Saturday, October 4, 2014

The Swiss To Vote on Gold

The Swiss will have a referendum to return to gold-standard-lite, which will put it light years ahead of everyone else, so in a relative good position in a crash.
Between 1970 and 2008 the Swiss Franc appreciated by 330% to the dollar and 57% to the DM/Euro. So for almost 40 years a very strong Swiss currency went hand in hand with a strong economy. In spite of this proven success, the new guard in the SNB decided to abandon proven successful policies and print money like most other countries.
Why did they inflate when they know better?  Because it was tradable, meaning there was some money to be made, even on a bad deal, as long as you know how and when to get out.  Wall Street was/is full of such investors, knowing full well the game is a sham, but accepting is as the best game in town to make as much money as possible, and as they say, tradable.   Buy and sell, make money, who cares about the rest?

It will be interesting to see the results, and if in fact inherently corrupt markets are "tradable."

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How Ex Im Bank Works

This is how it works:  taxpayers fund senate staffers who lobby congress to fund government agencies, who in turn hire the staffers to lobby congress to find government agencies.
The Ex-Im Bank confirmed hiring Gulick but did not have a statement when contacted by The Hill.
According to Capitol Strategies, a political intelligence and government affairs firm, Gulick “shepherded” the Senate strategy this year for reauthorizing Ex-Im's charter, which otherwise would have expired Oct. 1
Just as communist countries billed the families for the bullet used to shoot a loved-one, fascism requires we pay for people to argue against our best interests.

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Would Washington Welcome Beijing's Funding of Ferguson Protests?

It is quite clear that the Hegemon is driving the Hong Kong protests, and then acts as cheerleader from afar.
 The White House is watching democracy protests in Hong Kong closely and supports the "aspirations of the Hong Kong people," White House spokesman Josh Earnest said on Monday.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/09/29/white-house-hong-kong_n_5901782.html
Shouldn't we mind our own business?  Hong Kong does have to work out a modus vivendi with Beijing, but how does USA meddling help achieve a good result?

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Friday, October 3, 2014

Minimum Viable Product - Start-up and Personal Transformation


Apparently there is a new buzz word out there, "minimum viable product" (MVP) as a part of the "fail fast fail early" idea.  I am glad to hear of this, because it is what I learned forty years ago, have taught for 30 years, and put in my book a decade ago.  It is an extremely important idea, against everything that is taught in schools today (unless in noncredit programs, where I teach.)  We need as many people teaching these ideas as possible.  But they are not new, they were ancient when I learned them forty years ago, but after losing two generations of entrepreneurs to FIRE (finance, investment, real estate) and making pictures to hypnotize people on their ubiquitous phones, all false economy work, we badly need to recover the fail fast fail early and minimum viable product ideas.  We need people back working in design, manufacture, engineering, competition.

I put the MVP and fail fast/early ideas within the context of customers, something still unique to my courses.  This seems to be very popular with the students, so I recommend it to other lecturers. If you glance to the upper right, you'll see links to classes I am offering plus here is a complete list.

On Oct 2, 2014, at 7:29 AM, DK wrote:

Hi John,

The luggage I was working on was too costly for the supplier to develop without financial support. Although I got good buyer feedback the design is quite a bit (say 30-40%) different to what's out there (although it's still a suitcase) so represented a risk - a bit more proto-typing was needed and I decided not to support financially. With more support from buyers in the form of letters of intent perhaps I could've got the supplier to front development. Having canned the idea and had time to reflect I have really bought into your  (and increasing trend amongst others) of Minimum Viable Product - anything beyond minimum order quantity is a wasted opportunity to gain feedback and all that - and I think I can forge ahead with a much simpler design, which will mean it doesn't look 100% like a standard wheeled suitcase but still does the job.

I would have loved to pursue something simpler to get my business up and running, I really want to be in international trade and developing an import/export business, however what's probably held me back is the fact I did all this work on luggage and still believe it's a good idea. The entrepreneurial bug has been kept at bay by working with online businesses in the meantime.

