining Christians, witnesses of Jesus’s message of love.
(Wait, you didn't know that, the Christians in the Middle East have long begged the Americans to stay out?  That they see their destruction a direct result of USA Christian interventionists?  Of course you haven't.  The press in USA is state-controlled.)

Another post on the http://rebeleconomy.com site notes this about Egypt;
General Sisi has said nothing about the army’s economic prerogative but we can already deduce what the military is interested in: remaining conservative, keeping policy simple without innovation or anything too radical (such as cutting those precious energy subsidies that the army rely on so much to run their factories at a cut price) and focusing on big, state-run projects (just like Mubarak).
And just like USA.  Pork labelled beef. Sharia ain't in it.

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Trade Show Sabotage

Samsung and LG are two Korean companies battling for market share in the home appliance business.  Lawsuits are a-flying over trade show sabotage in Berlin.
He can be seen pulling down on the door of one refrigerator hard enough that it swayed -- all while Samsung promoters were watching from several feet away, according to LG.
How did anyone get into a booth without being qualified first, let alone be free to damage samples?  "Salespeople" stood by?

I see this more and more, anyone in a booth needs to be trained to sell, and if not repel, any visitor to a booth.  I guess I am the only one who remembers how to run a trade show booth.

Now since it is all about finance, not innovation, no one cares anymore.

The finance thing is ending, in Greece.  Proper trade show management will come back.

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Usury-backed Emotional Blackmail

Ritholz's mind boggles:
However, according to the company’s financial statements, it has about $1 million of assets and almost $3 million in liabilities. In the third quarter of 2014, it had sales of almost $1 million, on which it had a net loss of more than  $900,000.  The story is much the same for the first nine months of the year: $2.6 million in sales and a loss of $4.4 million.
So the losses are accelerating astronomically.  What do they do?
If you go to the company’s website, you will learn that “The company currently operates and licenses grilled cheese food trucks in the Los Angeles, CA area and Phoenix, AZ and is expanding into additional markets with the goal of becoming the largest operator in thegourmet grilled cheese space.”  You can see an interview with the founder here. The company employs military veterans, and it even lists retired General Wesley Clark as vice chairman. 
And CPA Karen De Coster opined:
Surely we should have known there *was* such as thing as a “grilled cheese space”?
...
Thing is, former NATO commander General Wesley Clark owns a 5% stake in the companyand is Vice Chairman of the Board. A further look finds a 10-Q filing from 2014 that indicates that the company will not be able to continue as a “going concern” due to the incurred net losses and working capital deficit. That’s CPA-Speak for “yer effed.”
So let's get in on the food truck craze (designed to destroy small businesses so city cores may be redeveloped more easily into India-style High Rise citadels amidst zombie corps on the streets), use emotional blackmail to tart-up the prospectus (help a veteran), and then pump and dump.  Are veterans to be spared nothing?

All this is possible because of lending asset-less backed credit.  It is malinvestment, misallocation and crowding out what good those very veterans would be doing if not pointlessly making grilled cheese sammiches for hipsters paying with EBT cards.

And let me say again...  ask people if they want to help a veteran they will say yes; buy american? yes; buy fair trade?  yes; they will always tell you they are for good things and against bad things.  Always.  But when it gets down to it, they vote their pocketbook.    You always win awards for "help a veteran" "fair trade" "buy american" but if you mix charity with your business, you won't survive.  Emotional blackmail does not work in business, it wins awards, but it does not work.  It tips your customers off to steer clear of you.  Don't do it.

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Tuesday, February 17, 2015

Some Youth Behaving Badly In Hong Kong

Something wrong with this story:
Hong Kong residents have long complained about mainlanders buying up goods at lower tax rates and then selling them on at home at a profit, so-called parallel trading.
They say this leaves Hong Kongers with a shortage of basic supplies and pushes up the cost of goods, while also accusing the mainlanders of bad behaviour.
More sales means lower prices, if there was ever a place where things do not run out it is Hong Kong, and who cares if they buy things to sell them elsewhere...

Note the fellow who wants freedom waving the British flag...  these kids are covering their faces (they don't all have colds...  and kids.  Their victims all look rather defenseless.

And then this...
This week, Chief Executive CY Leung surprised reporters by confirming that officials had indeed discussed a controversial proposal to reduce the number of visitors from mainland China by 20%.
Hong Kong has always, even under the British, had severe restrictions on mainland Chinese visiting.  People who escaped communist China were sent back.  To this day I have business partner who cannot come to Hong Kong because they are limited to a certain number of visits a year, and save them for trade shows.