I am sure this is quite a common story you hear from aspiring traders!
DK

Indeed!  I am more and more struck as to how business start-up is necessarily personal-transformation work as well.  What Thomas Sowell calls human capital, that is experience and wisdom in business comes from building a business, and the changes you go through learning to serve others with your skills, brains, heart, etc.  As you develop it yourself, you lend it, your experience, at no cost to others, and this contributes to fostering an economy, not just your economic well-being.

At 56 John Sperling started University of Phoenix, and became a billionaire.  It took a while for him to figure all the moving parts out, and most of his prep work was learning how the world worked so he could find his role in it.    And once he found it, he put his money into how to extend his life so he can spend more time here.

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Scottish Elections Stolen?

This video tells us nothing.  A fellow in a truck is showing us pieces of paper and making a rather large claim.  If we don't have who, what, where, when and usually why, there is no story.


There are too many problems with the story:

1. They may be real, counted, and lost after counting.

2. They may be fake.

Now what if they proved, forensically to be real? and stolen?  There should be the voters' fingerprints and the counters' fingerprints.  Election fraud people would wear gloves.  The counter whose fingerprints are on the ballots can be tracked and time accounted for.  Too easy one way or another to sort this out.

But what if it is proven they were stolen, and in fact the entire election stolen?  (Usually too big of a job to discern by proper investigative techniques).  The you know the election was stolen.  So what?

Have another election.  Or not.  Just know the bad guys steal elections.  OK, if so, then...  operate knowing full well that is part of the mix, the milieu in which you live.

Never look to violence to change things.  the regime by definition is propped up by violence, and to go violent yourself is like trying to put out a fire with gasoline.

Cool down, think, know you can always outsmart people whose existence depends on violence.  Not only do they have to sleep sometime, they also have to blink.  For people who depend on violence, a blink is far too long to have your eyes closed.

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Medical Tourism in Cuba?

I grew up under the care of a doctor who sounded like this.  Cuba could revitalize its economy by taking its investment in doctors and offer these inexpensive treatment to medical tourists.
If 3-BP is so non-toxic to healthy cells (it cannot enter a healthy cell), why not skip cancer detection and screening programs altogether and periodically administer this cancer remedy in high-risk groups, namely older adults?  Cancer is largely an age-related disease.  Adults could take 3-BP just like they do their daily multivitamin.  What harm could come of it?  Cancer could be eradicated for good.
If there is no harm to its use in healthy persons, and it is dirt cheap to make and what are they going to do with the contrived claim that new drugs require $1 billion of research and development before they gain approval for widespread use?  3-bromopyruvate is an off-the-shelf chemical that sells for less than a penny per milligram. [Santa Cruz Biotechnology Data Sheet] Note: it is only available for research purposes.
We need to eliminate the FDA so we can have a free market in medicine. It was revealed this week by secret tapes that the FED is captured by the bankers.  O My! And the FDA is captured by the BigPharm.  In anarchy, you are the cop.  You trust yelp on where to eat, how about the same on what medicines to take.  We have the means to replace the FDA with something better, let's do it now.

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Thursday, October 2, 2014

5% of World Trade Flows Through Hong Kong

When viewing the Hong Kong protests, always recall Beijing is refusing to change the terms of the Hong Kong accord.  It is extremely unwise to demand changes in one area of an agreement when it can open up in another.  This is one reason why the powers that be in USA fear a constitutional convention.  Everyone goes on the table.

The kids in Hong Kong, aided by USA destabilization money, are asking for elections to be moved up.  You know what happened in USA when veterans marched on Washington to move up their benefit packages?  Young majors by the name of Eisenhower and Patton rolled on the veterans.  Heads cracked, deaths, and promotions for the young majors.  Young PLA officers are in their barracks itching for some fresh meat.

Hong Kong is too important to change for these kids.  Over 5% of world trade flows through Hong Kong.  Some heads will get cracked because some kids were bought off.  Hope the kids decide it was fun for a while, but back off now.

Meanwhile, as USA funds destabilization, China is cutting deals with there money that promote peace and prosperity -
The Chair of the Board of Belarusbank and the Vice President of China Eximbank met in Minsk on Friday to sign a loan agreement that will lead to the construction of a sulfate bleached and rayon pulp production plant.
And of course

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Moral Hazard at Ex Im Bank.

Economics is supposed to be "value-neutral."  But the value-neutral school is the only one that has a term called "moral hazard."  Richard Cameron takes down ExIm Bank nonsense:
Contrary to the standard story that paints the Ex-Im Bank as in the business of supporting small businesses, numbers show that despite a greater number of small businesses working with the bank recently, the bulk of the money goes to just 10 large corporations.
Most firms in need of underwriting get it from the private market. This raises questions not only about the miniscule percentage of government backed funding, but the reasons behind why only 2 percent of businesses opt for Ex-Im financing when the majority of businesses don’t.
The picture that emerges of the 2-percent cadre enjoying Ex-Im leverage is of a handful of politically well connected multi-national corporations whose operations abroad favor public underwriting, like Bechtel, the fourth largest private corporation in America, and Lockheed Martin, with $50 billion in assets. Fact: Thirty percent of Ex-Im Bank’s lending was to one large corporation: Boeing.
Read on for examples of how ExIm Bank punishes picked losers to help picked winners.

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IMF Warns World About German Threat

The Wall Street Journal warns that Germany poses an economic threat to USA because it is not groveling before the Hegemon.
Fostering growth where exports far outweigh imports means that expansion comes at the expense of other economies. Instead of encouraging German domestic consumers to boost growth in its weaker eurozone members, for example, Berlin’s economic policies have hindered Europe’s recovery, the IMF and U.S. officials have repeatedly warned.
On the face of it the statement is astonishing economic ignorance. It assumes world economy is a zero-sum game, and the pie is strictly limited.  If one gets more, another gets less.  Nonsense, except in the measure the world economy is in lockdown by the Hegemon, it is true.

Germany is supposed to lose in this scenario to compliment the unquestioned wisdom of USA policy.

People whose PhDs in economics are full of math formulae explaining how people will react are in charge of the economy, and believe they can "get it right."  Or they know they cannot, but how else will they earn $250,000 a year with no responsibility and no sanction for being wrong?

I run a trade deficit with Trader Joe's.  I buy lots form them, and they never buy anything from me.  Am I a loser in this case?  Is Trader Joe's wicked?  Of course not, but WWIII is brewing over such ideas from the Hegemon.

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Wednesday, October 1, 2014

Bill Gross, Pimco and Usury and Erratic Behaviour

Ex-pimco Chief Bill Gross is being called erratic for quitting PIMCO and going to work for Janus.  “going to work for..” is a funny term to apply to a billionaire.  

Bill Gross is the worlds’ foremost authority on credit and usury, and has the track record to prove it.  Also, he knows full well and says so, that he merely played the other side of bad USA policy to get rich and grow a 2 trillion dollar fund.  He had plenty of competitors who could not do what he did with the exact same info and opportunities.  The 2nd string is now in charge at PIMCO, which is managing your pension.

On his way out Gross explained why our economic system is defunct.  (Now he tells us!)  His essay is still up at the Pimco site.  It is exactly what I have been saying.


"A credit-based financial economy (as opposed to pure cash) depends on an ever-expanding outstanding level of credit for its survival. Without additional credit, interest on previously issued liabilities cannot be paid absent the sale of existing assets, which in turn would lead to a vicious cycle of debt deflation, recession and ultimately depression.

Gross defines credit later in his essay, but it is only one of many definitions, not necessarily his.  The people in charge cannot even make policy when they cannot even define the term upon which they are making policy.  Confusion as to definitions gives the bad guys a place to hide.

But note the problem, without additional credit, interest on previously isued liabilities cannot be paid.