This story does not make much sense... more going on here than is reported.

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Islamic Finance: Pork Labelled Beef

In a conversation with a Moslem expert in Shariah-compliant finance, he summarized what passes for "Shariah-compliant" finance in USA as pork labelled beef.   Pithy!

Now here comes a tax case where this charade came back to bite an Islamic nonprofit institution.  Devon Bank is known for writing "Shariah complaint loans".

Well, it seems the Tennessee tax authorities are better at Shariah law than the Imam who declared this deal halal.  The ruling...
In the purchase payment schedule, the monthly payments gradually increased from the initial scheduled purchase payment of $1,560.52 to a final purchase payment of $7,384.83 scheduled for August 13, 2028 in the same manner as principal reduction escalation on an amortization table. This, coupled with a portion of a 2010 “End-of-Year Loan Statement” the taxpayer submitted while the situation was still under review by State Board staff, indicated that Devon Bank was achieving the financial equivalent of a 7.83% annual rate mortgage product structured with equal monthly payments of $7,433.02. It would follow that the portion of each month’s revenue attributed to rent would have gradually decreased from roughly $5,872 in the first month to $48 for the final payment in the 240th month. As such, the taxpayer might have paid Devon Bank as much as $342,065 in designated rent during the period of August 13, 2008 through October 25, 2013.10
I care because I think it is true that Shariah-compliant, the same as Christian-compliant loans would lead to better peace and justice and prosperity.  Never mind this particular charade will cost the Moslems plenty, the problem is we have no examples of usury-free to study, especially aggravating when Islam ought to be showing examples aplenty.

A follow on article, by Tim Worstall, the writer gives excellent advice:
Having suggested that in its present form Islamic banking would not solve any of Egypt’s pressing economic problems, let me acknowledge that Islamic banks might bring benefits by abiding by their stated mode of operation. The charters of Islamic banks instruct them to lend on the basis of “profit and loss sharing” rather than for a fixed return. They are to operate like the venture capital companies that have financed the global high-tech industry. Venture capital firms lend to promising entrepreneurs, for a share of any profits, without regard to collateral, track record, or connections. They take genuine risks, losing money when investments that they finance fail.
With its young population and high unemployment, Egypt desperately needs more venture capital. That is why genuine Islamic finance could bring major benefits to Egypt.
Just so.  But his source makes interesting arguments I will counter tomorrow.

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You And ISIS Snuff Videos

ISIS will stop beheading and immolating people when you stop watching their videos.  I realize this is difficult for people who have made a snuff movie a box office record breaker (American Sniper), but the blood of the dead is partially on the hands of those who watch the videos.

Also, watching someone die is wrong, unless you are a caregiver with the person dying.

No audience, no action.  They will stop killing people for videos when we stop watching the videos.  This won't fix the problems of the middle east, but it will fix the problem of those people being killed for ratings.  Just stop viewing, if for no other reason, than it harms you to watch.

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Monday, February 16, 2015

New China Free Trade Zones

In USA Foreign Trade Zones have been a non-starter, to benefit huge business like Boeing.  In China they have implemented one so-called Free Trade Zone in Shanghai, and have announced three more.
New projects likely to be located in Guangdong, Tianjin and FujianChina plans to launch three new pilot free trade zones to test greater opening-up and tap the economy's huge potential to hedge against mounting downward pressure next year.
The new zones will be set up at sites in Guangdong and Fujian provinces and in Tianjin, a State Council executive meeting decided on Friday, a year after the pioneering China (Shanghai) Pilot Free Trade Zone was set up.
The gold standard of Free Trade Zone currently is Hong Kong.  None of these Chinese "free trade zones" approach hong Kong as to freedom, but they do represent liberalization, and a means to soften the blow of the coming debacle.

USA should study the same.

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Usury And Pollution

The world has gotten to be such a rotten place for two standards that have fallen.  I am convinced fix these two and we have yet another road to peace and prosperity.

Usury, what we today call interest, concentrates economic power in ever fewer hands.  While it was a criminal act (any interest rate at any amount, on anything fungible to be returned with a "profit") it was kept in check.  Today, the one percent literally calls the shots. I don't think it should be criminalized again, just de-legitimized.  If there is no venue to recover interest agreed upon, just as there is no venue that will enforce gambling debts, then that will be enough to end the practice.