1. The problem is in the system in which credit is defined as below.

2. If the point is interest, then the system as defined below is necessary.

3. Credit is a good thing, depending on the definition.  If credit is sans usury (interest) then it is beneficial. Usury (interest) on loans (credit) is neither necessary nor sufficient to build prosperity.  Gross goes on -

Put simply, if credit needs to expand at 4.5% per year, then the private and public sectors in combination must create approximately $2.5 trillion of additional debt per year to pay for outstanding interest."

4. Once usury is introduced, the system is inherently unstable, a realization that is now becoming clear to the man who knows most about credit on planet earth and in history.


“For Wonks Only” Speed Read
1. Cross your fingers, credit growth is a necessary but not sufficient condition for economic growth. Economic growth depends on the productive use of credit growth, something that is not occurring.
William H. Gross 
Managing Director

Because it is over.  So Gross bails on Pimco, and those staying on the Titanic are calling him unstable.

This development has people world over uneasy.  A Mish questioner asks...

This seems to correlate to reality 100% but the implications are stunning. It means that assets must increase in value at the rate of the original loan plus all interest payments ever made. It also means there will be a very major reversal at some point as there will be a moment when the last loan that someone will actually pay gets written and the system will not be able to expand. I always assumed that debt levels would just reach a very high plateau and stay there but Gross is saying that is not possible.

Mish turns to Father Darkness, and anarcho-CAPITALIST for analysis, and he says -

Nevertheless, Gross' calculation may be a bit too simplistic. After all, if you are a creditor and get paid interest and principal, money is only moving from A to B. It is still there, only its ownership has changed hands. The problem is that central banks believe in inflating debt away and keeping prices "stable". 

Fundamentally wrong when the word money is introduced (highlight added). It is not money moving around, we are talking credit here, it is tallies.  

In a free market economy, prices would not be stable, they would in fact decline. Thus, interest would be quite low to begin with, and every dollar would be doing more work over time (i.e., could be exchanged for more real wealth/goods/services as time passes).

No.  In a free market there would not be interest on loans, becuase there would be no hegemon to enforce the usury, as the USA is now holding Argentina in contempt for defaulting on bonds. A free market is free of force and fraud, and usury includes a bit of both.  In a free market no one would back up the usurers claims, any more than people credit a gambling debt, nonpayment of usury would make usury wither on the vine.

 So Father Darkness gets confused in the end...

So Gross is quite correct that there is a problem - the problem is the ongoing bubble. Such a bubble does indeed require a constant acceleration in debt and money supply to keep going.

The result is the bubble, the effect.  The cause is lending asset-less backed credit at usury.  There is no money in it at all.  Stick with what Gross said - Which is precisely the problem of capitalism.  The Ponzi scheme needs an unending stream of suckers, which is why the Hegemon requires you to invest your pension in funds Pimco manages.  Gross warned you, you cannot complain when it goes away.

“For Wonks Only” Speed Read
1. Cross your fingers, credit growth is a necessary but not sufficient condition for economic growth. Economic growth depends on the productive use of credit growth, something that is not occurring.
William H. Gross 
Managing Director


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Picking Winners and Loses: Let ExIm Bank Decide

Mendacity! The Exim Bank has the temerity to say:
This independent, self-sustaining agency of the U.S. government has the mission of helping large and small U.S companies have access to the financing they need to turn export opportunities into sales. It assumes credit and country risks that the private sector is unable or unwilling to accept.
If it is independent and self-sustaining, why does it need to be an agency of the US Government?  What nonsense!    In fact, it is what it has always been, a piggy bank for propping up corrupt elements in foreign regimes, and harming USA competitive businesses.
Transparency is not the strong point of the Export-Import Bank of the United States. The subsidy agency doesn't have the details of its most recent board meetings online — it only has the agendas, which list some of the deals the board considered, but doesn't name the exporters, the guaranteed lenders, or dollar amounts.
Just so.  Otherwise we'd know what was actually going on...  ExIm Bank is just one contribution to the destabilization which is leading to WWIII, but the fact we cannot end even this means we'll be in WWIII.  The problem is us.