Pollution is where profits are privatized and costs are socialized.  Otherwise, what is the point?  Up until about 1850, pollution was checked by property rights.  No wonder progressives so hate property rights.  The idea that what you do on your land is limited the effect it has on others land goes back to Exodus 22:

“When a man causes a field or vineyard to be grazed over, or lets his beast loose and it feeds in another man’s field, he shall make restitution from the best in his own field and in his own vineyard.“When fire breaks out and catches in thorns so that the stacked grain or the standing grain or the field is consumed, he that kindled the fire shall make full restitution.

Build a factory that spews coal smoke and dirty Mom's laundry, Mom gets a cease and desist injunction plus damages to her laundry from a judge.  Then we changed to "who employs more people" and we got massive pollution.  The more you pollute, the more likely you win.  This is something new, ever so capitalist.  (The later communists are no slackers in this either, check out Lake Baikal.)

Today progressives love pollution, they do everything they can to preserve it: cap and trade carbon does not end pollution, it just provides a sinecure to progressives who get a cut of the action by managing the horrors of pollution.

Clean air, water, etc does not cost too much, it just costs more.

Private real property ownership, a totem in capitalism, did not prevent pollution.  Perhaps there is freedom in getting rid of private real property ownership.  Hong Kong is relatively pollution free (it is plagued by Foshan, up the river in China, what with 7 millions in a rather tight space.  No one owns land there.

Usury allows the concentration of economic power in very few hands, after which the moneyed can buy what laws they want, such as privatize profits and socialize costs (pollution).

You want to see the USA before the capitalists and progressives ruined it, check out this excellent case by case study of USA law by a Marxist professor, Morton Horwitz.  Read this book to be far better informed on the world in which you live.
The Transformation of American Law, 1780-1860 (Studies in Legal History)



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China v USA

China is getting rich the way USA did: by building infrastructure worldwide that points to China.  USA changed after WWII, a war in which the Bush family had several businesses seized for trading with the enemy.  Try this link too, but note it crashes...  imagine that.  This trading with the enemy is no secret, it is in the permanent public congressional record.  Now China is doing the good thing, and USA offers drone terror and snipers anywhere we are displeased.

Wherever we Americans go there is instability, beheadings, decimation of Christians, because that is the result of our political regime under the Clintons and the Bushes and their puppet Obama.  If Isis were a threat to Turkey, it would be gone tomorrow.  Yet, back we go into Iraq today.

We have an election coming up:  Bush or Clinton, take your pick.  Both will represent "change."

We all love a system that works for us, no matter what.  The Bush/Clinton regime works for enough people for it to continue.  And in the USA, the bigger the crime, the more unlikely the prosecution.  Therefore, our only chance is truth commissions, never prosecution.

As I said, the Chinese are building a world economy that points toward China.  Incidentally, China was supposed to be enslaved by our bonds they bought with the money they made selling things USA should have been making, but were made in China for big business to avoid USA taxes, legally.  A fundamental error in life is to believe your own PR, far from being trapped, China is using those same bonds to build the infrastructure pointed to China.  They outsmarted our smartest public officials. Brazil get ports built by China, and when the bonds revenue dries up for American bankruptcy, the ports will still be there, but the people (pensioners) holding the bonds will hate USA, not China.  Any Austrian economist could spot this coming, no Keynesian could imagine it.

Angola:
The Chinese government provided a total of $500 million in interest-free loans for the construction of the railway and technical and equipment support since its operation.
Interest free?  That is interesting, since it is the charging of interest by which the IMF and world bank etc trap countries like Greece.  China is notoriously friendly in this regard.  See the link to the book on the left:  Confessions of an Economic Hit Man.  Hegemon 101 -  it's the interest, not the loan that defeats your victims.

Chinese-built railway in Angola open to traffic
.
Brazil:

China to import more iron ore from Vale

China is likely to import more iron ore from Companhia Vale do Rio Doce, the Brazilian mining giant, to bolster its raw material reserves, after the Ministry of Transport issued a new rule permitting construction of wharves that can berth bulk carriers with a capacity of 400,000 deadweight tons.port,Vale

And Russia/North Korea:
The Tumen River Delta international tourism area will include part of China's Hunchun City, as well as a 10 sq km plot each from Russia and DPRK, said the government of China's Jilin Province. The three sides will jointly build tourism facilities.

China plans tourism zone with Russia, DPRK

USA $5 billion investment in the Ukraine -

File:Trade union building facing Maidan square is burning into flames. Clashes in Ukraine, Kyiv. Events of February 20, 2014.jpg

Truth commissions now.  It is the only way we'll get back to building universities in emerging countries, instead of what we do now.

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