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Is USA Destabilizing Hong Kong?

After utter failure in Iraq, Syria, Egypt, Ukraine, Libya, Afghanistan, etc, we now see another "color revolution" in Hong Kong, following a particular pattern.  The protests are led by students, and for those who do not recall, "taliban" is Pashto for "students' to go back to an earlier USA effort that we fostered and turned on.
A student protest in Hong Kong has finished its first week, taking on all the appearances of the numerous US-backed color revolutions that have unseated governments with which Washington has a beef from Georgia to Ukraine to Egypt and beyond. The protesters demand that existing portions of the Basic Law agreed upon when Hong Kong was handed back to China from former British imperial control be changed to allow sooner direct election of the chief executive of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region.
Communists are great negotiators. By demanding one carefully set item is taken off the table, then the whole agreement is open to renegotiation.   Think you can handle ChiCom negotiators?

USA loses ambassadors to hard guys who watch with boredom until it gets interesting and then they do what needs to be done.  Nothing USA can do to help you when that happens.

The PLA garrison is full of lads who despise you, they from villages with nothing and you with all the luxury in the world.  The Ohio National Guard farm boys at Kent State Ohio, the soldiers who shot and killed the students, all had the same general point: how dare these privileged kids protest anything?

Which brings us to Gandhi.  You want change?  Don't sell out to yet another rogue USA agent trying to get a feather in his cap. Give something up.  Fast.  Wear black, do something good.  Show people you understand the only change starts with the people who want change.  Otherwise it is clear you do not want change, you only want to be in charge.  And then people will ask, why you?

And to the powers that be in USA, instead of bringing death, poverty, misery, disease to yet another place on earth, how about instead studying what we can learn from our fraternal effort in Hong Kong at peace and prosperity, they who have surpassed USA on every measure.  How about we all take a breath, study the Hong Kong incorporation papers, and read the relationship with the ChiComs.  Instead of millions of pages of rules, which is bring down USA, note how simple adults can make a comity instead of a polity.

Instead of destabilizing other countries, we ought to consider our own policies:




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Tuesday, September 30, 2014

Cascading Cross Defaults

With "get big or get out" came the need to manage big as small disappeared.  Schools begin to take over the ubiquitous "business school" focussed on start-ups and offer degrees in business focussed on being the next General Motors, General Foods, General Electric, General Mills, General Insurance, and so on, named at a time when people commonly referred to the federal government as the general government (and congressional documents to this day.)  Big business and big government being one got its start in USA with the Civil War, and took time, but fascism is now firmly rooted.

Change takes time, and part of this was changing finance.  We went big time in 1898 when we took over the Spanish Empire (Cuba, Philippines, etc) and by 1913 we created a funding mechanism by the income tax and the FED.  These were all huge changes with profound results.  Big shifts at high levels.

What I saw starting in the 1960s was the mop-up operations, when the last of the small were still viable.

As late as the 1960s in department stores people would shop and sign their bill, which would be sent by a vacuum (sometimes you see these at bank drive through tellers today) to the billing office that would apply it to a bill (meaning a list) of purchases.

As department stores grew, they developed the charge card which was kept in the store, which made the imprinting customer data faster and easier.  Then came the innovation of letting the customers carry their own cards.  And this led to the idea of a universal card, diners club, and then the credit card (usury) as opposed to a charge card (no usury).

The store would deliver the goods to the person's house, and the shopper would continue on.  Before UPS trucks, there were department store trucks.  Life was small and stable enough that stores knew their customers.  People who "worked in bridal" did so for a career.  The work was professional, not temp.

Stand-alone stores were also competitive.  A neighbor supported a family of twelve as an appliance salesman.

As we began to fragment, customers were unknown, but cash was always king.  But in time, credit cards crowded out cash.  With credit cards came anonymity and with a lack of relationship, the ability to charge interest on the balance  Notice to this day you are still given a "free" thirty days to pay.

This is when stores large and small could operate along side each other, as on Amazon.com today.  But the credit card caused people to buy more.  With larger volumes the Big could slowly squeeze out the small, by offering credit card charges at interest yet slightly lower prices. The small stores were at a disadvantage, as credit cards need volume to work.  For a short while the department stores has every bit as good product at lower prices, but made it up on the revenue from interest (usury).

By the 1970s, the interest was where the stores got their profits.  Service dropped, quality dropped, and WalMart became the new model and grew as a largely cash discounter, best quality at lower prices in a mega store.  In time it too accepted credit cards, and are now opening their own banks.
Kenneth Stone, Professor of Economics at Iowa State University, in a paper published in Farm Foundation in 1997, found that some small towns can lose almost half of their retail trade within ten years of a Wal-Mart store opening.[37] He compared the changes to previous competitors small town shops have faced in the past – from the development of the railroads and the Sears Roebuck catalog to shopping malls. He concludes that small towns are more affected by "discount mass merchandiser stores" than larger towns and that shop owners who adapt to the ever changing retail market can "co-exist and even thrive in this type of environment."[37]
How to adapt?  Go up market, specialty.  Walmart leaves more money in people's pockets, which they first spend on better food and then better goods and services: clothes, guns, tools, etc. But net ne, there are fewer small businesses.

As the small retailer could not compete with the big department store, the department store is getting crushed by WalMart.  Here is how:

Walmart and Macy's buys the same $8 pair of blue jeans from the same factory.  Walmart prices at $19.99 every day.  Macy's prices at $49.95 and puts on sale at $36 regularly, sometimes more. If you sign up for a credit card at Macy's, they'll give you another 10% off on the spot.

Now you'd think the department store still has the better deal, but the problem is the department store is located in expensive real estate and has temporary workers, whereas WalMart is in the best cost/benefit purpose built places with a far more stable (and able to work the work/welfare combine) employee base.  Along with sheer volumes, Walmart turns a profit on a cash sale, Macy's will lose money if not for the credit card.  And next, Walmart's rates are low, Macy's very high.  Macy's customers are not savvy shoppers since they are willing to pay more for the same and at a higher interest rate.

So in a downturn, the Macy's customers are first to default, and bigger defaulters...  the department stores were in trouble, WalMart did just fine in 2008.

In retrospect, in less than a decade the department store was ruined by usury, after taking out the small business sector, and in turn the department stores began to fall like flies...  on Union Square in San Francisco, I Magnin, Liberty House, the White House, Joseph Magnin, we well as JCPenney and Sears all had to fold or withdraw in the 1980 - 90s.

WalMart has the winning combination, Costco is better managed, but neither is sustainable without state preferences and credit.  Their necessarily targeting specific demographics, and neither can supply specialty and new.  That is still wide open.

It was the introduction of interest (usury) that brought down the system that offered more and better to a wider group of people.  The pendulum is swinging back, and people are beginning to patronize the small business again.  All along the distribution channel the credit card has installed itself.  protect your investment, do not accept the credit card.  Cash, debit or extend time to people you know and trust.  Work this way with suppliers as well.  The company will be organically stronger and will withstand the next round of damage by usury.

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FBI Arrests Private NSA Competitor

To this day there is zero public investigation of what the NSA does, but there are certainly arrests if a private individual does it.  With zero sense of irony the FBI announces:
“This application allegedly equips potential stalkers and criminals with a means to invade an individual’s confidential communications,” said FBI Assistant Director in Charge McCabe. “They do this not by breaking into their homes or offices, but by physically installing spyware on unwitting victim’s phones and illegally tracking an individual’s every move. As technology continues to evolve, the FBI will investigate and bring to justice those who use illegal means to monitor and track individuals without their knowledge.”
Whew.  Only when private people do it, never when the Hegemon does it.

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All Regulators Get Captured by the Regulated

No matter how well you are situated financially, you desperately need a stock market crash, a wipeout. The longer this goes on, the older you get, the less able you are to adjust when it comes.

We all think we have a way out, or we are exempt, or we have faith in the system, to work it out.  But that is only because you've never seen how easy it is for rock solid systems to fail.  If the people in charge are arming themselves, what do you think they know that you do not?  Here is Stockman:
Or to take another example, what is the Fischer committee going to do about leveraged stock buybacks? Not only is this fueling the speculative rise in the stock averages and the illusion that earnings are growing, when in fact it is only the share count which is shrinking, but it is also adding to the dangerous build-up of corporate debt that will become hugely problematic when interest rates are finally allowed to normalize.
There is no getting away, it is just when.  Sooner is better for all.  When a crack-up comes, prices fall and then rents with it.  We can the see more businesses establish as the welfare queen businesses fail, and a vacuum comes in which new providers are in demand.

Bank credit will be defunct, so learn to extend credit without usury and your business will thrive.

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Monday, September 29, 2014

Why Does the USDA Need Machine Guns?

Well, to kill people?

The USDA has no history of being the target of violence.  But they do have the mantra "get big or get out."

Do you think they'll bring machine guns when they visit ADM or Cargill?   Nooooo....
“What we have seen happen, with the FDA especially, is they have come onto small farms, raw milk producers, and raided the heck out of them with armed agents present,” says Liz Reitzig, co-founder of the Farm Food Freedom Coalition. “Do we really want to have our federal regulatory agencies bring submachine guns onto these family farms with children?”
I'd ask why we have federal regulators at all, but yes, if so, why machine guns? Because the pendulum is swinging back, small farms are resurrecting, and the USDA mantra is get big or get out.  Time to bring straight fire power to people who disagree with government policy and try to create good food.

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The Ebola Scam

Liberia was set up by the USA as a "ship 'em back to Africa" thing, in order to keep manumitted slaves freed in USA from allowing current slaves to know Americans of African ancestry could actually handle freedom.  Can't have that.  And as if paying quite a price to become an American, they were not Americans.

We now have an africa Command, and it needs something to do, so we make up stories about boogie men, Boku Harum, the Khorasam group, and ebola crises.  This is how it works:
Here in Liberia, everyone is excited about the millions of US dollars being poured in to “fight Ebola,” and everyone wants a piece of the pie.  A certain NGO out in rural Liberia quarantined a village, claiming they’d tested and found three cases. They applied for and received US$ 250,000 to fight Ebola in this village.  They brought in a few sacks of rice and some chlorine.  The villagers mobbed the trucks and carried off the plunder.  And, miracle of miracles, not a single person died in the village.
Great effort at treating and controlling Ebola?  Or pretending there’s Ebola in order to pocket some easy cash?  I’ve never heard of a 0% fatality rate for Ebola, but you make the call.
The doctor in the article is too nice.  As long as people are dying, then there is a crisis that the USA military MUST solve.  For a insiders report on the evil of NGOs, read Michael Maren's The Road to Hell.    It's listed on the left of this page as one of my basic readings for those in int'l trade, scroll down, get it read it.  He has never been disputed as to the names named and events portrayed.



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Swiss Reject ObamaCare

The founders looked to remarkably free Switzerland for inspiration in founding the USA.  After a more radical polity quickened in USA, the Swiss doubled down inspired by USA and became even more free.  The we had a civil war, and went all imperialist.  The Swiss plodded along without any competition, and when faced with bad ideas, actually vote on it.  And Swiss elections are not rigged, as here in USA.

Geneva (AFP) - Swiss voters on Sunday rejected a plan for a seismic shift from the country's all-private health insurance system to a state-run scheme.
Referendum results showed that almost 62 percent of voters had shot down a reform pushed by left-leaning parties which say the current private system is busting the budgets of ordinary residents.

The funny thing about the article is it says Obama (Romney) based their wel-care on the Swiss model.  Hahaaha...  to emulate the Swiss, you have to start with legitimate elections, not similar words.

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Sunday, September 28, 2014

Hong Kong Protests & Li Ka Shing

Li Ka Shing is Hong Kong's most famous billionaire, in a comity which produces five times the billionaire per capit than the USA.  He made his move in the 1960s, the last time Hong Kong was rocked by regime related protests. This plastic flower maker reasoned that for all the complaints, Hong Kong was not going anywhere soon, so as Rothschilde advised, invest when the blood is flowing in the streets.  Li bought when the rich were selling to get out.


 Note that the rioters, mostly students, want Beijing rule.

 Today Li is the one getting out, but today he is a rich man not a poor boy.  What took great courage in 1967 to buy, takes as great courage today to sell.  The fact that Li is selling is putting his entire empire on the line.  Certainly the ChiComs note well his action.  And the fact of the matter is the Communist Party could take down Li and his empire within fifteen minutes of deciding to do so.  It takes guts to run those risks.

But Li also knows that China is a work in progress, countless factions and endless infighting, and he'll have his supporters and detractors in those fights.  He is by the way offering some wealth redistribution as his action lower the prices on what he has, and is allowing some young turks with an eye to the future to invest well right now.

Not sure what the goal should be by the protesters, but I sure do not like the sound of "occupy central" since it is redolent of the USA occupy movement which was organized around not amelioration but "more free $#*+ for me", just as the Scotland vote was not about freedom but more gimmees.  Who knows how a freedom vote might turn out in Scotland.

Here is a sample of the riots today.  The irony this time is the rioters, mostly students, want to be free of Beijing.  Bet this is largely youthful expression, and not existential.

A vote for governor which allows for the election of only the winners and runners up of a Beijing political beauty contest is not such a bad idea, as long as the directly elected LegCo in Hong Kong can impeach the same.  Let Beijing essentially appoint a Lord Governor, it worked well enough when the Brits did it.  Is Beijing any less than the UK?

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Pucker

Do you like to travel?


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I Want To Give Back To The Community

As soon as I hear these words, or similar sentiments, my hackles rise.  My instant reply is "What did you steal from the community?"

People who have repented of a secret theft will want to do the right thing, make restitution, and pay back what they stole.

The other use of the term is to pay back a loan of some sort.  OK, so you want to pay back a loan?  Is that something remarkable with you, that we would all celebrate something you ought to do anyway?   "Today I am going to help an old lady across the street!"  Thus spake hero?

The words come from wordsmiths who craft buzz words to at once please the searching and warn the enlighteners.  The searchers pick up the line assuming is strikes the right note.  The enlighteners hear it and assume either knave or fool.

We need always a separation of charity and business.  They can never mix.  Age quod agis.  When doing charity, do it.  When doing business, do it.

"Giving back" is a sort of emotional blackmail.  You are no longer testing your offering, you are confusing your product offer by adding "it's for the children."  Hard buyers hear diversion and extra expense.  If you want to give up some of your natural profits to charity, that is your business, but as the advice goes, don't let the left hand know what the right hand is doing.  Certainly Apple will do a "red ipod" at a higher price to support aids cure in Africa, and no doubt picks up some corporate sales or who knows what, but in no way will Apple allow itself to be essentially associated with a cause.  Calvin Klein was notorious for refusing to allow his company to be in any way associated with the AIDS prevention and cure movement, and as is good business practice, what support he did give was otherwise unknown.  Companies whose essential offer is "giving back" all fail, as far as I can see, over the last 40 years.

Apple (Jobs) and Calvin Klein have certainly given more to the communities then their communities have ever given them, but really there is no accounting.  The idea that the political economy in which they thrive fostered their success may be true, but it ignores the fact that the same political economy has robbed countless others of success.  The question isn't what we are owed by those few who make it through the welfare/warfare klepto-gauntlet, but what system allows more people to succeed.

At the same time, the Catholic church recognizees small business startup as an act of charity, a teaching I am trying to figure out, but certainly putting every cent you have into business helps others at the most fundamental level.  And all religions see the act of a loan (not at interest) as an act of charity.  Small businesses extend credit commonly.

And customer-employed (AKA self-employed) you yourself are kept off the dole.

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